Result
2:0
25/01/2026 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie D - Group F - Round 21
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 28', 1 - 0, Abagnale G. ⚽,
- 45', 2 - 0, Abagnale G. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Chances of winning
Castelfidardo
21.8% | Draw
28.6% | Notaresco
49.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Castelfidardo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)Notaresco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castelfidardo than the current prediction. (+1.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Notaresco than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
Castelfidardo - Notaresco Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.13 ↑
(3.86) |
3.16 ↑
(3.13) |
1.82 ↓
(1.92) |
10.8%
(10.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group F (Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Castelfidardo won 1.
- Castelfidardo is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- In recent matches, Notaresco has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, Notaresco is a strong favorite.
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Castelfidardo won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 4:10. (average 0.6:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Castelfidardo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Castelfidardo won against Notaresco?
Castelfidardo has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Notaresco won against Castelfidardo?
Notaresco has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Castelfidardo - Notaresco were as follows:
24.09.2025
Notaresco
-
Castelfidardo
1:0
23.03.2025
Notaresco
-
Castelfidardo
1:0
10.11.2024
Castelfidardo
-
Notaresco
2:1
Latest results of Castelfidardo
Latest results of Notaresco
Italian Serie D - Group F Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ostiamare | 31 | 22 | 7 | 2 | 62:20 | 42 | 73 |
| 2 | Ancona | 31 | 22 | 5 | 4 | 55:21 | 34 | 71 |
| 3 | Teramo | 31 | 20 | 9 | 2 | 59:25 | 34 | 69 |
| 4 | Atletico Ascoli | 31 | 14 | 11 | 6 | 53:31 | 22 | 53 |
| 5 | L Aquila | 31 | 14 | 7 | 10 | 51:41 | 10 | 49 |
| 6 | Notaresco Calcio | 31 | 12 | 11 | 8 | 39:27 | 12 | 47 |
| 7 | Giulianova | 31 | 10 | 15 | 6 | 35:29 | 6 | 45 |
| 8 | Vigor Senigallia | 31 | 11 | 12 | 8 | 37:33 | 4 | 45 |
| 9 | Fossombrone | 31 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 24:30 | -6 | 40 |
| 10 | Unipomezia | 31 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 36:37 | -1 | 38 |
| 11 | Maceratese | 31 | 11 | 4 | 16 | 42:44 | -2 | 37 |
| 12 | Termoli | 30 | 7 | 14 | 9 | 24:26 | -2 | 35 |
| 13 | Sora | 31 | 7 | 11 | 13 | 36:47 | -11 | 32 |
| 14 | Calcio Chieti | 31 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 26:53 | -27 | 26 |
| 15 | Recanatese | 31 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 33:55 | -22 | 25 |
| 16 | San Marino Calcio | 31 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 29:57 | -28 | 25 |
| 17 | Castelfidardo | 31 | 6 | 5 | 20 | 28:57 | -29 | 23 |
| 18 | Sammaurese | 30 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 28:64 | -36 | 19 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group F (Play Offs: )
Serie D ~ Group F (Play Out: )
Relegation
