Result
2:0
25/01/2026 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie D - Group F - Round 21
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 28', 1 - 0, Abagnale G. ⚽,
- 45', 2 - 0, Abagnale G. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Chances of winning
Castelfidardo
21.8% | Draw
28.6% | Notaresco
49.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Castelfidardo - Notaresco Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.13 ↑
(3.86) |
3.16 ↑
(3.13) |
1.82 ↓
(1.92) |
10.8%
(10.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group F (Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Castelfidardo won 1.
- Castelfidardo is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- In recent matches, Notaresco has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, Notaresco is a strong favorite.
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Castelfidardo won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 4:10. (average 0.6:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Castelfidardo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Castelfidardo won against Notaresco?
Castelfidardo has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Notaresco won against Castelfidardo?
Notaresco has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Castelfidardo - Notaresco were as follows:
24.09.2025
Notaresco
-
Castelfidardo
1:0
23.03.2025
Notaresco
-
Castelfidardo
1:0
10.11.2024
Castelfidardo
-
Notaresco
2:1
Latest results of Castelfidardo
Latest results of Notaresco
Italian Serie D - Group F Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Teramo | 23 | 16 | 6 | 1 | 47:17 | 30 | 54 |
| 2 | Ancona | 23 | 17 | 3 | 3 | 40:14 | 26 | 54 |
| 3 | Ostiamare | 23 | 15 | 6 | 2 | 46:15 | 31 | 51 |
| 4 | L Aquila | 23 | 13 | 4 | 6 | 43:28 | 15 | 43 |
| 5 | Atletico Ascoli | 23 | 10 | 8 | 5 | 40:24 | 16 | 38 |
| 6 | Notaresco Calcio | 23 | 9 | 9 | 5 | 26:20 | 6 | 36 |
| 7 | Vigor Senigallia | 23 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 23:22 | 1 | 35 |
| 8 | Giulianova | 23 | 7 | 11 | 5 | 28:24 | 4 | 32 |
| 9 | Fossombrone | 23 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 18:20 | -2 | 32 |
| 10 | Maceratese | 23 | 8 | 3 | 12 | 33:32 | 1 | 27 |
| 11 | Termoli | 23 | 5 | 11 | 7 | 21:23 | -2 | 26 |
| 12 | Sora | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 27:34 | -7 | 25 |
| 13 | Unipomezia | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 25:33 | -8 | 25 |
| 14 | Recanatese | 23 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 26:41 | -15 | 20 |
| 15 | San Marino Calcio | 23 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 19:38 | -19 | 20 |
| 16 | Calcio Chieti | 23 | 3 | 9 | 11 | 20:40 | -20 | 18 |
| 17 | Sammaurese | 23 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 21:51 | -30 | 14 |
| 18 | Castelfidardo | 23 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 17:44 | -27 | 12 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group F (Play Offs: )
Serie D ~ Group F (Play Out: )
Relegation
