Carolina Ascent vs Tampa Bay Sun: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer USL Super League Women Carolina Ascent - Tampa Bay Sun
Result
1:1
17/05/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : USL Super League Women
Carolina Ascent - Tampa Bay Sun - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.090.93
Ball Possession
63%37%
Total shots
145
Shots on target
43
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
55
Passes
78% (312/402)63% (153/241)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
1.090.93
xG on target (xGOT)
1.131.11
Total shots
145
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
72
Blocked Shots
30
Shots inside the Box
83
Shots outside the Box
62
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
55
Touches in opposition box
3111
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
15
Free Kicks
149
Passes
78% (312/402)63% (153/241)
Long passes
54% (38/71)32% (18/56)
Passes in final third
63% (74/118)50% (34/68)
Crosses
24% (5/21)20% (2/10)
Expected assists (xA)
0.690.28
Throw-ins
3325
Fouls
914
Tackles
74% (14/19)65% (13/20)
Duels won
5744
Clearances
2143
Interceptions
78
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
23
xGOT faced
1.111.13
Goals prevented
0.110.13

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 2', 1 - 0, Hutchinson E. , Aguilera J. (A),
  • 23', 1 - 1, Floe Nielsen C. ,
  • 45', Haugen V. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 49', Keane H. , Gabby Provenzano ,
  • 63', Giammona C. (Pen),
  • 64', Murphy S. 🟨,
  • 65', Moore J. , Goins P. ,
  • 70', Studer S. 🟨,
  • 74', Hutchinson E. , Gonzalez K. ,
  • 79', Giammona C. , Clark A. ,
  • 79', Nasello S. , Zade J. ,
  • 90+3', Corbin M. , Serepca A. ,
  • 90+5', Parker R. , Studer J. ,

Chances of winning


Carolina Ascent
52.2%
Draw
24.7%
Tampa Bay Sun
23.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44% 26.6% 29.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.8% 25.6% 28.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Carolina Ascent has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Carolina Ascent's performance.
  • Tampa Bay Sun has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tampa Bay Sun might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carolina Ascent than the current prediction. (-6.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Carolina Ascent that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tampa Bay Sun than the current prediction. (+5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tampa Bay Sun could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Carolina Ascent - Tampa Bay Sun Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.75
    (2.08)
    3.7
    (3.45)
    3.94
    (3.11)
    9.6%
    (9.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • Carolina is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Tampa Bay is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Carolina may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Carolina is seen as the favorite.
    • We predict that Carolina will win today's game, with odds of 1.73.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Carolina won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:3. (average 0.3:1).
    • Including home match between the teams, Carolina won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Carolina Ascent - Tampa Bay Sun were as follows:
    15.03.2025 Tampa Bay Sun - Carolina Ascent 1:0
    16.11.2024 Tampa Bay Sun - Carolina Ascent 2:1
    27.09.2024 Carolina Ascent - Tampa Bay Sun 0:0
    Latest results of Carolina Ascent
    Latest results of Tampa Bay Sun
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1Carolina Ascent W (1)Fort Lauderdale W (4)1 : 2
    2Tampa Bay Sun W (2)Dallas Trinity W (3)2 : 1

    Final
    1Fort Lauderdale W (4)Tampa Bay Sun W (2)0 : 1
    Which TV channels are streaming of Carolina Ascent - Tampa Bay Sun?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
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