Castelfidardo vs Recanatese – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Italian Serie D - Group F Castelfidardo - Recanatese
Result
1:1
09/03/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ITALY: Serie D - Group F - Round 27

Match Stats

Red Cards
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 8', 0 - 1, Ferrante D. ,
  • 31', 1 - 1, Braconi L. ,
  • 35', 🟥,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)

Chances of winning


Castelfidardo
41.8%
Draw
29.6%
Recanatese
28.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.9% 30.3% 27.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.5% 30.7% 27.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Castelfidardo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
  • Recanatese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castelfidardo than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Recanatese than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
  • Castelfidardo - Recanatese Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.18
    (2.17)
    3.09
    (3)
    3.18
    (3.27)
    9.7%
    (10%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 9 and 10).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Castelfidardo won 2.
    • The game of competitors is shaky now.
    • Recanatese could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Castelfidardo will have a poor advantage in this game.
    • Last 9 head-to-head matches Castelfidardo won 2 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 12:16 (average 1.3:1.8).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Castelfidardo won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:6 (average 1:1.2).
    Latest results of Castelfidardo
    09.02.2025 Castelfidardo - Sora 2:0
    02.02.2025 Termoli - Castelfidardo 1:1
    26.01.2025 Castelfidardo - Chieti 0:1
    Latest results of Recanatese
    02.03.2025 Recanatese - Ancona 3:2
    23.02.2025 Fossombrone - Recanatese 4:1
    09.02.2025 Notaresco - Recanatese 1:1
    02.02.2025 Recanatese - Roma City 2:1
    Italian Serie D - Group F Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ostiamare660011:3818
    2Ancona650110:4615
    3L Aquila642016:61014
    4Teramo642012:5714
    5Notaresco Calcio641112:7513
    6Calcio Chieti624011:8310
    7Termoli62229:908
    8Unipomezia62228:11-38
    9Fossombrone61416:607
    10Vigor Senigallia62135:8-37
    11Maceratese62046:7-16
    12Giulianova61325:8-36
    13Atletico Ascoli61238:10-25
    14Sora61237:9-25
    15Recanatese61147:12-54
    16Sammaurese61145:10-54
    17San Marino Calcio61054:11-73
    18Castelfidardo60153:11-81

          Promotion
          Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group F (Play Offs: )
          Serie D ~ Group F (Play Out: )
          Relegation