Result
2:1
15/03/2026 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie D - Group F - Round 27
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 3', 0 - 1, ⚽,
- 29', 1 - 1, ⚽,
- 35', 2 - 1, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 88', 🟥,
Chances of winning
Castelfidardo
36.8% | Draw
28.8% | Recanatese
34.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Castelfidardo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)Recanatese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castelfidardo than the current prediction. (+1.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Recanatese than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
Castelfidardo - Recanatese Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.47 ↑
(2.39) |
3.16 ↑
(3.08) |
2.64 ↓
(2.74) |
10.1%
(10.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 14 in the zone Serie D ~ Group F (Play Out: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Castelfidardo won 2.
- The current form of both teams is below expectations.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Castelfidardo won 2 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:20. (average 1.3:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Castelfidardo won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:7. (average 1:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Castelfidardo won against Recanatese?
Castelfidardo has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Recanatese won against Castelfidardo?
Recanatese has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Castelfidardo - Recanatese were as follows:
02.11.2025
Recanatese
-
Castelfidardo
3:1
09.03.2025
Castelfidardo
-
Recanatese
1:1
Latest results of Castelfidardo
Latest results of Recanatese
Italian Serie D - Group F Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ancona | 28 | 20 | 5 | 3 | 52:18 | 34 | 65 |
| 2 | Ostiamare | 27 | 19 | 6 | 2 | 54:17 | 37 | 63 |
| 3 | Teramo | 27 | 18 | 7 | 2 | 54:23 | 31 | 61 |
| 4 | Atletico Ascoli | 28 | 13 | 10 | 5 | 50:28 | 22 | 49 |
| 5 | L Aquila | 28 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 51:38 | 13 | 48 |
| 6 | Notaresco Calcio | 28 | 11 | 11 | 6 | 36:24 | 12 | 44 |
| 7 | Vigor Senigallia | 28 | 11 | 11 | 6 | 34:28 | 6 | 44 |
| 8 | Giulianova | 28 | 9 | 13 | 6 | 34:29 | 5 | 40 |
| 9 | Fossombrone | 28 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 22:25 | -3 | 37 |
| 10 | Unipomezia | 28 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 33:36 | -3 | 33 |
| 11 | Termoli | 28 | 6 | 13 | 9 | 23:26 | -3 | 31 |
| 12 | Sora | 28 | 7 | 10 | 11 | 34:43 | -9 | 31 |
| 13 | Maceratese | 28 | 9 | 3 | 16 | 35:41 | -6 | 30 |
| 14 | Recanatese | 28 | 5 | 7 | 16 | 29:50 | -21 | 22 |
| 15 | Calcio Chieti | 28 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 24:49 | -25 | 22 |
| 16 | Castelfidardo | 28 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 25:52 | -27 | 21 |
| 17 | San Marino Calcio | 28 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 24:52 | -28 | 21 |
| 18 | Sammaurese | 28 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 28:63 | -35 | 18 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group F (Play Offs: )
Serie D ~ Group F (Play Out: )
Relegation
