Result
5:1
24/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- NIFL Premiership - Round 26
- Referee: McMaster B. (Nir)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 0)
- 6', Maguire P. 🟨,
- 9', 1 - 0, Crowe J. ⚽,
- 14', 2 - 0, Heatley P. ⚽,
- 17', Gibson D. 🟨,
- 21', Burns B. 🟨,
- 25', 3 - 0, Lecky A. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 63', Kelly T. 🟨,
- 65', 4 - 0, Lecky A. ⚽,
- 81', 4 - 1, Liggett E. ⚽,
- 83', 5 - 1, Lecky A. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Carrick Rangers
40.2% | Draw
27% | Dungannon Swifts
32.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Carrick Rangers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Carrick Rangers's performance.Dungannon Swifts has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carrick Rangers than the current prediction. (-5.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Carrick Rangers that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dungannon Swifts than the current prediction. (+5.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dungannon Swifts could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Carrick Rangers - Dungannon Swifts Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.3 ↓
(2.62) |
3.42 ↑
(3.28) |
2.82 ↑
(2.45) |
8.1%
(9.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Carrick Rangers won 1.
- In recent matches, Carrick Rangers has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Dungannon is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Dungannon may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Carrick Rangers won 9 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 30:33. (average 1.5:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Carrick Rangers won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:12. (average 1.6:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Carrick Rangers won against Dungannon Swifts?
Carrick Rangers has won 7 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Dungannon Swifts won against Carrick Rangers?
Dungannon Swifts has won 6 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Carrick Rangers - Dungannon Swifts were as follows:
13.12.2025
Carrick Rangers
-
Dungannon Swifts
3:3
23.08.2025
Dungannon Swifts
-
Carrick Rangers
0:2
01.03.2025
Carrick Rangers
-
Dungannon Swifts
1:3
15.02.2025
Dungannon Swifts
-
Carrick Rangers
3:1
23.11.2024
Carrick Rangers
-
Dungannon Swifts
0:1
Latest results of Carrick Rangers
Latest results of Dungannon Swifts
Northern Irish Premiership Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Larne ✔ | 30 | 19 | 7 | 4 | 53:21 | 32 | 64 |
| 2 | Coleraine ✔ | 30 | 19 | 4 | 7 | 59:27 | 32 | 61 |
| 3 | Linfield ✔ | 30 | 17 | 8 | 5 | 53:19 | 34 | 59 |
| 4 | Glentoran | 28 | 17 | 5 | 6 | 49:28 | 21 | 56 |
| 5 | Dungannon | 30 | 14 | 1 | 15 | 36:54 | -18 | 43 |
| 6 | Carrick Rangers | 29 | 11 | 6 | 12 | 45:47 | -2 | 39 |
| 7 | Cliftonville | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 42:42 | 0 | 37 |
| 8 | Portadown | 28 | 11 | 1 | 16 | 34:48 | -14 | 34 |
| 9 | Bangor FC | 30 | 9 | 5 | 16 | 36:52 | -16 | 32 |
| 10 | Ballymena | 29 | 8 | 5 | 16 | 34:44 | -10 | 29 |
| 11 | Crusaders ✔ | 29 | 7 | 4 | 18 | 37:63 | -26 | 25 |
| 12 | Glenavon ✔ | 30 | 6 | 1 | 23 | 27:60 | -33 | 19 |
Promotion ~ NIFL Premiership (Championship Group: )
NIFL Premiership (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Larne is Qualified for NIFL Premiership (Championship Group )
Coleraine is Qualified for NIFL Premiership (Championship Group )
Linfield is Qualified for NIFL Premiership (Championship Group )
Crusaders is NIFL Premiership (Relegation Group )
Glenavon is NIFL Premiership (Relegation Group )
