Casper Ruud vs Andrey Rublev – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis ATP World Tour Finals Casper Ruud - Andrey Rublev
Result
2:1
15/11/2024 at 14:40 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Finals - Turin (World), hard (indoor)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
czech-republicCzech-republicPremier Sport 1
hungaryHungaryNet4+

Match Stats

Aces
1510
Double Faults
13
1st Serve Percentage
75%57%
1st Serve Points Won
80% (51/64)77% (33/43)
2nd Serve Points Won
38% (8/21)52% (17/33)
Break Points Saved
75% (3/4)25% (1/4)
1st Return Points Won
23% (10/43)20% (13/64)
2nd Return Points Won
48% (16/33)62% (13/21)
Break Points Converted
75% (3/4)25% (1/4)
Winners
3434
Unforced Errors
1927
Net Points Won
89% (8/9)73% (8/11)
Service Points Won
69% (59/85)66% (50/76)
Return Points Won
34% (26/76)31% (26/85)
Total Points Won
53% (85/161)47% (76/161)
Last 10 Balls
82
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
93% (14/15)80% (12/15)
Return Games Won
20% (3/15)7% (1/15)
Total Games Won
57% (17/30)43% (13/30)

Chances of winning


Casper Ruud
40.7%
Andrey Rublev
59.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50% 50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.3% 48.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Casper Ruud has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Casper Ruud's form might have worsened.
  • Andrey Rublev has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Andrey Rublev's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Casper Ruud than the current prediction. (+10.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Casper Ruud, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Andrey Rublev than the current prediction. (-10.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Andrey Rublev, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Casper Ruud - Andrey Rublev Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.34
    (1.9)

    1.61
    (1.9)
    5%
    (5.3%)
    What is the prediction for Casper Ruud - Andrey Rublev?
  • Users Predictions: 29 users predict this event. Ruud will win (votes: 18 - 62.1%). Rublev will win (votes: 11 - 37.9%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Ruud: 44.4%79.8%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Ruud is ranked ATP: 7. Rublev is ranked ATP: 9.
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Ruud won 2.
    • Ruud is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recent matches Rublev is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Ruud could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Last 8 head-to-head matches Ruud won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 6:11 (average 0.8:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Casper Ruud - Andrey Rublev were as follows:
    23.07.2023 Casper Ruud - Andrey Rublev 0:2
    19.11.2022 Casper Ruud - Andrey Rublev 2:0
    Latest results of Casper Ruud
    Latest results of Andrey Rublev
    Draw
    Singles - Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)Ruud C. (7)2 : 0
    2Zverev A. (2)Fritz T. (5)1 : 2

    Final
    1Sinner J. (1)Fritz T. (5)2 : 0