Result
0:0
04/05/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal - Round 32
- Referee: Vasilica I. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Bulgaria | Ring, Voyo |
Finland | Veikkaus TV |
Portugal | Sport TV2 |
Romania | AntenaPLAY |
Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 7 |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.07 | 0.15 |
Ball Possession |
---|
64% | 36% |
Total shots |
---|
15 | 4 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 0 |
Passes |
---|
81% (378/465) | 71% (189/267) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
2 | 6 |
Red Cards |
---|
0 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.07 | 0.15 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.86 | 0.00 |
Total shots |
---|
15 | 4 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 1 |
Shots off target |
---|
9 | 2 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
3 | 1 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
8 | 2 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
7 | 2 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 0 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
14 | 9 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
2 | 0 |
Free Kicks |
---|
14 | 14 |
Passes |
---|
81% (378/465) | 71% (189/267) |
Long passes |
---|
27% (11/41) | 35% (22/63) |
Passes in final third |
---|
68% (98/144) | 53% (37/70) |
Crosses |
---|
22% (5/23) | 9% (1/11) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.68 | 0.26 |
Throw-ins |
---|
21 | 19 |
Fouls |
---|
14 | 14 |
Tackles |
---|
80% (8/10) | 57% (4/7) |
Duels won |
---|
38 | 39 |
Clearances |
---|
14 | 27 |
Interceptions |
---|
12 | 12 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 1 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
1 | 3 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.00 | 0.86 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.00 | 0.86 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 16', Fukui T. 🟨,
- 23', Fontan J. 🟨,
- 39', Fonte J. 🟥,
- 45+3', Caue 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Goulart J. ↓, Caue ↑,
- 47', Kraev A. 🟨,
- 57', Fukui T. ↓, Jason ↑,
- 62', Cassiano 🟨,
- 64', Pablo Roberto ↓, Pereira H. ↑,
- 69', Mansilla B. ↓, Araujo H. ↑,
- 75', Benaissa-Yahia F. 🟨,
- 77', Alex Pinto ↓, Puche ↑,
- 77', Nandin D. ↓, Yalcin G. ↑,
- 86', Sequeira P. 🟨,
- 90+2', Cassiano ↓, Svensson M. ↑,
- 90+2', Benaissa-Yahia F. ↓, Tiago Dias ↑,
- 90+7', Tiago Dias 🟨,
Chances of winning
Arouca 45.7% | Draw 28.1% | Casa Pia 26.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Arouca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)Casa Pia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arouca than the current prediction. (-1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Casa Pia than the current prediction. (+1%)
Arouca - Casa Pia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.07 ↓ (2.1) |
3.36 ↓ (3.36) |
3.63 ↑ (3.51) |
5.6% (5.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Arouca - Casa Pia?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Arouca will win (votes: 5 - 35.7%). Casa Pia will win (votes: 5 - 35.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 28.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Arouca: 10.6% – 60.8%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Arouca (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 12 and 9).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arouca won 1.
- Recent form of Arouca has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- In recent matches, Casa Pia has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Arouca may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Arouca could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Arouca: Galovic N.
(Knee Injury)
Loum M.
(Red Card)
Rocha M.
(Inactive)
Simao D.
(Inactive)
Tiago Esgaio
(Injury)
- There will not play in Casa Pia: Kiki
(Injury)
Livolant J.
(Red Card)
Mendes C.
(Knee Injury)
Tchamba D.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Casa Pia: Svensson M.
(Inactive)
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Arouca won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 0.9:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Arouca won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 1.3:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Arouca won against Casa Pia?
Arouca has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Casa Pia won against Arouca?
Casa Pia has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Arouca - Casa Pia were as follows:
20.12.2024
Casa Pia
-
Arouca
3:1
18.02.2024
Casa Pia
-
Arouca
1:0
17.09.2023
Arouca
-
Casa Pia
0:1
25.02.2023
Arouca
-
Casa Pia
2:0
04.09.2022
Casa Pia
-
Arouca
0:0
Latest results of Casa Pia
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Estrela | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Estoril | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Gil Vicente | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
5 | Rio Ave | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
6 | Santa Clara | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
7 | Moreirense | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
8 | FC Porto | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
9 | Sporting CP | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
10 | Benfica | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
11 | Braga | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
12 | Nacional | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
13 | Arouca | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
14 | Casa Pia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
15 | Tondela | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
16 | Alverca | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
17 | Famalicao | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
18 | AFS | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2