Racing Santander vs Málaga – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish LaLiga2
Result
3:0
05/10/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • LaLiga2 - Round 8
  • Referee: De Aza M. H. (Esp)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
australiaAustraliaAmazon Prime Video, beIN Connect
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Max
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 10, Free
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN SPORTS MAX
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN SPORTS MAX
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 7
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaSky Sports Norte
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN SPORTS MAX
portugalPortugalDAZN / App
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 8
singaporeSingaporebeIN SPORTS MAX
spainSpainDAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion 2, LaLiga Hypermotion, LaLiga TV Bar 3, Orange Futbol 2
swedenSwedenTV4 Play
thailandThailandbeIN SPORTS MAX
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 8, MEGOGO Ukraine
uruguayUruguayDisney+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
3.140.48
Ball Possession
57%43%
Total shots
1610
Shots on target
85
Big Chances
52
Corner Kicks
113
Passes
83% (404/486)81% (298/370)
Yellow Cards
20
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
3.140.48
xG on target (xGOT)
4.160.99
Total shots
1610
Shots on target
85
Shots off target
62
Blocked Shots
23
Shots inside the Box
145
Shots outside the Box
25
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
52
Corner Kicks
113
Touches in opposition box
3024
Accurate through passes
11
Offsides
42
Free Kicks
1516
Passes
83% (404/486)81% (298/370)
Long passes
50% (22/44)48% (29/60)
Passes in final third
68% (97/143)58% (44/76)
Crosses
42% (8/19)33% (2/6)
Expected assists (xA)
1.921.00
Throw-ins
2514
Fouls
1615
Tackles
64% (9/14)58% (11/19)
Duels won
4256
Clearances
1617
Interceptions
714
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
54
xGOT faced
0.994.16
Goals prevented
0.991.16

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 45+1', Montero J. 🟥,
  • 45+2', Sangalli M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 56', Mantilla A. ↓, Michelin C. ↑,
  • 57', Aldasoro A. 🟨,
  • 60', Lobete J. ↓, Sanchez D. ↑,
  • 61', 1 - 0, Villalibre A. ⚽, Sangalli M. (A),
  • 67', Villalibre A. ↓, Jeremy Arevalo ↑,
  • 67', Aldasoro A. ↓, Puerta G. ↑,
  • 74', 2 - 0, Jeremy Arevalo ⚽, Salinas J. (A),
  • 75', Chupe ↓, Ochoa A. ↑,
  • 75', Garcia V. ↓, Jauregi E. ↑,
  • 82', Gabilondo J. ↓, Rafita ↑,
  • 82', Rodriguez R. ↓, Brasanac D. ↑,
  • 85', 3 - 0, Martin A. ⚽, Vicente I. (A),
  • 86', Martin A. ↓, Camara S. ↑,
  • 86', Vicente I. ↓, Sainz-Maza I. ↑,

Chances of winning


Racing Santander
50.5%		Draw
25.7%		Málaga
23.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.8% 25.5% 22.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.2% 25.3% 22.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Racing Santander has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
  • Málaga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Racing Santander than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Málaga than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
    •

    Racing Santander - Málaga Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.87 ↑
    (1.83)    		 3.64 ↓
    (3.72)    		 3.92 ↓
    (4.16)    		 6.5%
    (5.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Racing Santander - Málaga?
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Racing (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH -0.5 - Racing (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Racing Santander will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Racing (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 15).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Racing won 2.
    • In recent matches, Racing has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Málaga is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Racing may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Racing is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Racing: Arana J. (Injury) Puerta G. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Málaga: Diarra M. (Injury) Enriquez R. (Knee Injury) Galilea E. (Red Card) Luismi (Face Injury) Merino I. (International duty) Munoz J. (Injury) Nino A. (Ankle Injury) Pastor A. (Knee Injury) Puga C. (Injury)
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Racing won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:7. (average 0.4:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Racing won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 0.7:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Racing Santander - Málaga were as follows:
    01.02.2025 Racing Santander - Málaga 2:1
    23.11.2024 Málaga - Racing Santander 0:0
    05.03.2023 Málaga - Racing Santander 0:1
    01.10.2022 Racing Santander - Málaga 0:0
    Latest results of Racing Santander
    27.09.2025 Racing Santander - FC Andorra 1:2 ✺
    21.09.2025 Córdoba - Racing Santander 2:2 ✺
    14.09.2025 Racing Santander - Leonesa 2:4 ✺
    07.09.2025 Almería - Racing Santander 2:3 ✺
    30.08.2025 Racing Santander - Ceuta 4:1 ✺
    Latest results of Málaga
    28.09.2025 Burgos - Málaga 2:1 ✺
    21.09.2025 Málaga - Cádiz 0:1 ✺
    13.09.2025 Huesca - Málaga 1:0 ✺
    06.09.2025 Málaga - Granada 2:2 ✺
    31.08.2025 Las Palmas - Málaga 0:1 ✺
    Spanish LaLiga2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Racing Santander382261079:572272
    2Dep. La Coruna381911859:411868
    3Almeria372071074:561867
    4Las Palmas381812851:321966
    5Castellon3818101065:481764
    6Malaga381891166:491763
    7Burgos CF3817111044:331162
    8Eibar3817101147:361161
    9Cordoba381691354:56-257
    10Andorra3815101356:48855
    11Ceuta381591446:58-1254
    12Gijon381571651:49252
    13Albacete3813111449:51-250
    14Granada CF3812121448:49-148
    15Valladolid3811101741:50-943
    16Leganes3810121641:46-542
    17Real Sociedad B381191846:54-842
    18Cadiz CF381091936:55-1939
    19Mirandes37991940:60-2036
    20Huesca38992039:59-2036
    21Zaragoza388111933:51-1835
    22Cultural Leonesa38892135:62-2733

          Promotion ~ LaLiga
          Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation

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