Result
 
                    1:1
                
               
                
                                 
                    
                    
                        09/03/2025 at  09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
                    
 
                 
                
                
				
				                
				
				                
                 
                 
                     
                     
                                                -  ITALY: Serie D - Group F - Round 27
                    
                    
                     
                  
				
				            
            
            
                            				
                
                
				
				                
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Key Moments
                    
                    
					    Here there are
                                
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 8', 0 - 1, Ferrante D. ⚽, 
- 31', 1 - 1, Braconi L. ⚽, 
- 35',  🟥, 
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  
                 
				 				 
				 				 
				 
				 				 
				 
				 
				
				                 
                    
                        Chances of winning
                    
                    
                        
                                
 | Castelfidardo 41.8%
 | Draw 29.6%
 | Recanatese 28.6%
 | 
Initial Probability
 (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Castelfidardo - Recanatese Odds
                    
                    
                        
                                
            
            
            
			
			
			   |  | 1 | X | 2 | Marga |  | 
			
			
			   | Avarage Now (Initially)
 | 2.18 ↑ (2.17)
 | 3.08 ↑ (3)
 | 3.18 ↓ (3.27)
 | 9.8% (10%)
 |  | 
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  
                 
				 				 
				 
				 
            
                                
                
                                  
                    
                     Preview Facts
                    
                    
                        
                              - This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 9 and 10).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Castelfidardo won 2. 
- The game of competitors is shaky now. 
- Recanatese could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents. 
- Castelfidardo will have a poor advantage in this game.
 
- Last 9 head-to-head matches Castelfidardo won 2 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 12:16 (average 1.3:1.8). 
- Including matches at home between the teams Castelfidardo won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:6 (average 1:1.2).                        
  
                 
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Castelfidardo won against Recanatese?
                    
                    
                        
                            Castelfidardo has won  of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Recanatese won against Castelfidardo?
                    
                    
                        
                             Recanatese has won  of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                
                                 
                    
                        What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
                    
                    
                    
                        
                            The latest head-to-head matches between Castelfidardo - Recanatese were as follows:
                                                     
                      
                    
                 
                
                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Castelfidardo                    
                    
                    
                 
                                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Recanatese                    
                    
                 
				
				
				
                
                
                                 
                                 
                			   
			                       
                            
                                                
Italian Serie D - Group F Table
2025/26|  |  | Pl | W | D | L |  | Diff | Pts | 
| 1 | Ostiamare | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 20:5 | 15 | 27 | 
| 2 | Ancona | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 17:5 | 12 | 22 | 
| 3 | Teramo | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 18:7 | 11 | 21 | 
| 4 | Notaresco Calcio | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 15:8 | 7 | 20 | 
| 5 | L Aquila | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 19:12 | 7 | 17 | 
| 6 | Atletico Ascoli | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 19:11 | 8 | 14 | 
| 7 | Sora | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 17:12 | 5 | 12 | 
| 8 | Calcio Chieti | 9 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 12:12 | 0 | 12 | 
| 9 | Vigor Senigallia | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 8:10 | -2 | 12 | 
| 10 | Unipomezia | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10:14 | -4 | 12 | 
| 11 | Termoli | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 12:12 | 0 | 11 | 
| 12 | Maceratese | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 10:15 | -5 | 9 | 
| 13 | Giulianova | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 7:11 | -4 | 8 | 
| 14 | San Marino Calcio | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7:13 | -6 | 8 | 
| 15 | Fossombrone | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 7:11 | -4 | 7 | 
| 16 | Recanatese | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 8:18 | -10 | 4 | 
| 17 | Sammaurese | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6:19 | -13 | 4 | 
| 18 | Castelfidardo | 9 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4:21 | -17 | 1 | 
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