Result
0:0
04/05/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal - Round 32
- Referee: Vasilica I. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bulgaria | Ring, Voyo |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Portugal | Sport TV2 |
 Romania | AntenaPLAY |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 7 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.07 | 0.15 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 64% | 36% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (378/465) | 71% (189/267) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.07 | 0.15 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.86 | 0.00 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (378/465) | 71% (189/267) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 27% (11/41) | 35% (22/63) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (98/144) | 53% (37/70) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 22% (5/23) | 9% (1/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.68 | 0.26 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 80% (8/10) | 57% (4/7) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 38 | 39 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 14 | 27 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.00 | 0.86 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.00 | 0.86 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 16', Fukui T. 🟨,
- 23', Fontan J. 🟨,
- 39', Fonte J. 🟥,
- 45+3', Caue 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Goulart J. ↓, Caue ↑,
- 47', Kraev A. 🟨,
- 57', Fukui T. ↓, Jason ↑,
- 62', Cassiano 🟨,
- 64', Pablo Roberto ↓, Pereira H. ↑,
- 69', Mansilla B. ↓, Araujo H. ↑,
- 75', Benaissa-Yahia F. 🟨,
- 77', Alex Pinto ↓, Puche ↑,
- 77', Nandin D. ↓, Yalcin G. ↑,
- 86', Sequeira P. 🟨,
- 90+2', Cassiano ↓, Svensson M. ↑,
- 90+2', Benaissa-Yahia F. ↓, Tiago Dias ↑,
- 90+7', Tiago Dias 🟨,
Chances of winning
Arouca
45.7% | Draw
28.1% | Casa Pia
26.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Arouca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)Casa Pia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arouca than the current prediction. (-1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Casa Pia than the current prediction. (+1%)
Arouca - Casa Pia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.07 ↓
(2.1) |
3.36 ↓
(3.36) |
3.63 ↑
(3.51) |
5.6%
(5.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Arouca - Casa Pia?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Arouca will win (votes: 5 - 35.7%). Casa Pia will win (votes: 5 - 35.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 28.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Arouca: 10.6% – 60.8%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Arouca (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 12 and 9).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arouca won 1.
- Recent form of Arouca has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- In recent matches, Casa Pia has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Arouca may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Arouca could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Arouca: Galovic N.
(Knee Injury)
Loum M.
(Red Card)
Rocha M.
(Inactive)
Simao D.
(Inactive)
Tiago Esgaio
(Injury)
- There will not play in Casa Pia: Kiki
(Injury)
Livolant J.
(Red Card)
Mendes C.
(Knee Injury)
Tchamba D.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Casa Pia: Svensson M.
(Inactive)
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Arouca won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 0.9:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Arouca won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 1.3:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Arouca won against Casa Pia?
Arouca has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Casa Pia won against Arouca?
Casa Pia has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Arouca - Casa Pia were as follows:
20.12.2024
Casa Pia
-
Arouca
3:1
18.02.2024
Casa Pia
-
Arouca
1:0
17.09.2023
Arouca
-
Casa Pia
0:1
25.02.2023
Arouca
-
Casa Pia
2:0
04.09.2022
Casa Pia
-
Arouca
0:0
Latest results of Casa Pia
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sporting CP | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12:1 | 11 | 9 |
| 2 | FC Porto | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9:0 | 9 | 9 |
| 3 | Moreirense | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5:1 | 4 | 9 |
| 4 | Famalicao | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:0 | 4 | 7 |
| 5 | Braga | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:0 | 6 | 6 |
| 6 | Benfica | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 4 | 6 |
| 7 | Gil Vicente | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 4 |
| 8 | Arouca | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6:10 | -4 | 4 |
| 9 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:7 | -4 | 3 |
| 10 | Casa Pia | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:6 | -4 | 3 |
| 11 | Rio Ave | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4:4 | 0 | 2 |
| 12 | Estrela | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 |
| 13 | Estoril | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 1 |
| 14 | Nacional | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:7 | -5 | 1 |
| 15 | Santa Clara | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:4 | -4 | 0 |
| 16 | Alverca | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 0 |
| 17 | AFS | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 0 |
| 18 | Tondela | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0:7 | -7 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
