Castelfidardo vs UniPomezia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:3
16/11/2025 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Serie D - Group F - Round 12

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 2)
  • 45+2', 1 - 0, Palestini R. ,
  • 45+2', 2 - 0, Abagnale G. ,
  • 45+2', 2 - 1, Della Pietra V. ,
  • 45+2', 2 - 2, Giannini M. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 90', 2 - 3, Della Pietra V. ,

Chances of winning


Castelfidardo
41.3%
Draw
28%
UniPomezia
30.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.3% 26.6% 30.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.6% 25.8% 29.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Castelfidardo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
  • UniPomezia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castelfidardo than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for UniPomezia than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
  • Castelfidardo - UniPomezia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.21
    (2.12)
    3.26
    (3.45)
    2.96
    (3.04)
    9.8%
    (9.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 10).
    • Castelfidardo is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • UniPomezia has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Castelfidardo will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • The teams have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Castelfidardo
    Latest results of UniPomezia
    09.11.2025 UniPomezia - Ostia Mare 0:2
    26.10.2025 UniPomezia - Recanatese 1:0
    19.10.2025 Ancona - UniPomezia 2:0
    Italian Serie D - Group F Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ancona26194349:163361
    2Ostiamare26186253:173660
    3Teramo26177251:222958
    4L Aquila26145748:331547
    5Atletico Ascoli26129547:272045
    6Vigor Senigallia261010628:25340
    7Giulianova26912533:27639
    8Notaresco Calcio26911629:24538
    9Fossombrone2689920:24-433
    10Unipomezia26881032:34-232
    11Maceratese26931435:38-330
    12Sora26791033:39-630
    13Termoli26512922:26-427
    14Recanatese26561528:48-2021
    15Calcio Chieti26491323:47-2421
    16San Marino Calcio26551622:47-2520
    17Sammaurese26461627:57-3018
    18Castelfidardo26431922:51-2915

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