Sporting de Gijón vs Castellón – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish LaLiga2
Result
4:1
15/03/2026 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • LaLiga2 - Round 30
  • Referee: Gonzalez Esteban J. A. (Esp)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 4
brazilBrazilDisney+
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go
denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play
finlandFinlandMTV Max
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 10, beIN Sports MAX 6, Free
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, Vidio
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN SPORTS MAX
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 7
mexicoMexicoIzzi TV, Sky Sport
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaSky Sports Norte
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN SPORTS MAX
portugalPortugalDAZN 2, DAZN / App
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 1x2
singaporeSingaporebeIN SPORTS MAX
spainSpainDAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion, Movistar Plus+, Orange Futbol 2
swedenSwedenTV4 Play, TV4 Sportkanalen
thailandThailandbeIN SPORTS MAX
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 5, MEGOGO Ukraine
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
2.441.95
Ball possession
40%60%
Total shots
1215
Shots on target
65
Big chances
64
Corner kicks
15
Passes
74% (234/318)83% (398/477)
Yellow cards
23
Red cards
01
Expected goals (xG)
2.441.95
xG on target (xGOT)
2.341.27
Total shots
1215
Shots on target
65
Shots off target
27
Blocked shots
43
Shots inside the box
911
Shots outside the box
34
Hit the woodwork
00
Headed goals
01
Big chances
64
Corner kicks
15
Touches in opposition box
2726
Accurate through passes
20
Offsides
23
Free kicks
107
Passes
74% (234/318)83% (398/477)
Long passes
41% (23/56)53% (24/45)
Passes in final third
62% (77/125)76% (110/144)
Crosses
38% (5/13)20% (2/10)
Expected assists (xA)
1.360.88
Throw ins
2019
Fouls
710
Tackles
80% (16/20)64% (9/14)
Duels won
5546
Clearances
3217
Interceptions
1012
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper saves
42
xGOT faced
1.272.34
Goals prevented
0.27-1.66

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 9', Jimenez A. 🟨,
  • 12', Vazquez K. 🟨,
  • 32', 0 - 1, Calatrava A. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 42', 1 - 1, Otero J. ⚽, Rosas G. (A),
  • 45+5', Barri 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 47', 2 - 1, Ferrari A. ⚽, Rosas G. (A),
  • 50', Ferrari A. ↓, Campos G. ↑,
  • 60', Corredera A. 🟨,
  • 62', Santiago P. ↓, Suero I. ↑,
  • 62', Barri ↓, Sanchez R. ↑,
  • 65', Mellot J. 🟥,
  • 76', 3 - 1, Otero J. ⚽, Dubasin J. (A),
  • 78', Gerenabarrena B. ↓, Doue M. ↑,
  • 82', Camara O. ↓, Garcia A. ↑,
  • 82', Jimenez A. ↓, Brignani F. ↑,
  • 84', Rodriguez M. ↓, Smith J. ↑,
  • 84', Vazquez K. ↓, Garcia P. ↑,
  • 89', 4 - 1, Garcia P. ⚽,
  • 90+2', Dubasin J. ↓, Coundoul A. ↑,
  • 90+4', Calatrava A. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Sporting de Gijón
27.9%		Draw
26.6%		Castellón
45.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.2% 28.6% 38.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.6% 28.9% 37.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sporting de Gijón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sporting de Gijón's form might have worsened.
  • Castellón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Castellón's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sporting de Gijón than the current prediction. (+5.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sporting de Gijón, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Castellón than the current prediction. (-7.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Castellón, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
    •

    Sporting de Gijón - Castellón Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 3.35 ↑
    (2.85)    		 3.5 ↑
    (3.31)    		 2.09 ↓
    (2.47)    		 6.3%
    (5.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Sporting de Gijón - Castellón?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Sporting de Gijón will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Castellón will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Castellón: 16.1% – 74.9%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH 0 - Sporting de Gijón (2.37) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Sporting de Gijón (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 9 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Castellón may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in Sporting de Gijón: Cuenca A. (Injury) Gelabert Pina C. (Yellow Cards) Loum M. (Injury) Nacho Martin (Injury)
    • There will not play in Castellón: Aurelio D. (Knee Injury) Ruiz S. (Yellow Cards)
    • There are questionable in Sporting de Gijón: Yanez R. (Injury)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sporting de Gijón won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:10. (average 1.4:2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Sporting de Gijón won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sporting de Gijón - Castellón were as follows:
    05.10.2025 Castellón - Sporting de Gijón 3:1
    05.05.2025 Castellón - Sporting de Gijón 4:3
    14.10.2024 Sporting de Gijón - Castellón 2:1
    Latest results of Sporting de Gijón
    08.03.2026 FC Andorra - Sporting de Gijón 1:0 ✺
    02.03.2026 Sporting de Gijón - Leganés 0:0 ✺
    22.02.2026 Sporting de Gijón - Valladolid 2:2 ✺
    15.02.2026 Albacete Balompié - Sporting de Gijón 1:1 ✺
    08.02.2026 Sporting de Gijón - Huesca 2:1 ✺
    Latest results of Castellón
    07.03.2026 Real Sociedad B - Castellón 4:2 ✺
    28.02.2026 Castellón - Racing Santander 1:3 ✺
    21.02.2026 Las Palmas - Castellón 1:1 ✺
    15.02.2026 Castellón - Deportivo La Coruña 2:0 ✺
    08.02.2026 Valladolid - Castellón 0:4 ✺
    Spanish LaLiga2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Racing Santander382261079:572272
    2Dep. La Coruna381911859:411868
    3Almeria372071074:561867
    4Castellon3818101065:481764
    5Malaga381891166:491763
    6Las Palmas371712849:311863
    7Burgos CF3817111044:331162
    8Eibar3817101147:361161
    9Cordoba381691354:56-257
    10Andorra3815101356:48855
    11Ceuta381591446:58-1254
    12Gijon381571651:49252
    13Albacete3813111449:51-250
    14Granada CF3812121448:49-148
    15Valladolid3711101640:48-843
    16Leganes3810121641:46-542
    17Real Sociedad B381191846:54-842
    18Cadiz CF381091936:55-1939
    19Mirandes37991940:60-2036
    20Huesca38992039:59-2036
    21Zaragoza388111933:51-1835
    22Cultural Leonesa38892135:62-2733

          Promotion ~ LaLiga
          Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation

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