Casalarreina vs Peña Balsamaiso – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:3
06/04/2025 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Tercera RFEF - Group 16 - Round 29

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 31', 0 - 1, ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 2)
  • 71', 0 - 2, ,
  • 87', 1 - 2, ,
  • 90+1', 2 - 2, ,
  • 90+4', 2 - 3, ,

Chances of winning


Casalarreina
24.4%
Draw
22%
Peña Balsamaiso
53.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
12.9% 20.3% 66.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12.5% 19.6% 69.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Casalarreina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Casalarreina's performance.
  • Peña Balsamaiso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Peña Balsamaiso might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Casalarreina than the current prediction. (-11.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Casalarreina that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peña Balsamaiso than the current prediction. (+15.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Peña Balsamaiso could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Casalarreina - Peña Balsamaiso Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.75
    (7.06)
    4.15
    (4.48)
    1.71
    (1.36)
    9.2%
    (10%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Casalarreina - Peña Balsamaiso?
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Casalarreina (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 7).
    • Casalarreina is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recent matches Peña Balsamaiso is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Recently Casalarreina have a series of guest games.
    • In this match Peña Balsamaiso is absolute favorite.
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Casalarreina won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6:8 (average 1.2:1.6).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Casalarreina won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1 (average 0.5:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Casalarreina - Peña Balsamaiso were as follows:
    23.11.2024 Peña Balsamaiso - Casalarreina 1:1
    01.05.2024 Peña Balsamaiso - Casalarreina 3:4
    07.01.2024 Casalarreina - Peña Balsamaiso 1:1
    29.01.2023 Peña Balsamaiso - Casalarreina 3:0
    24.09.2022 Casalarreina - Peña Balsamaiso 0:0
    Latest results of Casalarreina
    Latest results of Peña Balsamaiso
    Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1UD Logrones B30228081:216074
    2Varea30215449:232668
    3Arnedo30188466:234362
    4Calahorra301510571:215055
    5Oyonesa30156946:38851
    6Anguiano30148842:34850
    7Haro Deportivo301461053:44948
    8Agoncillo301371053:401346
    9Vianes301081236:41-538
    10Yague309111043:42138
    11Berceo30991238:43-536
    12San Marcial30971433:52-1934
    13CDFC Calzada30961536:52-1633
    14Comillas30941726:51-2531
    15Pradejon30781526:45-1929
    16Villegas30751832:60-2826
    17Autol30352218:70-5214
    18Pena Balsamaiso300111922:71-4911

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