Result
14/02/2026 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Casa Pia
34.5% | Draw
30.4% | Arouca
35.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Casa Pia - Arouca Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.74 ↑
(2.74) |
3.09 ↑
(3.05) |
2.71 ↑
(2.69) |
5.9%
(6.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 15 and 12).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Casa Pia won 4.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Casa Pia won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:6. (average 1:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Casa Pia won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 1.3:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Casa Pia won against Arouca?
Casa Pia has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Arouca won against Casa Pia?
Arouca has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Casa Pia - Arouca were as follows:
14.09.2025
Arouca
-
Casa Pia
0:2
04.05.2025
Arouca
-
Casa Pia
0:0
20.12.2024
Casa Pia
-
Arouca
3:1
18.02.2024
Casa Pia
-
Arouca
1:0
17.09.2023
Arouca
-
Casa Pia
0:1
Latest results of Casa Pia
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Porto | 21 | 18 | 2 | 1 | 42:7 | 35 | 56 |
| 2 | Sporting CP | 21 | 16 | 4 | 1 | 55:12 | 43 | 52 |
| 3 | Benfica | 21 | 14 | 7 | 0 | 44:12 | 32 | 49 |
| 4 | Braga | 21 | 11 | 6 | 4 | 44:18 | 26 | 39 |
| 5 | Gil Vicente | 21 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 31:17 | 14 | 37 |
| 6 | Famalicao | 21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 27:20 | 7 | 32 |
| 7 | Estoril | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 43:35 | 8 | 30 |
| 8 | Moreirense | 21 | 9 | 3 | 9 | 27:29 | -2 | 30 |
| 9 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 23:30 | -7 | 28 |
| 10 | Alverca | 21 | 7 | 3 | 11 | 21:36 | -15 | 24 |
| 11 | Estrela | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 25:37 | -12 | 23 |
| 12 | Arouca | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 26:46 | -20 | 23 |
| 13 | Nacional | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 27:30 | -3 | 21 |
| 14 | Rio Ave | 21 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 22:41 | -19 | 20 |
| 15 | Casa Pia | 21 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 22:39 | -17 | 19 |
| 16 | Santa Clara | 21 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 16:26 | -10 | 17 |
| 17 | Tondela | 21 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 14:35 | -21 | 14 |
| 18 | AFS | 21 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 15:54 | -39 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
