Mirandés vs Castellón – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish LaLiga2 Mirandés - Castellón
Result
3:2
10/05/2025 at 10:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • LaLiga2 - Round 39
  • Referee: Lax S. (Esp)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
indiaIndiaGXR World
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaSky Sports Norte
peruPeruDisney+
spainSpainDAZN Espana, GolStadium, LaLiga Hypermotion 2
uruguayUruguayDisney+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.941.82
Ball Possession
44%56%
Total shots
1614
Shots on target
59
Big Chances
62
Corner Kicks
53
Passes
78% (265/339)80% (350/440)
Yellow Cards
23
Expected Goals (xG)
2.941.82
xG on target (xGOT)
2.842.69
Total shots
1614
Shots on target
59
Shots off target
73
Blocked Shots
42
Shots inside the Box
1510
Shots outside the Box
13
Hit the Woodwork
21
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
62
Corner Kicks
53
Touches in opposition box
3032
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
1414
Passes
78% (265/339)80% (350/440)
Long passes
52% (32/62)34% (19/56)
Passes in final third
61% (60/98)63% (72/115)
Crosses
41% (7/17)23% (3/13)
Expected assists (xA)
2.051.26
Throw-ins
1419
Fouls
1414
Tackles
63% (10/16)57% (12/21)
Duels won
5959
Clearances
3419
Interceptions
82
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
72
xGOT faced
2.692.84
Goals prevented
0.69-0.16

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 24', 1 - 0, Izeta ,
  • 34', Parada V. 🟨,
  • 44', 1 - 1, Sanchez R. , van den Belt T. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 62', Izeta , Roca J. ,
  • 63', Camara O. , de Miguel J. ,
  • 63', Calatrava A. , Suero I. ,
  • 65', van den Belt T. 🟨,
  • 68', Vertrouwd J. 🟨,
  • 70', 2 - 1, Tomeo P. ,
  • 73', Vertrouwd J. , Ruiz S. ,
  • 73', Lottin A. , Pastor G. ,
  • 78', Sanchez R. 🟨,
  • 80', Jimenez A. , Cipenga B. ,
  • 81', Reina A. , Benito I. ,
  • 81', 3 - 1, Benito I. ,
  • 87', 3 - 2, Cipenga B. ,
  • 90', Alonso J. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Lachuer M. , Tachi ,
  • 90+3', Egiluz U. , Postigo S. ,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/2vkt6z23

Chances of winning


Mirandés
48.7%
Draw
26.3%
Castellón
25%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47.2% 27.4% 25.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.1% 26.9% 24.9%

Mirandés - Castellón Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.94
(1.99)
3.57
(3.44)
3.76
(3.71)
6.1%
(6.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Mirandés - Castellón?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Mirandés (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Mirandés will win (12 of 13 users predict this - 92.31%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 77.83%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 15).
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Mirandés is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Mirandés: Alonso J. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Castellón: Aurelio D. (Knee Injury) Chirino D. (Yellow Cards) Mamah K. (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Castellón: Cipenga B. (Injury) Ruiz S. (Thigh Injury)
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Mirandés won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 1.7:0.7).
    • Including home match between the teams, Mirandés won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Mirandés - Castellón were as follows:
    16.11.2024 Castellón - Mirandés 1:3
    Latest results of Mirandés
    03.05.2025 Eibar - Mirandés 0:1
    26.04.2025 Mirandés - Burgos 2:1
    06.04.2025 Zaragoza - Mirandés 1:0
    Latest results of Castellón
    Spanish LaLiga2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Racing Santander1381429:21825
    2Dep. La Coruna1365224:121223
    3Las Palmas1365215:8723
    4Burgos CF1364319:12722
    5Almeria1264223:18522
    6Cadiz CF1356211:9221
    7Valladolid1355315:11420
    8Cordoba1355318:16220
    9Gijon1361618:19-119
    10Ceuta1253411:14-318
    11Andorra1345416:19-317
    12Castellon1344515:15016
    13Eibar1344515:15016
    14Albacete1344520:23-316
    15Leganes1336412:11115
    16Real Sociedad B1343618:19-115
    17Malaga1343616:17-115
    18Huesca1343612:18-615
    19Granada CF1335515:18-314
    20Cultural Leonesa1342715:19-414
    21Mirandes1333714:21-712
    22Zaragoza131397:23-166

          Promotion ~ LaLiga
          Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation