Result
2:1
24/06/2023 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - PROMOTION PLAY OFFS - FINAL
Chances of winning
Alcorcón
48.4% | Draw
30.8% | Castellón
20.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alcorcón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alcorcón's form might have worsened.Castellón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Castellón's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alcorcón than the current prediction. (+11.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alcorcón, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Castellón than the current prediction. (-7.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Castellón, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Alcorcón - Castellón Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.89 ↑
(1.57) |
2.98 ↓
(3.3) |
4.4 ↓
(6.55) |
9.1%
(9.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Alcorcón - Castellón?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Alcorcón will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Castellón will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- 2nd leg. 1st leg result: 0-0.
- Alcorcón is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Recent matches Castellón is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- In this match Alcorcón is a favorite.
- Last 3 head-to-head matches Alcorcón won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.
- Including matches at home between the teams Alcorcón won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.
How many head-to-head matches has Alcorcón won against Castellón?
Alcorcón has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Castellón won against Alcorcón?
Castellón has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Alcorcón - Castellón were as follows:
18.06.2023
Castellón
-
Alcorcón
0:0
Latest results of Alcorcón
Latest results of Castellón
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tenerife | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7:0 | 7 | 9 |
| 2 | Racing Club Ferrol | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5:2 | 3 | 9 |
| 3 | Arenteiro | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 2 | 6 |
| 4 | Guadalajara | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 6 |
| 5 | Ath Bilbao B | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 5 |
| 6 | Zamora | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 5 |
| 7 | Celta Vigo B | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 4 |
| 8 | Arenas Getxo | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:5 | 0 | 4 |
| 9 | CF Talavera | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 4 |
| 10 | Barakaldo | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 4 |
| 11 | Pontevedra | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 4 |
| 12 | Osasuna B | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 4 |
| 13 | Real Aviles | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 4 |
| 14 | Ponferradina | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:3 | 1 | 3 |
| 15 | Real Madrid B | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:3 | -1 | 3 |
| 16 | Merida AD | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:7 | -4 | 3 |
| 17 | Ourense CF | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 2 |
| 18 | Cacereno | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3:5 | -2 | 2 |
| 19 | Lugo | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 |
| 20 | Unionistas | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0:4 | -4 | 0 |
Promotion ~ LaLiga2
Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1
Relegation
