Result
3:2
14/02/2026 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie C - Group C - Round 27
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 254 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 2', 0 - 1, Casarotto M. ⚽,
- 7', 1 - 1, Grandolfo F. ⚽,
- 12', Bachini M. 🟨,
- 15', Viscardi A. 🟥,
- 21', Santarcangelo A. 🟨,
- 27', Bentivegna A. ↓, Girelli S. ↑,
- 45+1', Mercadante M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Bachini M. ↓, Gyamfi B. ↑,
- 56', Mercadante M. ↓, Cajazzo I. ↑,
- 62', Versienti L. 🟨,
- 68', 2 - 1, Celiento D. ⚽,
- 72', 2 - 2, Llano Massa M. T. ⚽,
- 76', Pezzella S. ↓, Leone K. ↑,
- 79', Versienti L. ↓, Cerbone S. ↑,
- 79', Chirico C. ↓, Leonetti V. ↑,
- 87', Cerbone S. 🟨,
- 90', Casarotto M. 🟨,
- 90', 3 - 2, Logoluso G. ⚽,
- 90+1', Llano Massa M. T. ↓, Galletta U. ↑,
Chances of winning
Casarano
38.5% | Draw
30.8% | Casertana
30.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Casarano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Casarano's performance.Casertana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Casertana might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Casarano than the current prediction. (-8.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Casarano that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Casertana than the current prediction. (+10.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Casertana could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Casarano - Casertana Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.39 ↓
(2.94) |
2.98 ↓
(3.16) |
2.98 ↑
(2.32) |
9%
(8.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)).
- In recent matches, Casarano has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Casertana is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Casarano won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:3. (average 2:1).
- Including home match between the teams, Casarano won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Casarano won against Casertana?
Casarano has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Casertana won against Casarano?
Casertana has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Casarano - Casertana were as follows:
05.10.2025
Casertana
-
Casarano
0:3
Latest results of Casarano
Latest results of Casertana
Italian Serie C Group C Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Benevento | 32 | 24 | 4 | 4 | 68:21 | 47 | 76 |
| 2 | Catania | 32 | 18 | 10 | 4 | 49:18 | 31 | 64 |
| 3 | Salernitana | 32 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 39:32 | 7 | 57 |
| 4 | Cosenza | 32 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 50:34 | 16 | 56 |
| 5 | Casertana | 32 | 15 | 8 | 9 | 45:40 | 5 | 53 |
| 6 | Crotone | 32 | 15 | 6 | 11 | 48:30 | 18 | 51 |
| 7 | Audace Cerignola | 32 | 13 | 9 | 10 | 43:43 | 0 | 48 |
| 8 | Monopoli | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 33:35 | -2 | 47 |
| 9 | Casarano | 32 | 12 | 7 | 13 | 44:52 | -8 | 43 |
| 10 | Potenza | 32 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 41:47 | -6 | 41 |
| 11 | Altamura | 32 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 28:39 | -11 | 40 |
| 12 | Atalanta U23 | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 45:42 | 3 | 38 |
| 13 | Latina | 32 | 8 | 11 | 13 | 25:35 | -10 | 35 |
| 14 | Cavese | 32 | 8 | 11 | 13 | 32:38 | -6 | 35 |
| 15 | Sorrento | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 34:47 | -13 | 33 |
| 16 | Picerno | 32 | 7 | 11 | 14 | 36:49 | -13 | 32 |
| 17 | Giugliano | 32 | 8 | 7 | 17 | 31:46 | -15 | 31 |
| 18 | Trapani | 32 | 12 | 8 | 12 | 41:46 | -5 | 24 |
| 19 | Siracusa | 32 | 8 | 6 | 18 | 39:48 | -9 | 24 |
| 20 | Foggia | 32 | 5 | 7 | 20 | 25:54 | -29 | 22 |
Promotion ~ Serie B
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)
Serie C ~ Play Out
Relegation
