Cartagena vs Castellón – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:2
29/03/2025 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • LaLiga2 - Round 33
  • Referee: Sanchez J. (Esp)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDirecTV Sports
chileChileDirecTV Sports
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
peruPeruDirecTV Sports
south-americaSouth-americaDGO Latin America
spainSpainDAZN Espana, GolStadium, LaLiga Hypermotion 2, LaLiga TV Bar 2
uruguayUruguayDirecTV Sports
venezuelaVenezuelaDirecTV Sports, Inter
worldWorldDirecTV Sports

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.851.99
Ball Possession
29%71%
Total shots
522
Shots on target
310
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
18
Passes
65% (167/256)86% (547/633)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
0.851.99
xG on target (xGOT)
1.592.45
Total shots
522
Shots on target
310
Shots off target
26
Blocked Shots
06
Shots inside the Box
416
Shots outside the Box
16
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
18
Touches in opposition box
962
Offsides
23
Free Kicks
1712
Passes
65% (167/256)86% (547/633)
Long passes
37% (29/79)56% (15/27)
Passes in final third
54% (45/84)80% (233/293)
Crosses
11% (1/9)13% (3/24)
Expected assists (xA)
0.252.21
Fouls
1217
Tackles
46% (13/28)64% (7/11)
Duels won
6755
Clearances Total
4526
Interceptions
1810
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
81
xGOT faced
2.451.59
Goals prevented
0.45-0.41

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 3', 1 - 0, Luna D. , El Jebari S. (A),
  • 11', Calatrava A. 🟨,
  • 36', Nacho 🟨,
  • 45+4', 2 - 0, El Jebari S. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 46', Zarfino G. , de Miguel J. ,
  • 46', Gil O. , Cipenga B. ,
  • 48', 2 - 1, Calatrava A. ,
  • 54', Nacho , Vukcevic A. ,
  • 54', Luna D. , Mini ,
  • 55', 2 - 2, van den Belt T. ,
  • 65', El Jebari S. , Nunez R. ,
  • 65', Ortuno A. , Millan A. ,
  • 74', Suero I. , Jojic M. ,
  • 78', Hernandez J. 🟨,
  • 83', Camara O. , Markanich N. ,
  • 84', Andy , Musto D. ,
  • 87', Calatrava A. , Lottin A. ,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/mshm8wph

Chances of winning


Cartagena
20.1%
Draw
25.3%
Castellón
54.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
18.4% 24.5% 57%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.2% 23.5% 54.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cartagena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
  • Castellón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cartagena than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
  • The ML Model estimate for Castellón aligns with the current prediction.
  • Cartagena - Castellón Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.65
    (5.1)
    3.69
    (3.83)
    1.73
    (1.65)
    6.5%
    (6.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Cartagena - Castellón?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Cartagena will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Castellón will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Cartagena: 8%64.8%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation and 17).
    • Cartagena has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Recent matches Castellón is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • In this match Castellón is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Cartagena: Aguirregabiria M. (Yellow Cards) Moreno J. (Injury) Munoz L. (Knee Injury) Valles G. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Castellón: Aurelio D. (Knee Injury) Mamah K. (Muscle Injury) Ruiz S. (Thigh Injury)
    • Last 4 head-to-head matches Cartagena won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5:7 (average 1.3:1.8).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Cartagena won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cartagena - Castellón were as follows:
    14.12.2024 Castellón - Cartagena 4:1
    Latest results of Cartagena
    15.03.2025 Cartagena - Burgos 0:1
    09.03.2025 Levante - Cartagena 3:0
    28.02.2025 Cartagena - Eibar 0:2
    23.02.2025 Elche - Cartagena 2:1
    Latest results of Castellón
    23.03.2025 Levante - Castellón 3:2
    08.03.2025 Elche - Castellón 3:1
    01.03.2025 Castellón - Burgos 2:1
    23.02.2025 Cádiz - Castellón 0:0
    15.02.2025 Castellón - Eibar 2:0
    Spanish LaLiga2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Racing Santander352051072:541865
    2Dep. La Coruna351710853:381561
    3Almeria351871067:521561
    4Malaga35179958:411760
    5Burgos CF35179942:291360
    6Castellon351610958:431558
    7Las Palmas351512845:301557
    8Eibar3515101040:31955
    9Andorra3513101251:47449
    10Gijon351471445:44149
    11Ceuta351471442:55-1349
    12Cordoba351391347:52-548
    13Granada CF3511121244:41345
    14Albacete3511111344:47-344
    15Leganes3510121340:38242
    16Real Sociedad B351181645:50-541
    17Valladolid3510101539:47-840
    18Cadiz CF351081733:48-1538
    19Zaragoza358101731:47-1634
    20Huesca35891835:53-1833
    21Mirandes35891837:56-1933
    22Cultural Leonesa35881931:56-2532

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