Cartagena vs Racing Santander – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish LaLiga2
Result
1:0
04/05/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • LaLiga2 - Round 38
  • Referee: Muniz C. (Esp)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaSky Sports Norte
peruPeruDisney+
spainSpainDAZN Espana, GolStadium, LaLiga Hypermotion
uruguayUruguayDisney+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.251.75
Ball Possession
29%71%
Total shots
523
Shots on target
26
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
57
Passes
66% (164/249)83% (498/601)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
1.251.75
xG on target (xGOT)
1.440.66
Total shots
523
Shots on target
26
Shots off target
19
Blocked Shots
28
Shots inside the Box
214
Shots outside the Box
39
Hit the Woodwork
02
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
57
Touches in opposition box
1041
Accurate through passes
20
Offsides
52
Free Kicks
1012
Passes
66% (164/249)83% (498/601)
Long passes
34% (27/79)51% (19/37)
Passes in final third
47% (40/85)71% (149/209)
Crosses
14% (1/7)22% (4/18)
Expected assists (xA)
0.541.27
Throw-ins
1631
Fouls
1210
Tackles
100% (18/18)75% (12/16)
Duels won
4444
Clearances
406
Interceptions
255
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
61
xGOT faced
0.661.44
Goals prevented
0.660.44

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 21', Moreno J. 🟨,
  • 27', Nacho 🟨,
  • 30', Garcia M. 🟨,
  • 45', 1 - 0, Luna D. ⚽, Nacho (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Rodriguez P. ↓, Arana J. ↑,
  • 46', Gueye M. ↓, Meseguer Cavas V. A. ↑,
  • 59', Nunez R. ↓, El Jebari S. ↑,
  • 68', Millan A. ↓, Escriche D. ↑,
  • 68', Machin J. ↓, Clemente O. ↑,
  • 68', Garcia M. ↓, Garcia S. ↑,
  • 69', Martin A. 🟨,
  • 76', Vencedor U. ↓, Jeremy Arevalo ↑,
  • 83', Luna D. ↓, Ortuno A. ↑,
  • 83', Ndiaye Dione A. ↓, Andy ↑,
  • 88', Karrikaburu J. ↓, Gonzalez R. ↑,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/swemn83f

Chances of winning


Cartagena
14.4%		Draw
19.5%		Racing Santander
66%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
18.1% 23.9% 58.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.5% 23.1% 60.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cartagena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)
  • Racing Santander has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Racing Santander's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cartagena than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Racing Santander than the current prediction. (-5.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Racing Santander, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
    •

    Cartagena - Racing Santander Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 6.47 ↑
    (5.22)    		 4.76 ↑
    (3.96)    		 1.44 ↓
    (1.63)    		 6.1%
    (6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Cartagena - Racing Santander?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Cartagena will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). Racing will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Racing: 44.1% – 94.3%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Racing Santander will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
    • Cartagena is Relegated to
    • Cartagena has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Racing is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Racing may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Racing is the undeniable favorite.
    • There will not play in Cartagena: Munoz L. (Knee Injury) Olivas K. (Injury) Valles G. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Racing: Sainz-Maza I. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cartagena won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:10. (average 1.4:2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Cartagena won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:6. (average 1:3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cartagena - Racing Santander were as follows:
    30.09.2024 Racing Santander - Cartagena 1:2
    21.01.2024 Racing Santander - Cartagena 0:2
    14.10.2023 Cartagena - Racing Santander 2:3
    28.05.2023 Racing Santander - Cartagena 3:1
    17.12.2022 Cartagena - Racing Santander 0:3
    Latest results of Cartagena
    26.04.2025 Albacete Balompié - Cartagena 3:1 ✺
    20.04.2025 Cartagena - Granada 2:3 ✺
    13.04.2025 Almería - Cartagena 2:1 ✺
    05.04.2025 Cartagena - Eldense 0:1 ✺
    29.03.2025 Cartagena - Castellón 2:2 ✺
    Latest results of Racing Santander
    27.04.2025 Racing Santander - Deportivo La Coruña 2:1 ✺
    19.04.2025 Huesca - Racing Santander 1:3 ✺
    13.04.2025 Racing Santander - Castellón 1:1 ✺
    06.04.2025 Levante - Racing Santander 3:1 ✺
    29.03.2025 Racing Santander - Zaragoza 2:0 ✺
    Spanish LaLiga2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Racing Santander28165756:362053
    2Castellon28147746:291749
    3Almeria28147753:401349
    4Dep. La Coruna28147744:311349
    5Malaga28145941:311047
    6Las Palmas281112534:221245
    7Ceuta281351036:39-344
    8Burgos CF28127930:26443
    9Gijon281261038:36242
    10Cordoba28118938:37141
    11Eibar281081031:30138
    12Andorra28981135:40-535
    13Albacete28981133:39-635
    14Cadiz CF28981129:35-635
    15Leganes288101029:28134
    16Real Sociedad B28971238:39-134
    17Granada CF287111032:33-132
    18Valladolid28881229:38-932
    19Huesca28861426:37-1130
    20Cultural Leonesa28761527:44-1727
    21Mirandes28661628:45-1724
    22Zaragoza28591423:41-1824

          Promotion ~ LaLiga
          Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation

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