Málaga vs Castellón – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish LaLiga2
Result
2:3
25/04/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • LaLiga2 - Round 37
  • Referee: Muniz C. (Esp)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDSports 6
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 3
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go
denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play
ecuadorEcuadorDSports 6
finlandFinlandMTV Max
franceFrancebeIN Sports MAX 6
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, Vidio
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Sports 2
mexicoMexicoIzzi TV, Sky Sport
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaSky Sports Norte
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
portugalPortugalDAZN 2, DAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaPrima Sport PPV 1
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sports 2
south-americaSouth-americaDGO Latin America
spainSpainDAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion
swedenSwedenTV4 Play, TV4 Sportkanalen
thailandThailandAIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 6, MEGOGO Ukraine
uruguayUruguayDSports 6

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
2.321.91
Ball possession
56%44%
Total shots
1213
Shots on target
78
Big chances
34
Corner kicks
13
Passes
84% (372/445)79% (273/347)
Yellow cards
24
Expected goals (xG)
2.321.91
xG on target (xGOT)
1.752.71
Total shots
1213
Shots on target
78
Shots off target
42
Blocked shots
13
Shots inside the box
1210
Shots outside the box
03
Hit the woodwork
00
Headed goals
11
Big chances
34
Corner kicks
13
Touches in opposition box
3324
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
34
Free kicks
2312
Passes
84% (372/445)79% (273/347)
Long passes
49% (35/71)30% (10/33)
Passes in final third
56% (47/84)71% (90/127)
Crosses
43% (3/7)21% (3/14)
Expected assists (xA)
1.391.74
Throw ins
2016
Fouls
1223
Tackles
67% (8/12)69% (11/16)
Duels won
5741
Clearances
2521
Interceptions
85
Errors leading to shot
40
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper saves
45
xGOT faced
2.711.75
Goals prevented
-0.29-0.25

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 12', 1 - 0, Chupe (Penalty Awarded),
  • 24', Dotor C. 🟨,
  • 27', 1 - 1, Calatrava A. ⚽, Cipenga B. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 46', Camara O. ↓, Ronaldo ↑,
  • 56', Sienra A. 🟨,
  • 67', Santiago P. ↓, Mabil A. ↑,
  • 68', 1 - 2, Calatrava A. ⚽, Cipenga B. (A),
  • 69', Nino A. ↓, Lobete J. ↑,
  • 72', Ronaldo 🟨,
  • 75', Lobete J. 🟨,
  • 77', 1 - 3, Calatrava A. ⚽, Ronaldo (A),
  • 78', Munoz J. ↓, Abaida H. ↑,
  • 79', Ochoa A. ↓, Jauregi E. ↑,
  • 79', Jakobsen A. ↓, Sanchez R. ↑,
  • 85', 2 - 3, Chupe ⚽, Dotor C. (A),
  • 86', Cipenga B. ↓, Tincho ↑,
  • 86', Sienra A. ↓, Ruiz S. ↑,
  • 90+3', Tincho 🟨,
  • 90+6', Brignani F. 🟨,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/mt8cn923

Chances of winning


Málaga
35.1%		Draw
28.7%		Castellón
36.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.2% 27.2% 35.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.2% 27.9% 34.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Málaga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
  • Castellón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Málaga than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Castellón than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
    •

    Málaga - Castellón Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.67 ↑
    (2.53)    		 3.29 ↓
    (3.47)    		 2.58 ↓
    (2.64)    		 6.6%
    (6.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Málaga - Castellón?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Málaga will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Castellón will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Castellón: 16.1% – 74.9%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Málaga (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Málaga won 1.
    • Málaga has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Castellón is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • There will not play in Málaga: Enriquez R. (Red Card) Juanpe (Injury) Larrubia D. (Foot Injury) Lorenzo D. (Knee Injury) Luismi (Face Injury) Pastor A. (Knee Injury) Rodriguez R. (Yellow Cards)
    • There will not play in Castellón: Aurelio D. (Knee Injury) Gerenabarrena B. (Yellow Cards) Jimenez A. (Yellow Cards)
    • There are questionable in Castellón: Camara O. (Injury)
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Málaga won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:7. (average 1:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Málaga won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:1. (average 1.3:0.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Málaga - Castellón were as follows:
    02.11.2025 Castellón - Málaga 2:1
    27.04.2025 Málaga - Castellón 1:0
    01.12.2024 Castellón - Málaga 2:0
    21.01.2024 Málaga - Castellón 0:1
    26.08.2023 Castellón - Málaga 2:1
    Latest results of Málaga
    19.04.2026 Almería - Málaga 3:2 ✺
    11.04.2026 Málaga - Las Palmas 2:0 ✺
    04.04.2026 Deportivo La Coruña - Málaga 1:1 ✺
    01.04.2026 FC Andorra - Málaga 3:3 ✺
    28.03.2026 Málaga - Leganés 0:0 ✺
    Latest results of Castellón
    18.04.2026 Castellón - Burgos 3:1 ✺
    12.04.2026 Mirandés - Castellón 2:2 ✺
    06.04.2026 Castellón - Granada 3:2 ✺
    02.04.2026 Castellón - Almería 2:0 ✺
    28.03.2026 Albacete Balompié - Castellón 1:1 ✺
    Spanish LaLiga2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Racing Santander382261079:572272
    2Dep. La Coruna381911859:411868
    3Almeria372071074:561867
    4Las Palmas381812851:321966
    5Castellon3818101065:481764
    6Malaga381891166:491763
    7Burgos CF3817111044:331162
    8Eibar3817101147:361161
    9Cordoba381691354:56-257
    10Andorra3815101356:48855
    11Ceuta381591446:58-1254
    12Gijon381571651:49252
    13Albacete3813111449:51-250
    14Granada CF3812121448:49-148
    15Valladolid3811101741:50-943
    16Leganes3810121641:46-542
    17Real Sociedad B381191846:54-842
    18Cadiz CF381091936:55-1939
    19Mirandes37991940:60-2036
    20Huesca38992039:59-2036
    21Zaragoza388111933:51-1835
    22Cultural Leonesa38892135:62-2733

          Promotion ~ LaLiga
          Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation

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