San Nicolò Notaresco vs Castelfidardo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Italian Serie D - Group F San Nicolò Notaresco - Castelfidardo
Result
1:0
23/03/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ITALY: Serie D - Group F - Round 28

Match Stats

Red Cards
01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 36', 🟥,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 90+5', 1 - 0, ,

Chances of winning


San Nicolò Notaresco
40.6%
Draw
29.7%
Castelfidardo
29.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.2% 29% 32.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38% 29.2% 33%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • San Nicolò Notaresco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
  • Castelfidardo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Nicolò Notaresco than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castelfidardo than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
  • San Nicolò Notaresco - Castelfidardo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.22
    (2.38)
    3.04
    (3.13)
    3.03
    (2.77)
    10.9%
    (10%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Serie D ~ Group F (Play Out: ) and 9).
    • San Nicolò is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Recent matches Castelfidardo is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • San Nicolò could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Recently San Nicolò have a series of home games.
    • In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches San Nicolò won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8:4 (average 1.6:0.8).
    • Including matches at home between the teams San Nicolò won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:1 (average 2:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between San Nicolò Notaresco - Castelfidardo were as follows:
    10.11.2024 Castelfidardo - San Nicolò Notaresco 2:1
    Latest results of San Nicolò Notaresco
    Latest results of Castelfidardo
    Draw
    Winners Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1LivornoBra4 : 1, 2 : 1
    2SiracusaOspitaletto2 : 0, 3 : 2

    Final
    1LivornoSiracusa2 : 1