Result
1:1
17/05/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- USL Super League Women
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Canada | DAZN Canada |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | Peacock TV |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.09 | 0.93 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 63% | 37% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (312/402) | 63% (153/241) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.09 | 0.93 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.13 | 1.11 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 31 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (312/402) | 63% (153/241) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 54% (38/71) | 32% (18/56) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (74/118) | 50% (34/68) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 24% (5/21) | 20% (2/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.69 | 0.28 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 33 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 74% (14/19) | 65% (13/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 57 | 44 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 21 | 43 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.11 | 1.13 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.11 | 0.13 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 2', 1 - 0, Hutchinson E. ⚽, Aguilera J. (A),
- 23', 1 - 1, Floe Nielsen C. ⚽,
- 45', Haugen V. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 49', Keane H. ↓, Gabby Provenzano ↑,
- 63', Giammona C. (Pen),
- 64', Murphy S. 🟨,
- 65', Moore J. ↓, Goins P. ↑,
- 70', Studer S. 🟨,
- 74', Hutchinson E. ↓, Gonzalez K. ↑,
- 79', Giammona C. ↓, Clark A. ↑,
- 79', Nasello S. ↓, Zade J. ↑,
- 90+3', Corbin M. ↓, Serepca A. ↑,
- 90+5', Parker R. ↓, Studer J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Carolina Ascent
52.2% | Draw
24.7% | Tampa Bay Sun
23.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Carolina Ascent has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Carolina Ascent's performance.Tampa Bay Sun has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tampa Bay Sun might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carolina Ascent than the current prediction. (-6.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Carolina Ascent that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tampa Bay Sun than the current prediction. (+5.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tampa Bay Sun could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Carolina Ascent - Tampa Bay Sun Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.75 ↓
(2.08) |
3.7 ↑
(3.45) |
3.94 ↑
(3.11) |
9.6%
(9.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- Carolina is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Tampa Bay is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Carolina may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Carolina is seen as the favorite.
- We predict that Carolina will win today's game, with odds of 1.73.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Carolina won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:3. (average 0.3:1).
- Including home match between the teams, Carolina won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Carolina Ascent won against Tampa Bay Sun?
Carolina Ascent has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tampa Bay Sun won against Carolina Ascent?
Tampa Bay Sun has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Carolina Ascent - Tampa Bay Sun were as follows:
15.03.2025
Tampa Bay Sun
-
Carolina Ascent
1:0
16.11.2024
Tampa Bay Sun
-
Carolina Ascent
2:1
27.09.2024
Carolina Ascent
-
Tampa Bay Sun
0:0
Latest results of Carolina Ascent
Latest results of Tampa Bay Sun
Draw
Play OffsSemi-finals| 1 | Carolina Ascent W (1) | Fort Lauderdale W (4) | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Tampa Bay Sun W (2) | Dallas Trinity W (3) | 2 : 1 |
Final| 1 | Fort Lauderdale W (4) | Tampa Bay Sun W (2) | 0 : 1 |
