Result
2:2
10/02/2026 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie C - Group C - Round 26
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Italy | NOW TV, SKY Go Italia |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 38% | 62% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Red cards |
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| 0 | 1 |
| Total shots |
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| 9 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 12', 1 - 0, Saco C. ⚽,
- 18', Gallo A. 🟨,
- 23', 1 - 1, Vinicius ⚽,
- 25', Proia F. 🟨,
- 31', 2 - 1, Girelli S. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 55', Gallo A. 🟨,
- 59', Calvano S. ↓, Zunno M. ↑,
- 59', Maggio M. ↓, Meli M. ↑,
- 59', Energe A. ↓, Musso A. ↑,
- 64', Kallon Y. ↓, Bentivegna A. ↑,
- 67', Kallon Y. 🟨,
- 70', Liotti D. ↓, Pezzella S. ↑,
- 70', Veltri A. ↓, Piovanello E. ↑,
- 70', Girelli S. 🟨,
- 81', 2 - 2, Gomez G. ⚽,
- 84', Girelli S. ↓, Leone K. ↑,
- 85', Meli M. 🟨,
- 88', Gomez G. ↓, Armini N. ↑,
- 90+6', Musso A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Casertana 35.6% | Draw 33% | Crotone 31.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Casertana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Casertana's form might have worsened.Crotone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Casertana than the current prediction. (+8.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Casertana, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crotone than the current prediction. (-4%)
Casertana - Crotone Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.58 ↑ (2.12) |
2.79 ↓ (3.16) |
2.92 ↓ (3.3) |
8.9% (9.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Casertana - Crotone?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Casertana won 3.
- Casertana has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Crotone is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Casertana won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:3. (average 1.3:0.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Casertana won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Casertana won against Crotone?
Casertana has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Crotone won against Casertana?
Crotone has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Casertana - Crotone were as follows:
28.09.2025
Crotone
-
Casertana
0:1
19.04.2025
Casertana
-
Crotone
2:0
08.12.2024
Crotone
-
Casertana
2:3
25.03.2024
Crotone
-
Casertana
0:0
18.11.2023
Casertana
-
Crotone
1:1
Latest results of Casertana
Latest results of Crotone
Italian Serie C Group C Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Benevento | 29 | 21 | 4 | 4 | 63:20 | 43 | 67 |
| 2 | Catania | 29 | 17 | 9 | 3 | 46:15 | 31 | 60 |
| 3 | Salernitana | 29 | 14 | 9 | 6 | 36:30 | 6 | 51 |
| 4 | Cosenza | 29 | 14 | 8 | 7 | 44:31 | 13 | 50 |
| 5 | Casertana | 29 | 13 | 7 | 9 | 42:39 | 3 | 46 |
| 6 | Crotone | 29 | 13 | 6 | 10 | 42:28 | 14 | 45 |
| 7 | Monopoli | 29 | 12 | 8 | 9 | 30:30 | 0 | 44 |
| 8 | Audace Cerignola | 29 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 34:36 | -2 | 42 |
| 9 | Casarano | 29 | 11 | 6 | 12 | 40:48 | -8 | 39 |
| 10 | Potenza | 29 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 37:41 | -4 | 37 |
| 11 | Altamura | 29 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 26:36 | -10 | 37 |
| 12 | Atalanta U23 | 29 | 9 | 7 | 13 | 40:36 | 4 | 34 |
| 13 | Sorrento | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 32:40 | -8 | 33 |
| 14 | Cavese | 29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 28:34 | -6 | 31 |
| 15 | Picerno | 29 | 7 | 9 | 13 | 34:45 | -11 | 30 |
| 16 | Latina | 29 | 6 | 11 | 12 | 20:32 | -12 | 29 |
| 17 | Trapani | 29 | 12 | 7 | 10 | 37:37 | 0 | 28 |
| 18 | Giugliano | 29 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 25:43 | -18 | 25 |
| 19 | Foggia | 29 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 25:51 | -26 | 22 |
| 20 | Siracusa | 29 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 35:44 | -9 | 20 |
Promotion ~ Serie B
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)
Serie C ~ Play Out
Relegation