Result
0:2
14/09/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal - Round 5
- Referee: Baixinho R. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 3 |
 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 7, MEGOGO Ukraine |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.27 | 1.49 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 66% | 34% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (361/423) | 67% (145/218) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.27 | 1.49 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.44 | 1.48 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 13 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 21 | 18 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (361/423) | 67% (145/218) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 49% (25/51) | 35% (17/49) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 71% (72/102) | 58% (42/73) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (5/30) | 35% (6/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.52 | 1.79 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 29 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 18 | 21 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 73% (8/11) | 77% (17/22) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 53 | 74 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 24 | 41 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.48 | 0.44 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.52 | 0.44 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 14', 0 - 1, Cassiano ⚽, Larrazabal G. (A),
- 35', Morais T. 🟨,
- 44', Nhaga R. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Fukui T. ↓, Simao D. ↑,
- 46', Gozalbez P. ↓, Lee H. ↑,
- 56', Morais T. ↓, Osundina K. ↑,
- 56', Nhaga R. ↓, Mohamed I. ↑,
- 57', Benaissa-Yahia F. 🟨,
- 64', Trezza A. ↓, Mansilla B. ↑,
- 64', Djouahra N. ↓, Barbero I. ↑,
- 67', 0 - 2, Sousa D. ⚽, Livolant J. (A),
- 69', Cassiano 🟨,
- 70', Pedro Santos ↓, Puche ↑,
- 71', Nandin D. 🟨,
- 72', Benaissa-Yahia F. ↓, Machado K. ↑,
- 80', Simao D. 🟨,
- 84', Mohamed I. 🟨,
- 85', Cassiano ↓, Miguel Sousa ↑,
- 85', Perez S. ↓, Rocha Livramento D. ↑,
- 90+10', Rocha Livramento D. 🟨,
- 90+11', Miguel Sousa 🟨,
Chances of winning
Arouca
34.4% | Draw
33.3% | Casa Pia
32.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Arouca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Arouca's form might have worsened.Casa Pia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Casa Pia's recent form is better than expected.
Arouca - Casa Pia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.45 ↑
(1.89) |
3.35 ↓
(3.42) |
3.36 ↓
(4.13) |
-11.4%
(6.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Arouca - Casa Pia?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Arouca will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Casa Pia will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Arouca: 29% – 96%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arouca won 1.
- Arouca is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Casa Pia: Batista R.
(Injury)
Kiki
(Injury)
Mendes C.
(Knee Injury)
Nsona K.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Casa Pia: Oukili Y.
(Injury)
Severina X.
(Inactive)
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Arouca won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 0.8:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Arouca won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 1:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Arouca won against Casa Pia?
Arouca has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Casa Pia won against Arouca?
Casa Pia has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Arouca - Casa Pia were as follows:
04.05.2025
Arouca
-
Casa Pia
0:0
20.12.2024
Casa Pia
-
Arouca
3:1
18.02.2024
Casa Pia
-
Arouca
1:0
17.09.2023
Arouca
-
Casa Pia
0:1
25.02.2023
Arouca
-
Casa Pia
2:0
Latest results of Casa Pia
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Porto | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 19:1 | 18 | 22 |
| 2 | Sporting CP | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 20:5 | 15 | 19 |
| 3 | Benfica | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 13:4 | 9 | 18 |
| 4 | Gil Vicente | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 10:4 | 6 | 16 |
| 5 | Moreirense | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 12:11 | 1 | 15 |
| 6 | Famalicao | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 8:4 | 4 | 13 |
| 7 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9:12 | -3 | 11 |
| 8 | Braga | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 12:8 | 4 | 10 |
| 9 | Alverca | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11:12 | -1 | 10 |
| 10 | Nacional | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9:12 | -3 | 10 |
| 11 | Arouca | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 10:19 | -9 | 9 |
| 12 | Rio Ave | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 11:13 | -2 | 8 |
| 13 | Santa Clara | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6:10 | -4 | 8 |
| 14 | Casa Pia | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:13 | -5 | 8 |
| 15 | Estrela | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 7 |
| 16 | Estoril | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 10:13 | -3 | 6 |
| 17 | Tondela | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4:14 | -10 | 5 |
| 18 | AFS | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5:20 | -15 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
