Result
2:0
25/01/2026 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie D - Group F - Round 21
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 28', 1 - 0, Abagnale G. ⚽,
- 45', 2 - 0, Abagnale G. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Chances of winning
Castelfidardo
21.8% | Draw
28.6% | Notaresco
49.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Castelfidardo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)Notaresco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castelfidardo than the current prediction. (+1.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Notaresco than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
Castelfidardo - Notaresco Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.13 ↑
(3.86) |
3.16 ↑
(3.13) |
1.82 ↓
(1.92) |
10.8%
(10.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group F (Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Castelfidardo won 1.
- Castelfidardo is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- In recent matches, Notaresco has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, Notaresco is a strong favorite.
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Castelfidardo won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 4:10. (average 0.6:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Castelfidardo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Castelfidardo won against Notaresco?
Castelfidardo has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Notaresco won against Castelfidardo?
Notaresco has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Castelfidardo - Notaresco were as follows:
24.09.2025
Notaresco
-
Castelfidardo
1:0
23.03.2025
Notaresco
-
Castelfidardo
1:0
10.11.2024
Castelfidardo
-
Notaresco
2:1
Latest results of Castelfidardo
Latest results of Notaresco
Italian Serie D - Group F Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ancona | 26 | 19 | 4 | 3 | 49:16 | 33 | 61 |
| 2 | Ostiamare | 26 | 18 | 6 | 2 | 53:17 | 36 | 60 |
| 3 | Teramo | 26 | 17 | 7 | 2 | 51:22 | 29 | 58 |
| 4 | L Aquila | 26 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 48:33 | 15 | 47 |
| 5 | Atletico Ascoli | 26 | 12 | 9 | 5 | 47:27 | 20 | 45 |
| 6 | Vigor Senigallia | 26 | 10 | 10 | 6 | 28:25 | 3 | 40 |
| 7 | Giulianova | 26 | 9 | 12 | 5 | 33:27 | 6 | 39 |
| 8 | Notaresco Calcio | 26 | 9 | 11 | 6 | 29:24 | 5 | 38 |
| 9 | Fossombrone | 26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 20:24 | -4 | 33 |
| 10 | Unipomezia | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 32:34 | -2 | 32 |
| 11 | Maceratese | 26 | 9 | 3 | 14 | 35:38 | -3 | 30 |
| 12 | Sora | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 33:39 | -6 | 30 |
| 13 | Termoli | 26 | 5 | 12 | 9 | 22:26 | -4 | 27 |
| 14 | Recanatese | 26 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 28:48 | -20 | 21 |
| 15 | Calcio Chieti | 26 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 23:47 | -24 | 21 |
| 16 | San Marino Calcio | 26 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 22:47 | -25 | 20 |
| 17 | Sammaurese | 26 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 27:57 | -30 | 18 |
| 18 | Castelfidardo | 26 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 22:51 | -29 | 15 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group F (Play Offs: )
Serie D ~ Group F (Play Out: )
Relegation
