Arouca vs Casa Pia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Liga Portugal Arouca - Casa Pia
Result
0:0
04/05/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Portugal - Round 32
  • Referee: Vasilica I. (Por)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
bulgariaBulgariaRing, Voyo
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
portugalPortugalSport TV2
romaniaRomaniaAntenaPLAY
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 7

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.070.15
Ball Possession
64%36%
Total shots
154
Shots on target
31
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
50
Passes
81% (378/465)71% (189/267)
Yellow Cards
26
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.070.15
xG on target (xGOT)
0.860.00
Total shots
154
Shots on target
31
Shots off target
92
Blocked Shots
31
Shots inside the Box
82
Shots outside the Box
72
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
50
Touches in opposition box
149
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
1414
Passes
81% (378/465)71% (189/267)
Long passes
27% (11/41)35% (22/63)
Passes in final third
68% (98/144)53% (37/70)
Crosses
22% (5/23)9% (1/11)
Expected assists (xA)
0.680.26
Throw-ins
2119
Fouls
1414
Tackles
80% (8/10)57% (4/7)
Duels won
3839
Clearances
1427
Interceptions
1212
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
13
xGOT faced
0.000.86
Goals prevented
0.000.86

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 16', Fukui T. 🟨,
  • 23', Fontan J. 🟨,
  • 39', Fonte J. 🟥,
  • 45+3', Caue 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Goulart J. , Caue ,
  • 47', Kraev A. 🟨,
  • 57', Fukui T. , Jason ,
  • 62', Cassiano 🟨,
  • 64', Pablo Roberto , Pereira H. ,
  • 69', Mansilla B. , Araujo H. ,
  • 75', Benaissa-Yahia F. 🟨,
  • 77', Alex Pinto , Puche ,
  • 77', Nandin D. , Yalcin G. ,
  • 86', Sequeira P. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Cassiano , Svensson M. ,
  • 90+2', Benaissa-Yahia F. , Tiago Dias ,
  • 90+7', Tiago Dias 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Arouca
45.7%
Draw
28.1%
Casa Pia
26.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.9% 28.1% 27%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.6% 28.3% 27.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Arouca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
  • Casa Pia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arouca than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Casa Pia than the current prediction. (+1%)
  • Arouca - Casa Pia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.07
    (2.1)
    3.36
    (3.36)
    3.63
    (3.51)
    5.6%
    (5.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Arouca - Casa Pia?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Arouca will win (votes: 5 - 35.7%). Casa Pia will win (votes: 5 - 35.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 28.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Arouca: 10.6%60.8%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Arouca (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 12 and 9).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arouca won 1.
    • Recent form of Arouca has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • In recent matches, Casa Pia has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Arouca may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Arouca could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Arouca: Galovic N. (Knee Injury) Loum M. (Red Card) Rocha M. (Inactive) Simao D. (Inactive) Tiago Esgaio (Injury)
    • There will not play in Casa Pia: Kiki (Injury) Livolant J. (Red Card) Mendes C. (Knee Injury) Tchamba D. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Casa Pia: Svensson M. (Inactive)
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Arouca won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 0.9:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Arouca won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 1.3:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Arouca - Casa Pia were as follows:
    20.12.2024 Casa Pia - Arouca 3:1
    18.02.2024 Casa Pia - Arouca 1:0
    17.09.2023 Arouca - Casa Pia 0:1
    25.02.2023 Arouca - Casa Pia 2:0
    04.09.2022 Casa Pia - Arouca 0:0
    Latest results of Arouca
    26.04.2025 Santa Clara - Arouca 2:0
    13.04.2025 Benfica - Arouca 2:2
    05.04.2025 Arouca - Famalicão 1:2
    29.03.2025 Braga - Arouca 2:1
    Latest results of Casa Pia
    29.04.2025 Casa Pia - Estoril Praia 1:3
    19.04.2025 AVS - Casa Pia 1:1
    12.04.2025 Casa Pia - Porto 0:1
    07.04.2025 Farense - Casa Pia 0:0
    29.03.2025 Casa Pia - Rio Ave 2:1
    Liga Portugal Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Estrela00000:000
    2Vitoria Guimaraes00000:000
    3Estoril00000:000
    4Gil Vicente00000:000
    5Rio Ave00000:000
    6Santa Clara00000:000
    7Moreirense00000:000
    8FC Porto00000:000
    9Sporting CP00000:000
    10Benfica00000:000
    11Braga00000:000
    12Nacional00000:000
    13Arouca00000:000
    14Casa Pia00000:000
    15Tondela00000:000
    16Alverca00000:000
    17Famalicao00000:000
    18AFS00000:000

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