Arezzo vs Carpi – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Italian Serie C Group B Arezzo - Carpi
Result
3:1
27/09/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie C - Group B - Round 7
  • Where to Watch on TV:
italyItalySKY Go Italia

Match Stats

Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
87
Shots on target
53
Corner Kicks
13
Yellow Cards
15
Total shots
87
Shots on target
53
Shots off target
34
Corner Kicks
13

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 11', 0 - 1, Sall A. ,
  • 19', Figoli M. 🟨,
  • 23', 1 - 1, Renzi A. ,
  • 25', Rigo M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Rigo M. , Verza N. ,
  • 50', 2 - 1, Tavernelli C. ,
  • 62', Pattarello E. , Iaccarino G. ,
  • 62', Chierico L. , Varela Djamanca M. ,
  • 63', Ravasio M. , Cianci P. ,
  • 66', Sall A. , Forte R. ,
  • 67', Panelli T. , Zagnoni D. ,
  • 78', Figoli M. , Pietra N. ,
  • 81', Rosetti M. 🟨,
  • 82', Rosetti M. , Stanzani L. ,
  • 83', Eklu S. M. , Gigli N. ,
  • 83', Tavernelli C. , Perrotta F. ,
  • 90', Varela Djamanca M. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Forte R. 🟨,
  • 90+5', 3 - 1, Varela Djamanca M. ,
  • 90+9', Rossini M. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Arezzo
63.2%
Draw
24.2%
Carpi
12.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56.5% 24.2% 19.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.3% 23.1% 18.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Arezzo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Arezzo's performance.
  • Carpi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Carpi might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arezzo than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carpi than the current prediction. (+5.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Carpi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Arezzo - Carpi Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.32
    (1.62)
    3.47
    (3.77)
    6.63
    (4.74)
    19.5%
    (9.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B and 11).
    • Arezzo is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Carpi's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Arezzo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Arezzo is the obvious favorite.
    • We predict that Arezzo will win today's game, with odds of 1.39.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Arezzo won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:10. (average 1.3:2.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Arezzo won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1.5:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Arezzo - Carpi were as follows:
    11.03.2025 Arezzo - Carpi 0:1
    29.10.2024 Carpi - Arezzo 2:1
    Latest results of Arezzo
    23.09.2025 Pianese - Arezzo 2:4
    14.09.2025 Juventus U23 - Arezzo 2:3
    06.09.2025 Arezzo - Vis Pesaro 1:0
    29.08.2025 Pontedera - Arezzo 0:3
    Latest results of Carpi
    23.09.2025 Carpi - Ravenna 1:2
    20.09.2025 Sambenedettese - Carpi 0:1
    14.09.2025 Ternana - Carpi 2:0
    06.09.2025 Carpi - Campobasso 2:2
    31.08.2025 Pianese - Carpi 0:1
    Italian Serie C Group B Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Arezzo1191121:71428
    2Ascoli1073021:21924
    3Ravenna1080219:13624
    4Ternana1153314:10418
    5Guidonia115248:7117
    6Forli1051411:8316
    7Campobasso1043315:10515
    8Carpi1043313:12115
    9Pineto1042415:12314
    10Sambenedettese1042413:11214
    11Juventus U231142516:18-214
    12Pianese1034310:10013
    13Gubbio103437:9-213
    14Vis Pesaro1026210:8212
    15Pontedera113268:21-1311
    16Livorno103166:15-910
    17Torres111465:13-87
    18Bra1013610:19-96
    19Perugia100376:17-113
    20Rimini103166:12-6-2

          Promotion ~ Serie B
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)
          Serie C ~ Play Out
          Relegation