Result
3:1
27/09/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie C - Group B - Round 7
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | SKY Go Italia |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 11', 0 - 1, Sall A. ⚽,
- 19', Figoli M. 🟨,
- 23', 1 - 1, Renzi A. ⚽,
- 25', Rigo M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Rigo M. ↓, Verza N. ↑,
- 50', 2 - 1, Tavernelli C. ⚽,
- 62', Pattarello E. ↓, Iaccarino G. ↑,
- 62', Chierico L. ↓, Varela Djamanca M. ↑,
- 63', Ravasio M. ↓, Cianci P. ↑,
- 66', Sall A. ↓, Forte R. ↑,
- 67', Panelli T. ↓, Zagnoni D. ↑,
- 78', Figoli M. ↓, Pietra N. ↑,
- 81', Rosetti M. 🟨,
- 82', Rosetti M. ↓, Stanzani L. ↑,
- 83', Eklu S. M. ↓, Gigli N. ↑,
- 83', Tavernelli C. ↓, Perrotta F. ↑,
- 90', Varela Djamanca M. 🟨,
- 90+2', Forte R. 🟨,
- 90+5', 3 - 1, Varela Djamanca M. ⚽,
- 90+9', Rossini M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Arezzo
63.2% | Draw
24.2% | Carpi
12.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Arezzo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Arezzo's performance.Carpi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Carpi might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arezzo than the current prediction. (-3.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carpi than the current prediction. (+5.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Carpi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Arezzo - Carpi Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.32 ↓
(1.62) |
3.47 ↓
(3.77) |
6.63 ↑
(4.74) |
19.5%
(9.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B and 11).
- Arezzo is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Carpi's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Arezzo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Arezzo is the obvious favorite.
- We predict that Arezzo will win today's game, with odds of 1.39.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Arezzo won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:10. (average 1.3:2.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Arezzo won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1.5:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Arezzo won against Carpi?
Arezzo has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Carpi won against Arezzo?
Carpi has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Arezzo - Carpi were as follows:
11.03.2025
Arezzo
-
Carpi
0:1
29.10.2024
Carpi
-
Arezzo
2:1
Italian Serie C Group B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Arezzo | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 16:6 | 10 | 21 |
| 2 | Ravenna | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 14:8 | 6 | 18 |
| 3 | Ascoli | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 11:0 | 11 | 17 |
| 4 | Gubbio | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 12 |
| 5 | Pianese | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8:7 | 1 | 12 |
| 6 | Campobasso | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 12:7 | 5 | 11 |
| 7 | Sambenedettese | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10:8 | 2 | 11 |
| 8 | Juventus U23 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 12:12 | 0 | 11 |
| 9 | Ternana | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9:7 | 2 | 10 |
| 10 | Guidonia | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 5:6 | -1 | 10 |
| 11 | Forli | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 7:7 | 0 | 9 |
| 12 | Pineto | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8:10 | -2 | 8 |
| 13 | Carpi | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7:10 | -3 | 8 |
| 14 | Vis Pesaro | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 6:6 | 0 | 7 |
| 15 | Livorno | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 4:11 | -7 | 7 |
| 16 | Pontedera | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6:13 | -7 | 7 |
| 17 | Torres | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5:9 | -4 | 5 |
| 18 | Bra | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6:10 | -4 | 5 |
| 19 | Perugia | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 6:11 | -5 | 3 |
| 20 | Rimini | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 5:10 | -5 | -4 |
Promotion ~ Serie B
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)
Serie C ~ Play Out
Relegation
