Result
3:2
10/05/2025 at 10:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- LaLiga2 - Round 39
- Referee: Lax S. (Esp)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 India | GXR World |
 Mexico | Sky Sport |
 North-central-america | Sky Sports Norte |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Spain | DAZN Espana, GolStadium, LaLiga Hypermotion 2 |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.94 | 1.82 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (265/339) | 80% (350/440) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.94 | 1.82 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.84 | 2.69 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 15 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 30 | 32 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (265/339) | 80% (350/440) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 52% (32/62) | 34% (19/56) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 61% (60/98) | 63% (72/115) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 41% (7/17) | 23% (3/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.05 | 1.26 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 14 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (10/16) | 57% (12/21) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 59 | 59 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 34 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.69 | 2.84 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.69 | -0.16 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 24', 1 - 0, Izeta ⚽,
- 34', Parada V. 🟨,
- 44', 1 - 1, Sanchez R. ⚽, van den Belt T. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 62', Izeta ↓, Roca J. ↑,
- 63', Camara O. ↓, de Miguel J. ↑,
- 63', Calatrava A. ↓, Suero I. ↑,
- 65', van den Belt T. 🟨,
- 68', Vertrouwd J. 🟨,
- 70', 2 - 1, Tomeo P. ⚽,
- 73', Vertrouwd J. ↓, Ruiz S. ↑,
- 73', Lottin A. ↓, Pastor G. ↑,
- 78', Sanchez R. 🟨,
- 80', Jimenez A. ↓, Cipenga B. ↑,
- 81', Reina A. ↓, Benito I. ↑,
- 81', 3 - 1, Benito I. ⚽,
- 87', 3 - 2, Cipenga B. ⚽,
- 90', Alonso J. 🟨,
- 90+3', Lachuer M. ↓, Tachi ↑,
- 90+3', Egiluz U. ↓, Postigo S. ↑,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/2vkt6z23
Chances of winning
Mirandés
48.7% | Draw
26.3% | Castellón
25% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mirandés has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)Castellón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mirandés than the current prediction. (-0.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Castellón than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
Mirandés - Castellón Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.94 ↓
(1.99) |
3.57 ↑
(3.44) |
3.76 ↑
(3.71) |
6.1%
(6.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Mirandés - Castellón?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Mirandés (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Mirandés will win
(12 of 13 users predict this - 92.31%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.83% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 15).
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Mirandés is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Mirandés: Alonso J.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Castellón: Aurelio D.
(Knee Injury)
Chirino D.
(Yellow Cards)
Mamah K.
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Castellón: Cipenga B.
(Injury)
Ruiz S.
(Thigh Injury)
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Mirandés won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 1.7:0.7).
- Including home match between the teams, Mirandés won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Mirandés won against Castellón?
Mirandés has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Castellón won against Mirandés?
Castellón has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mirandés - Castellón were as follows:
16.11.2024
Castellón
-
Mirandés
1:3
Latest results of Mirandés
Latest results of Castellón
Spanish LaLiga2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Valladolid | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 4 | 6 |
| 2 | Gijon | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 6 |
| 3 | Eibar | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 4 |
| 4 | Cadiz CF | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 4 |
| 5 | Huesca | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 4 |
| 6 | Burgos CF | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5:1 | 4 | 3 |
| 7 | Racing Santander | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 3 |
| 8 | Dep. La Coruna | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 3 |
| 9 | Real Sociedad B | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 10 | Leganes | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 2 |
| 11 | Albacete | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4:4 | 0 | 1 |
| 12 | Almeria | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4:4 | 0 | 1 |
| 13 | Las Palmas | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 14 | Malaga | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 15 | Andorra | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 16 | Cordoba | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
| 17 | Zaragoza | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 18 | Mirandes | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
| 19 | Castellon | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:4 | -3 | 0 |
| 20 | Cultural Leonesa | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:5 | -4 | 0 |
| 21 | Ceuta | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:4 | -4 | 0 |
| 22 | Granada CF | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:6 | -5 | 0 |
Promotion ~ LaLiga
Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation
