Varesina vs Caronnese – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Italian Serie D - Group B Varesina - Caronnese
05/02/2023 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Varesina
41.7%
Draw
28.5%
Caronnese
29.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.3% 26% 19.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.4% 25.5% 19.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Varesina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Varesina's form might have worsened.
  • Caronnese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Caronnese's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Varesina than the current prediction. (+13.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Varesina, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caronnese than the current prediction. (-10.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Caronnese, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Varesina - Caronnese Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.15
    (1.68)
    3.14
    (3.5)
    3.01
    (4.63)
    11.6%
    (9.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Varesina - Caronnese were as follows:
    02.10.2022 Caronnese - Varesina 0:0
    Latest results of Varesina
    29.01.2023 Arconatese - Varesina 0:1
    22.01.2023 Varesina - Brusaporto 2:1
    15.01.2023 Breno - Varesina 2:0
    08.01.2023 Varesina - Villa Valle 3:1
    21.12.2022 Varesina - Real Calepina 1:1
    Latest results of Caronnese
    29.01.2023 Caronnese - Alcione 0:2
    22.01.2023 Casatese - Caronnese 2:2
    15.01.2023 Caronnese - Franciacorta 1:2
    Draw
    Winners Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1LivornoBra4 : 1, 2 : 1
    2SiracusaOspitaletto2 : 0, 3 : 2

    Final
    1LivornoSiracusa2 : 1