Result
2:1
24/06/2023 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - PROMOTION PLAY OFFS - FINAL
Chances of winning
Alcorcón
48.4% | Draw
30.8% | Castellón
20.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alcorcón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alcorcón's form might have worsened.Castellón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Castellón's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alcorcón than the current prediction. (+11.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alcorcón, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Castellón than the current prediction. (-7.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Castellón, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Alcorcón - Castellón Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.89 ↑
(1.57) |
2.98 ↓
(3.3) |
4.4 ↓
(6.55) |
9.1%
(9.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Alcorcón - Castellón?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Alcorcón will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Castellón will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- 2nd leg. 1st leg result: 0-0.
- Alcorcón is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Recent matches Castellón is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- In this match Alcorcón is a favorite.
- Last 3 head-to-head matches Alcorcón won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.
- Including matches at home between the teams Alcorcón won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.
How many head-to-head matches has Alcorcón won against Castellón?
Alcorcón has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Castellón won against Alcorcón?
Castellón has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Alcorcón - Castellón were as follows:
18.06.2023
Castellón
-
Alcorcón
0:0
Latest results of Alcorcón
Latest results of Castellón
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tenerife | 26 | 18 | 4 | 4 | 47:15 | 32 | 58 |
| 2 | Celta Vigo B | 26 | 14 | 7 | 5 | 42:31 | 11 | 49 |
| 3 | Pontevedra | 26 | 10 | 11 | 5 | 32:20 | 12 | 41 |
| 4 | Lugo | 26 | 10 | 10 | 6 | 26:22 | 4 | 40 |
| 5 | Ponferradina | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 28:22 | 6 | 39 |
| 6 | AD Merida | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 36:34 | 2 | 39 |
| 7 | Ath Bilbao B | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 28:29 | -1 | 39 |
| 8 | Real Madrid B | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 32:34 | -2 | 38 |
| 9 | Barakaldo | 26 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 34:29 | 5 | 37 |
| 10 | Unionistas | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 37:33 | 4 | 37 |
| 11 | Racing Club Ferrol | 26 | 11 | 4 | 11 | 30:31 | -1 | 37 |
| 12 | Zamora | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 33:31 | 2 | 36 |
| 13 | Arenas Getxo | 26 | 10 | 3 | 13 | 30:37 | -7 | 33 |
| 14 | Real Aviles | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 39:45 | -6 | 32 |
| 15 | Ourense CF | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 30:31 | -1 | 31 |
| 16 | CF Talavera | 26 | 8 | 4 | 14 | 28:37 | -9 | 28 |
| 17 | Cacereno | 26 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 25:34 | -9 | 28 |
| 18 | Guadalajara | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 23:40 | -17 | 25 |
| 19 | Arenteiro | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 23:33 | -10 | 24 |
| 20 | Osasuna B | 26 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 17:32 | -15 | 21 |
Promotion ~ LaLiga2
Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1
Relegation
