Casper Ruud vs Daniil Medvedev – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
01/05/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Madrid, clay - Quarter-finals

Match Stats

Aces
21
Double Faults
24
1st Serve Percentage
66%59%
1st Serve Points Won
76% (31/41)67% (31/46)
2nd Serve Points Won
67% (14/21)50% (16/32)
Break Points Saved
100% (2/2)75% (6/8)
Average 1st Serve Speed
199 km/h200 km/h
Average 2nd Serve Speed
165 km/h147 km/h
1st Return Points Won
33% (15/46)24% (10/41)
2nd Return Points Won
50% (16/32)33% (7/21)
Break Points Converted
25% (2/8)0% (0/2)
Winners
1722
Unforced Errors
2133
Net Points Won
50% (4/8)65% (13/20)
Service Points Won
73% (45/62)60% (47/78)
Return Points Won
40% (31/78)27% (17/62)
Total Points Won
54% (76/140)46% (64/140)
Last 10 Balls
73
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
100% (11/11)80% (8/10)
Return Games Won
20% (2/10)0% (0/11)
Total Games Won
62% (13/21)38% (8/21)

Chances of winning


Casper Ruud
62%
Daniil Medvedev
38%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
62.1% 37.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.7% 36.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Casper Ruud has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
  • Daniil Medvedev has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Casper Ruud than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daniil Medvedev than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
  • Casper Ruud - Daniil Medvedev Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.54
    (1.52)

    2.5
    (2.49)
    4.8%
    (5.7%)
    What is the prediction for Casper Ruud - Daniil Medvedev?
  • Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Ruud will win (votes: 17 - 73.9%). Medvedev will win (votes: 6 - 26.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Ruud: 56%91.8%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH -1.5 Sets - Medvedev (1.57) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Casper Ruud will win (11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 14 Selected Experts predict this event. Ruud (votes: 11 - 78.6%). Medvedev (votes: 3 - 21.4%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Ruud is ranked ATP: 15. Medvedev is ranked ATP: 10.
    • Now, both players are in good form.
    • Ruud could have physical problems compared to their opponent - in recent days, they have played more matches than their opponents.
    • Ruud will have a poor advantage in this game.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Ruud won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 0:6 (average 0:2).
    Latest results of Casper Ruud
    Latest results of Daniil Medvedev
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/64-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)Bye
    2Bonzi B. (Q)Droguet T. (Q)2 : 1
    3Moller E. (Q)Cina F. (WC)2 : 0
    4ByeDiallo G. (32)
    5Norrie C. (19)Bye
    6Machac T.Comesana F.2 : 1
    7Bautista-Agut R.Tirante T. A.0 : 2
    8ByePaul T. (15)
    9Rublev A. (9)Bye
    10Zhang Z. (PR)Kopriva V.0 : 2
    11Sonego L.Lajovic D. (Q)0 : 2
    12ByeRinderknech A. (22)
    13Fonseca J. (27)Bye
    14Bergs Z.Cilic M.1 : 2
    15Jodar R. (WC)De Jong J.2 : 1
    16ByeDe Minaur A. (5)
    17Shelton B. (4)Bye
    18Prizmic D. (Q)Berrettini M.2 : 0
    19Basilashvili N. (Q)Ofner S.0 : 2
    20ByeEtcheverry T. M. (25)
    21Fils A. (21)Bye
    22Buse I.Mannarino A.2 : 0
    23Brooksby J.Nava E.0 : 2
    24ByeVacherot V. (14)
    25Lehecka J. (11)Bye
    26Tabilo A.Royer V.2 : 0
    27Muller A.Struff J-L.0 : 2
    28ByeMichelsen A. (33)
    29Griekspoor T. (29)Bye
    30Dzumhur D.Bellucci M.2 : 0
    31Faria J. (Q)Hurkacz H.0 : 2
    32ByeMusetti L. (6)
    33Bublik A. (8)Bye
    34Kypson P. (LL)Tsitsipas S.1 : 2
    35Trungelliti M. (LL)Merida Aguilar D. (Q)1 : 2
    36ByeMoutet C. (26)
    37Davidovich Fokina A. (20)Bye
    38Carreno-Busta P. (WC)Fucsovics M.2 : 1
    39Munar J.Shevchenko A.2 : 0
    40ByeRuud C. (12)
    41Cerundolo F. (16)Bye
    42Hanfmann Y.Giron M.2 : 1
    43Altmaier D.Cerundolo J. M.0 : 2
    44ByeDarderi L. (18)
    45Nakashima B. (28)Bye
    46Garin C. (LL)Blockx A.1 : 2
    47Gaubas V. (Q)Baez S.2 : 0
    48ByeAuger-Aliassime F. (3)
    49Medvedev D. (7)Bye
    50Marozsan F.Quinn E.2 : 0
    51Budkov Kjaer N. (Q)Opelka R. (RET.)0 : 0
    52ByeShapovalov D. (31)
    53Tien L. (17)Bye
    54Vallejo D. (Q)Dimitrov G.2 : 0
    55Ugo Carabelli C.Monfils G. (WC)2 : 0
    56ByeCobolli F. (10)
    57Khachanov K. (13)Bye
    58Landaluce M. (WC)Walton A.0 : 2
    59Popyrin A.Damm M. (Q)0 : 2
    60ByeMensik J. (23)
    61Humbert U. (30)Bye
    62Atmane T.Kecmanovic M.2 : 0
    63Borges N.Navone M.0 : 2
    64ByeZverev A. (2)

