Result
4:4
01/03/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 3)
- 21', 0 - 1, Reed L. ⚽,
- 35', 1 - 1, Sage E. ⚽,
- 42', 1 - 2, Reed L. ⚽,
- 45+1', 1 - 3, Thomas L. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (3 - 1)
- 61', 2 - 3, Johnson S. ⚽,
- 67', 3 - 3, Bruton O. ⚽,
- 80', 3 - 4, Thomas L. ⚽,
- 84', 4 - 4, Kavanagh R. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Newport City
44.5% | Draw
27.4% | Carmarthen Town
28.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Newport City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)The chances for Carmarthen Town have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newport City than the current prediction. (+1.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carmarthen Town than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
Newport City - Carmarthen Town Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.05 ↓
(2.06) |
3.34 ↑
(3.25) |
3.25 ↑
(3.23) |
9.5%
(10.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 7 and 6)
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Newport City could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Newport City won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).
- Including home match between the teams, Newport City won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Newport City won against Carmarthen Town?
Newport City has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Carmarthen Town won against Newport City?
Carmarthen Town has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Newport City - Carmarthen Town were as follows:
27.09.2025
Carmarthen Town
-
Newport City
1:0
22.03.2025
Newport City
-
Carmarthen Town
3:0
14.09.2024
Carmarthen Town
-
Newport City
1:0
Latest results of Newport City
Latest results of Carmarthen Town
Welsh Cymru South Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Trefelin ✔ | 29 | 24 | 3 | 2 | 78:17 | 61 | 75 |
| 2 | Cambrian United ✔ | 29 | 23 | 4 | 2 | 72:19 | 53 | 73 |
| 3 | Ammanford | 29 | 16 | 9 | 4 | 47:25 | 22 | 57 |
| 4 | Caerau Ely | 29 | 17 | 5 | 7 | 66:34 | 32 | 56 |
| 5 | Carmarthen Town | 29 | 11 | 12 | 6 | 44:34 | 10 | 45 |
| 6 | Aberystwyth | 29 | 13 | 4 | 12 | 35:38 | -3 | 43 |
| 7 | Cardiff Draconians | 29 | 11 | 4 | 14 | 46:47 | -1 | 37 |
| 8 | Llantwit Major | 29 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 43:44 | -1 | 37 |
| 9 | Newport City | 29 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 36:43 | -7 | 37 |
| 10 | Treowen | 29 | 9 | 7 | 13 | 47:62 | -15 | 34 |
| 11 | Pontypridd | 29 | 9 | 6 | 14 | 46:51 | -5 | 33 |
| 12 | Afan Lido | 29 | 9 | 3 | 17 | 31:53 | -22 | 30 |
| 13 | Trethomas Bluebirds | 29 | 6 | 10 | 13 | 44:61 | -17 | 28 |
| 14 | Baglan Dragons | 29 | 5 | 9 | 15 | 25:51 | -26 | 24 |
| 15 | Ynyshir Albions | 29 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 27:56 | -29 | 22 |
| 16 | Cwmbran Celtic | 29 | 1 | 7 | 21 | 24:76 | -52 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Cymru Premier
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Trefelin is Qualified for Cymru Premier
Cambrian United is Qualified for Cymru Premier
