Result
2:1
24/06/2023 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - PROMOTION PLAY OFFS - FINAL
Chances of winning
Alcorcón
48.4% | Draw
30.8% | Castellón
20.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alcorcón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alcorcón's form might have worsened.Castellón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Castellón's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alcorcón than the current prediction. (+11.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alcorcón, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Castellón than the current prediction. (-7.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Castellón, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Alcorcón - Castellón Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.89 ↑
(1.57) |
2.98 ↓
(3.3) |
4.4 ↓
(6.55) |
9.1%
(9.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Alcorcón - Castellón?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Alcorcón will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Castellón will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- 2nd leg. 1st leg result: 0-0.
- Alcorcón is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Recent matches Castellón is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- In this match Alcorcón is a favorite.
- Last 3 head-to-head matches Alcorcón won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.
- Including matches at home between the teams Alcorcón won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.
How many head-to-head matches has Alcorcón won against Castellón?
Alcorcón has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Castellón won against Alcorcón?
Castellón has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Alcorcón - Castellón were as follows:
18.06.2023
Castellón
-
Alcorcón
0:0
Latest results of Alcorcón
Latest results of Castellón
Draw
Promotion - Play OffsSemi-finals| 1 | Antequera | Ponferradina | 1 : 2, 1 : 0 |
| 2 | Andorra | UD Ibiza | 1 : 0, 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Gimnastic | Murcia | 1 : 0, 1 : 1 |
| 4 | Merida AD | Real Sociedad B | 1 : 0, 0 : 1 |
Final| 1 | Ponferradina | Andorra | 0 : 1, 1 : 1 |
| 2 | Gimnastic | Real Sociedad B | 2 : 1, 1 : 3 |
