Carolina Core vs Crown Legacy – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:2 penalties
25/04/2026 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS Next Pro
  • Where to Watch on TV:
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.291.42
Ball possession
35%65%
Total shots
1114
Shots on target
57
Big chances
23
Corner kicks
512
Passes
67% (173/259)82% (383/467)
Yellow cards
51
Expected goals (xG)
1.291.42
xG on target (xGOT)
1.711.63
Total shots
1114
Shots on target
57
Shots off target
62
Blocked shots
05
Shots inside the box
69
Shots outside the box
55
Hit the woodwork
00
Headed goals
01
Big chances
23
Corner kicks
512
Touches in opposition box
1023
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
40
Free kicks
1117
Passes
67% (173/259)82% (383/467)
Long passes
49% (35/72)38% (22/58)
Passes in final third
53% (44/83)67% (93/139)
Crosses
20% (2/10)38% (9/24)
Expected assists (xA)
0.811.56
Throw ins
837
Fouls
1711
Tackles
83% (15/18)45% (5/11)
Duels won
4339
Clearances
2120
Interceptions
92
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
53
xGOT faced
1.631.71
Goals prevented
-0.37-0.29

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 10', Longo D. 🟨,
  • 13', 0 - 1, Johnson A. , Richmond N. (A),
  • 21', Alenga M. 🟨,
  • 22', Caiza J. 🟨,
  • 26', Zerkane M. 🟨,
  • 34', Martinez N. 🟨,
  • 45+5', 1 - 1, Tattevin A. , Zerkane M. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 50', 2 - 1, Tattevin A. , Raimbault T. (A),
  • 54', 2 - 2, Mbongue H. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 61', Zerkane M. , Diakite M. ,
  • 70', Zeegers T. 🟨,
  • 70', Tonidandel S. , Pena E. ,
  • Penalties (4 - 2)
  • 1, Zeegers T. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 1, Mbongue H. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 2, Diaz D. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 2, Pena E. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 3, Balogun K. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 3, Berchimas N. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 4, Montenegro R. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 4, Subotic A. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 5, Diakite M. (Penalty Awarded),

Official Live

Chances of winning


Carolina Core
29.8%
Draw
24.8%
Crown Legacy
45.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37% 25.3% 37.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.5% 24.3% 39.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Carolina Core has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Carolina Core's form might have worsened.
  • Crown Legacy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Crown Legacy's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carolina Core than the current prediction. (+5.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Carolina Core, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crown Legacy than the current prediction. (-6.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Crown Legacy, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Carolina Core - Crown Legacy Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.1
    (2.43)
    3.72
    (3.55)
    2.03
    (2.38)
    8.6%
    (11.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • Carolina Core has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Crown Legacy is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Recently, Crown Legacy has had a series of home games.
    • Crown Legacy will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • We predict that Crown Legacy will win today's game, with odds of 2.05.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Carolina Core won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:7. (average 2:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Carolina Core won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1.7:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Carolina Core - Crown Legacy were as follows:
    04.09.2025 Crown Legacy - Carolina Core 3:4
    09.07.2025 Crown Legacy - Carolina Core 0:1
    26.04.2025 Carolina Core - Crown Legacy 1:2
    14.09.2024 Carolina Core - Crown Legacy 2:1
    13.07.2024 Carolina Core - Crown Legacy 2:1
    Latest results of Carolina Core
    Latest results of Crown Legacy
    MLS Next Pro Table
    2026

    Northeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1New York Red Bulls II8602020:820
    2Columbus Crew 29510316:1517
    3Philadelphia Union II8410311:814
    4Toronto FC II8302313:1311
    5New England Revolution II722127:611
    6Connecticut FC8210510:158
    7Cincinnati 2720059:116
    8New York City II611134:106


    Southeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Crown Legacy9621027:1023
    2Atlanta United 28501214:916
    3Orlando City B8231217:1913
    4Huntsville7311214:1612
    5Chattanooga8301413:1410
    6Chicago Fire II713126:910
    7Carolina Core8013410:165
    8Inter Miami II801259:214


    Pacific Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Ventura County9321314:1314
    2San Jose Earthquakes II7401214:713
    3Portland Timbers 2731218:813
    4Los Angeles FC 29312315:1913
    5Real Monarchs7220312:1210
    6Vancouver Whitecaps 29211514:189
    7Tacoma Defiance9121510:158


    Frontier Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Houston Dynamo 28710020:323
    2St. Louis City 29621020:823
    3Minnesota 2841039:914
    4Austin FC II7312110:813
    5North Texas9221413:1411
    6Sporting Kansas City II10112611:267
    7Colorado Rapids 2800359:193


    Eastern Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1Crown Legacy9621027:1023
    2New York Red Bulls II8602020:820
    3Columbus Crew 29510316:1517
    4Atlanta United 28501214:916
    5Philadelphia Union II8410311:814
    6Orlando City B8231217:1913
    7Huntsville7311214:1612
    8Toronto FC II8302313:1311
    9New England Revolution II722127:611
    10Chattanooga8301413:1410
    11Chicago Fire II713126:910
    12Connecticut FC8210510:158
    13Cincinnati 2720059:116
    14New York City II611134:106
    15Carolina Core8013410:165
    16Inter Miami II801259:214


    Western Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1Houston Dynamo 28710020:323
    2St. Louis City 29621020:823
    3Minnesota 2841039:914
    4Ventura County9321314:1314
    5San Jose Earthquakes II7401214:713
    6Austin FC II7312110:813
    7Portland Timbers 2731218:813
    8Los Angeles FC 29312315:1913
    9North Texas9221413:1411
    10Real Monarchs7220312:1210
    11Vancouver Whitecaps 29211514:189
    12Tacoma Defiance9121510:158
    13Sporting Kansas City II10112611:267
    14Colorado Rapids 2800359:193

          Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)