Mirandés vs Castellón: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

10/05/2025 at 10:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio Municipal de Anduva (Miranda de Ebro).

: LaLiga2 - Round 39
Referee: Lax S. (Esp)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
2.94	1.82
Ball Possession
44%	56%
Total shots
16	14
Shots on target
5	9
Big Chances
6	2
Corner Kicks
5	3
Passes
78% (265/339)	80% (350/440)
Yellow Cards
2	3
Expected Goals (xG)
2.94	1.82
xG on target (xGOT)
2.84	2.69
Total shots
16	14
Shots on target
5	9
Shots off target
7	3
Blocked Shots
4	2
Shots inside the Box
15	10
Shots outside the Box
1	3
Hit the Woodwork
2	1
Headed Goals
0	1
Big Chances
6	2
Corner Kicks
5	3
Touches in opposition box
30	32
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
2	1
Free Kicks
14	14
Passes
78% (265/339)	80% (350/440)
Long passes
52% (32/62)	34% (19/56)
Passes in final third
61% (60/98)	63% (72/115)
Crosses
41% (7/17)	23% (3/13)
Expected assists (xA)
2.05	1.26
Throw-ins
14	19
Fouls
14	14
Tackles
63% (10/16)	57% (12/21)
Duels won
59	59
Clearances
34	19
Interceptions
8	2
Errors leading to shot
1	0
Errors leading to goal
1	0
Goalkeeper Saves
7	2
xGOT faced
2.69	2.84
Goals prevented
0.69	-0.16

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 1)
24', 1 - 0, Izeta ⚽,
34', Parada V. 🟨,
44', 1 - 1, Sanchez R. ⚽, van den Belt T. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
62', Izeta ↓, Roca J. ↑,
63', Camara O. ↓, de Miguel J. ↑,
63', Calatrava A. ↓, Suero I. ↑,
65', van den Belt T. 🟨,
68', Vertrouwd J. 🟨,
70', 2 - 1, Tomeo P. ⚽,
73', Vertrouwd J. ↓, Ruiz S. ↑,
73', Lottin A. ↓, Pastor G. ↑,
78', Sanchez R. 🟨,
80', Jimenez A. ↓, Cipenga B. ↑,
81', Reina A. ↓, Benito I. ↑,
81', 3 - 1, Benito I. ⚽,
87', 3 - 2, Cipenga B. ⚽,
90', Alonso J. 🟨,
90+3', Lachuer M. ↓, Tachi ↑,
90+3', Egiluz U. ↓, Postigo S. ↑,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/2vkt6z23

Chances of winning

Mirandés
48.7%

Draw
26.3%

Castellón
25%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.2%

27.4%

25.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.1%

26.9%

24.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mirandés has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Castellón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mirandés than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Castellón than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Mirandés - Castellón Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↓ (1.99)	3.57 ↑ (3.44)	3.76 ↑ (3.71)	6.1% (6.2%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Mirandés - Castellón?

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Mirandés (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

BTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Mirandés will win (12 of 13 users predict this - 92.31%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.83% – 100%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.

Preview Facts

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 15).
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
Mirandés is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
There will not play in Mirandés: Alonso J. (Injury)
There will not play in Castellón: Aurelio D. (Knee Injury) Chirino D. (Yellow Cards) Mamah K. (Muscle Injury)
There are questionable in Castellón: Cipenga B. (Injury) Ruiz S. (Thigh Injury)
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Mirandés won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 1.7:0.7).
Including home match between the teams, Mirandés won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

How many head-to-head matches has Mirandés won against Castellón?

Mirandés has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Castellón won against Mirandés?

Castellón has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Mirandés - Castellón were as follows:

16.11.2024 Castellón - Mirandés 1:3

Latest results of Mirandés

03.05.2025 Eibar - Mirandés 0:1 ✺

26.04.2025 Mirandés - Burgos 2:1 ✺

18.04.2025 Sporting de Gijón - Mirandés 3:1 ✺

13.04.2025 Mirandés - Deportivo La Coruña 2:2 ✺

06.04.2025 Zaragoza - Mirandés 1:0 ✺

Latest results of Castellón

05.05.2025 Castellón - Sporting de Gijón 4:3 ✺

27.04.2025 Málaga - Castellón 1:0 ✺

18.04.2025 Castellón - Almería 4:1 ✺

13.04.2025 Racing Santander - Castellón 1:1 ✺

04.04.2025 Castellón - Albacete Balompié 2:2 ✺

Spanish LaLiga2 Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Gijon	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	Cordoba	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	Las Palmas	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Castellon	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	Albacete	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	Eibar	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	Malaga	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Cadiz CF	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	Burgos CF	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Huesca	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	Racing Santander	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Almeria	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	Dep. La Coruna	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
14	Valladolid	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
15	Zaragoza	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
16	Real Sociedad B	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
17	Cultural Leonesa	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
18	Leganes	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
19	Ceuta	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
20	Granada CF	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
21	Mirandes	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
22	Andorra	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

      Promotion ~ LaLiga
      Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation

Which TV channels are streaming of Mirandés - Castellón?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
India	GXR World
Mexico	Sky Sport
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
Peru	Disney+
Spain	DAZN Espana, GolStadium, LaLiga Hypermotion 2
Uruguay	Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+