Castelfidardo vs Atletico Ascoli – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Italian Serie D - Group F Castelfidardo - Atletico Ascoli
12/10/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Castelfidardo
42.2%
Draw
27.9%
Atletico Ascoli
29.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.3% 28.1% 30.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.1% 26.9% 29.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Castelfidardo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
  • Atletico Ascoli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castelfidardo than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atletico Ascoli than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
  • Castelfidardo - Atletico Ascoli Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.14
    (2.2)
    3.24
    (3.23)
    3.02
    (2.96)
    10.8%
    (10.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Castelfidardo - Atletico Ascoli?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Atletico Ascoli (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 13 in the zone Serie D ~ Group F (Play Out: )).
    • Castelfidardo is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • In recent matches, Atletico Ascoli has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Atletico Ascoli may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Castelfidardo is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Castelfidardo
    05.10.2025 Termoli - Castelfidardo 2:2
    28.09.2025 Castelfidardo - Ancona 0:1
    24.09.2025 Notaresco - Castelfidardo 1:0
    21.09.2025 Castelfidardo - L Aquila 0:3
    14.09.2025 Teramo - Castelfidardo 1:0
    Latest results of Atletico Ascoli
    Italian Serie D - Group F Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ostiamare660011:3818
    2Ancona650110:4615
    3L Aquila642016:61014
    4Teramo642012:5714
    5Notaresco Calcio641112:7513
    6Calcio Chieti624011:8310
    7Termoli62229:908
    8Unipomezia62228:11-38
    9Fossombrone61416:607
    10Vigor Senigallia62135:8-37
    11Maceratese62046:7-16
    12Giulianova61325:8-36
    13Atletico Ascoli61238:10-25
    14Sora61237:9-25
    15Recanatese61147:12-54
    16Sammaurese61145:10-54
    17San Marino Calcio61054:11-73
    18Castelfidardo60153:11-81

          Promotion
          Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group F (Play Offs: )
          Serie D ~ Group F (Play Out: )
          Relegation