Result
3:1
15/02/2026 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie D - Group F - Round 24
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 15', 1 - 0, Maio F. (Penalty Awarded),
- 21', 🟥,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 85', 2 - 0, ⚽,
- 90+1', 2 - 1, ⚽,
- 90+3', 🟥,
- 90+4', 3 - 1, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Atletico Ascoli
64.6% | Draw
21.3% | Castelfidardo
14.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atletico Ascoli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)Castelfidardo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atletico Ascoli than the current prediction. (-0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castelfidardo than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
Atletico Ascoli - Castelfidardo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.41 ↓
(1.46) |
4.28 ↑
(3.93) |
6.47 ↑
(6.24) |
9.8%
(10%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group F (Play Offs: ) and 18 in the zone Relegation).
- Atletico Ascoli has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Castelfidardo is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Atletico Ascoli is the clear favorite.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Atletico Ascoli won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Atletico Ascoli won against Castelfidardo?
Atletico Ascoli has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Castelfidardo won against Atletico Ascoli?
Castelfidardo has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Atletico Ascoli - Castelfidardo were as follows:
12.10.2025
Castelfidardo
-
Atletico Ascoli
1:6
Latest results of Atletico Ascoli
Latest results of Castelfidardo
Italian Serie D - Group F Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ancona | 26 | 19 | 4 | 3 | 49:16 | 33 | 61 |
| 2 | Ostiamare | 26 | 18 | 6 | 2 | 53:17 | 36 | 60 |
| 3 | Teramo | 26 | 17 | 7 | 2 | 51:22 | 29 | 58 |
| 4 | L Aquila | 26 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 48:33 | 15 | 47 |
| 5 | Atletico Ascoli | 26 | 12 | 9 | 5 | 47:27 | 20 | 45 |
| 6 | Vigor Senigallia | 26 | 10 | 10 | 6 | 28:25 | 3 | 40 |
| 7 | Giulianova | 26 | 9 | 12 | 5 | 33:27 | 6 | 39 |
| 8 | Notaresco Calcio | 26 | 9 | 11 | 6 | 29:24 | 5 | 38 |
| 9 | Fossombrone | 26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 20:24 | -4 | 33 |
| 10 | Unipomezia | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 32:34 | -2 | 32 |
| 11 | Maceratese | 26 | 9 | 3 | 14 | 35:38 | -3 | 30 |
| 12 | Sora | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 33:39 | -6 | 30 |
| 13 | Termoli | 26 | 5 | 12 | 9 | 22:26 | -4 | 27 |
| 14 | Recanatese | 26 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 28:48 | -20 | 21 |
| 15 | Calcio Chieti | 26 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 23:47 | -24 | 21 |
| 16 | San Marino Calcio | 26 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 22:47 | -25 | 20 |
| 17 | Sammaurese | 26 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 27:57 | -30 | 18 |
| 18 | Castelfidardo | 26 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 22:51 | -29 | 15 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group F (Play Offs: )
Serie D ~ Group F (Play Out: )
Relegation
