Mirandés vs Castellón – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish LaLiga2
Football Spanish LaLiga2 Mirandés - Castellón
Result
3:2
10/05/2025 at 10:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • LaLiga2 - Round 39
  • Referee: Lax S. (Esp)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
indiaIndiaGXR World
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaSky Sports Norte
peruPeruDisney+
spainSpainDAZN Espana, GolStadium, LaLiga Hypermotion 2
uruguayUruguayDisney+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.941.82
Ball Possession
44%56%
Total shots
1614
Shots on target
59
Big Chances
62
Corner Kicks
53
Passes
78% (265/339)80% (350/440)
Yellow Cards
23
Expected Goals (xG)
2.941.82
xG on target (xGOT)
2.842.69
Total shots
1614
Shots on target
59
Shots off target
73
Blocked Shots
42
Shots inside the Box
1510
Shots outside the Box
13
Hit the Woodwork
21
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
62
Corner Kicks
53
Touches in opposition box
3032
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
1414
Passes
78% (265/339)80% (350/440)
Long passes
52% (32/62)34% (19/56)
Passes in final third
61% (60/98)63% (72/115)
Crosses
41% (7/17)23% (3/13)
Expected assists (xA)
2.051.26
Throw-ins
1419
Fouls
1414
Tackles
63% (10/16)57% (12/21)
Duels won
5959
Clearances
3419
Interceptions
82
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
72
xGOT faced
2.692.84
Goals prevented
0.69-0.16

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 24', 1 - 0, Izeta ⚽,
  • 34', Parada V. 🟨,
  • 44', 1 - 1, Sanchez R. ⚽, van den Belt T. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 62', Izeta ↓, Roca J. ↑,
  • 63', Camara O. ↓, de Miguel J. ↑,
  • 63', Calatrava A. ↓, Suero I. ↑,
  • 65', van den Belt T. 🟨,
  • 68', Vertrouwd J. 🟨,
  • 70', 2 - 1, Tomeo P. ⚽,
  • 73', Vertrouwd J. ↓, Ruiz S. ↑,
  • 73', Lottin A. ↓, Pastor G. ↑,
  • 78', Sanchez R. 🟨,
  • 80', Jimenez A. ↓, Cipenga B. ↑,
  • 81', Reina A. ↓, Benito I. ↑,
  • 81', 3 - 1, Benito I. ⚽,
  • 87', 3 - 2, Cipenga B. ⚽,
  • 90', Alonso J. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Lachuer M. ↓, Tachi ↑,
  • 90+3', Egiluz U. ↓, Postigo S. ↑,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/2vkt6z23

Chances of winning


Mirandés
48.7%		Draw
26.3%		Castellón
25%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47.2% 27.4% 25.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.1% 26.9% 24.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mirandés has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
  • Castellón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mirandés than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Castellón than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
    •

    Mirandés - Castellón Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.94 ↓
    (1.99)    		 3.57 ↑
    (3.44)    		 3.76 ↑
    (3.71)    		 6.1%
    (6.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    •
    What is the prediction for Mirandés - Castellón?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Mirandés (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Mirandés will win (12 of 13 users predict this - 92.31%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 77.83% – 100%.
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 15).
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Mirandés is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Mirandés: Alonso J. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Castellón: Aurelio D. (Knee Injury) Chirino D. (Yellow Cards) Mamah K. (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Castellón: Cipenga B. (Injury) Ruiz S. (Thigh Injury)
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Mirandés won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 1.7:0.7).
    • Including home match between the teams, Mirandés won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Mirandés - Castellón were as follows:
    16.11.2024 Castellón - Mirandés 1:3
    Latest results of Mirandés
    03.05.2025 Eibar - Mirandés 0:1 ✺
    26.04.2025 Mirandés - Burgos 2:1 ✺
    18.04.2025 Sporting de Gijón - Mirandés 3:1 ✺
    13.04.2025 Mirandés - Deportivo La Coruña 2:2 ✺
    06.04.2025 Zaragoza - Mirandés 1:0 ✺
    Latest results of Castellón
    05.05.2025 Castellón - Sporting de Gijón 4:3 ✺
    27.04.2025 Málaga - Castellón 1:0 ✺
    18.04.2025 Castellón - Almería 4:1 ✺
    13.04.2025 Racing Santander - Castellón 1:1 ✺
    04.04.2025 Castellón - Albacete Balompié 2:2 ✺
    Spanish LaLiga2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Gijon00000:000
    2Cordoba00000:000
    3Las Palmas00000:000
    4Castellon00000:000
    5Albacete00000:000
    6Eibar00000:000
    7Malaga00000:000
    8Cadiz CF00000:000
    9Burgos CF00000:000
    10Huesca00000:000
    11Racing Santander00000:000
    12Almeria00000:000
    13Dep. La Coruna00000:000
    14Valladolid00000:000
    15Zaragoza00000:000
    16Real Sociedad B00000:000
    17Cultural Leonesa00000:000
    18Leganes00000:000
    19Ceuta00000:000
    20Granada CF00000:000
    21Mirandes00000:000
    22Andorra00000:000

          Promotion ~ LaLiga
          Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation

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