Result
0:1
28/09/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie C - Group C - Round 7
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Italy | NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 254 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 6', Cargnelutti R. 🟥,
- 12', Murano J. ↓, Berra F. ↑,
- 30', Toscano M. 🟨,
- 45+1', Sandri M. 🟥,
- 45+3', Zunno M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Maggio M. ↓, Gallo A. ↑,
- 46', Zunno M. ↓, Stronati R. ↑,
- 46', Toscano M. ↓, Vano M. ↑,
- 56', Leone K. ↓, Proia F. ↑,
- 64', 0 - 1, Proia F. ⚽,
- 73', Casarotto M. 🟨,
- 73', Casarotto M. ↓, Llano Massa M. T. ↑,
- 74', Vinicius ↓, Piovanello E. ↑,
- 80', Liotti D. ↓, Falasca M. ↑,
- 80', Bentivegna A. ↓, Galletta U. ↑,
- 83', Oukhadda S. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Crotone 53.1% | Draw 27% | Casertana 19.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Crotone has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)Casertana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crotone than the current prediction. (+2.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Casertana than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
Crotone - Casertana Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.82 ↑ (1.73) |
3.57 ↑ (3.48) |
4.84 ↓ (4.88) |
3.7% (7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Crotone - Casertana?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Crotone (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals) and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)).
- Crotone is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Casertana has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Crotone may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Crotone is a strong favorite.
- We predict that Crotone will win today's game, with odds of 1.6.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Crotone won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:7. (average 0.6:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Crotone won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 0.7:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Crotone won against Casertana?
Crotone has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Casertana won against Crotone?
Casertana has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Crotone - Casertana were as follows:
19.04.2025
Casertana
-
Crotone
2:0
08.12.2024
Crotone
-
Casertana
2:3
25.03.2024
Crotone
-
Casertana
0:0
18.11.2023
Casertana
-
Crotone
1:1
Latest results of Crotone
Latest results of Casertana
Italian Serie C Group C Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Benevento | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 19:6 | 13 | 22 |
| 2 | Salernitana | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 16:12 | 4 | 22 |
| 3 | Catania | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 20:5 | 15 | 21 |
| 4 | Casarano | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 19:14 | 5 | 18 |
| 5 | Casertana | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 13:12 | 1 | 17 |
| 6 | Crotone | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 18:8 | 10 | 17 |
| 7 | Cosenza | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 18:12 | 6 | 16 |
| 8 | Monopoli | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 9:11 | -2 | 15 |
| 9 | Potenza | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 14:14 | 0 | 13 |
| 10 | Latina | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 6:11 | -5 | 12 |
| 11 | Atalanta U23 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 12:11 | 1 | 11 |
| 12 | Altamura | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 10:17 | -7 | 11 |
| 13 | Sorrento | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 9:10 | -1 | 11 |
| 14 | Audace Cerignola | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 10:15 | -5 | 10 |
| 15 | Foggia | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 7:15 | -8 | 10 |
| 16 | Giugliano | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 11:18 | -7 | 9 |
| 17 | Picerno | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 12:20 | -8 | 9 |
| 18 | Trapani | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 14:8 | 6 | 8 |
| 19 | Cavese | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 10:15 | -5 | 8 |
| 20 | Siracusa | 10 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 4:17 | -13 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Serie B
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)
Serie C ~ Play Out
Relegation