    1/32-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)Bonzi B. (Q)2 : 1
    2Moller E. (Q)Diallo G. (RET.) (32)1 : 0
    3Norrie C. (19)Machac T.2 : 1
    4Tirante T. A.Paul T. (15)2 : 0
    5Rublev A. (9)Kopriva V.0 : 2
    6Lajovic D.Rinderknech A. (22)0 : 2
    7Fonseca J. (WO.) (27)Cilic M.
    8Jodar R.De Minaur A. (5)2 : 0
    9Shelton B. (4)Prizmic D.1 : 2
    10Ofner S.Etcheverry T. M. (25)0 : 2
    11Fils A. (21)Buse I.2 : 1
    12Nava E.Vacherot V. (14)2 : 1
    13Lehecka J. (11)Tabilo A.2 : 1
    14Struff J-L.Michelsen A. (33)0 : 2
    15Griekspoor T. (29)Dzumhur D.2 : 0
    16Hurkacz H.Musetti L. (6)0 : 2
    17Bublik A. (8)Tsitsipas S.0 : 2
    18Merida Aguilar D.Moutet C. (26)2 : 0
    19Davidovich Fokina A. (20)Carreno-Busta P.2 : 0
    20Munar J.Ruud C. (12)0 : 2
    21Cerundolo F. (16)Hanfmann Y.2 : 0
    22Cerundolo J. M.Darderi L. (18)0 : 2
    23Nakashima B. (28)Blockx A.1 : 2
    24Gaubas V.Auger-Aliassime F. (3)0 : 2
    25Medvedev D. (7)Marozsan F.2 : 1
    26Budkov Kjaer N.Shapovalov D. (31)2 : 0
    27Tien L. (17)Vallejo D.0 : 2
    28Ugo Carabelli C.Cobolli F. (10)1 : 2
    29Khachanov K. (13)Walton A.2 : 0
    30Damm M.Mensik J. (23)0 : 2
    31Humbert U. (30)Atmane T.0 : 2
    32Navone M.Zverev A. (2)1 : 2

    1/16-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)Moller E.
    2Norrie C. (19)Tirante T. A.
    3Kopriva V.Rinderknech A. (22)
    4Fonseca J. (27)Jodar R.
    5Prizmic D.Etcheverry T. M. (25)
    6Fils A. (21)Nava E.
    7Lehecka J. (11)Michelsen A. (33)2 : 0
    8Griekspoor T. (29)Musetti L. (6)
    9Tsitsipas S.Merida Aguilar D.
    10Davidovich Fokina A. (20)Ruud C. (12)
    11Cerundolo F. (16)Darderi L. (18)
    12Blockx A.Auger-Aliassime F. (3)
    13Medvedev D. (7)Budkov Kjaer N.
    14Vallejo D.Cobolli F. (10)
    15Khachanov K. (13)Mensik J. (23)
    16Atmane T.Zverev A. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4Lehecka J. (11)TBD #8
    5TBD #9TBD #10
    6TBD #11TBD #12
    7TBD #13TBD #14
    8TBD #15TBD #16

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2