Result
1:3
28/02/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- LaLiga2 - Round 28
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | CANAL+ Sport 1, New World Sport 6, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Life |
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3 |
 Australia | beIN Connect |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 3 |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go |
 Denmark | TV2 Play |
 Finland | MTV Max |
 India | FanCode, FanCode |
 Indonesia | beIN Connect, Vidio |
 Laos | beIN Connect |
 Malaysia | beIN Sports 2 |
 Malta | GO TV, TSN Malta 6 |
 Mexico | Izzi TV, Sky Sport |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect |
 North-central-america | Sky Sports Norte |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Philippines | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 |
 Portugal | DAZN 2, DAZN / App |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 2 |
 Singapore | beIN Sports 2 |
 Spain | DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion |
 Thailand | AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 |
 Turkey | S Sport+ |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 5, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.83 | 3.11 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 64% | 36% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (427/502) | 74% (221/298) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.83 | 3.11 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.86 | 3.06 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 1 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 34 | 22 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (427/502) | 74% (221/298) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 51% (22/43) | 38% (17/45) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 77% (134/174) | 62% (41/66) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (9/36) | 25% (2/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.77 | 1.51 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 18 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 53% (10/19) | 42% (8/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 8 | 44 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 3.06 | 1.86 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.06 | 0.86 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 3)
- 19', 0 - 1, Guliashvili G. ⚽,
- 31', Alcazar L. 🟨,
- 34', 0 - 2, Mantilla A. ⚽, Guliashvili G. (A),
- 39', Mantilla A. ↓, Castro J. ↑,
- 42', 0 - 3, Guliashvili G. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Jakobsen A. ↓, Garcia A. ↑,
- 46', Alcazar L. ↓, Suero I. ↑,
- 46', Barri ↓, Mabil A. ↑,
- 61', Camara S. 🟨,
- 63', Rodriguez D. 🟨,
- 67', Guliashvili G. ↓, Franco S. ↑,
- 67', Rodriguez D. ↓, Gueye M. ↑,
- 68', Camara S. ↓, Sangalli M. ↑,
- 69', Sanchez R. ↓, Ruiz S. ↑,
- 79', 1 - 3, Suero I. ⚽, Cipenga B. (A),
- 86', 🟨,
- 88', Gerenabarrena B. ↓, Doue M. ↑,
- 90', Vicente I. ↓, Mata J. ↑,
- 90+4', Mellot J. 🟥,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/7hum7erz
Chances of winning
Castellón
57.9% | Draw
23% | Racing Santander
19.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Castellón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)Racing Santander has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castellón than the current prediction. (+0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Racing Santander than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
Castellón - Racing Santander Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.63 ↓
(1.66) |
4.07 ↓
(4.25) |
4.9 ↑
(4.51) |
6.3%
(6.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Castellón - Racing Santander?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -1 - Racing (1.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.75 - Castellón (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Castellón will win
(9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Castellón will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Castellón (votes: 3 - 75%). Racing (votes: 1 - 25%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga).
- Castellón is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Racing has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, Castellón is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Castellón: Aurelio D.
(Knee Injury)
Camara O.
(Yellow Cards)
Sienra A.
(Red Card)
- There will not play in Racing: Arana J.
(Inactive)
Lozano M.
(Knee Injury)
Martin A.
(Yellow Cards)
Ramon P.
(Hamstring Injury)
Villalibre A.
(Muscle Injury)
- We predict that Castellón will win today's game, with odds of 1.64.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Castellón won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 0.7:1.7).
- Including home match between the teams, Castellón won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Castellón won against Racing Santander?
Castellón has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Racing Santander won against Castellón?
Racing Santander has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Castellón - Racing Santander were as follows:
16.08.2025
Racing Santander
-
Castellón
3:1
13.04.2025
Racing Santander
-
Castellón
1:1
22.09.2024
Castellón
-
Racing Santander
0:1
Latest results of Castellón
Latest results of Racing Santander
Spanish LaLiga2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Racing Santander | 31 | 18 | 5 | 8 | 62:44 | 18 | 59 |
| 2 | Dep. La Coruna | 31 | 16 | 7 | 8 | 48:35 | 13 | 55 |
| 3 | Almeria | 31 | 16 | 7 | 8 | 59:43 | 16 | 55 |
| 4 | Malaga | 31 | 16 | 6 | 9 | 52:37 | 15 | 54 |
| 5 | Las Palmas | 31 | 13 | 12 | 6 | 40:24 | 16 | 51 |
| 6 | Castellon | 31 | 14 | 8 | 9 | 50:38 | 12 | 50 |
| 7 | Burgos CF | 31 | 14 | 8 | 9 | 36:26 | 10 | 50 |
| 8 | Eibar | 31 | 12 | 9 | 10 | 33:30 | 3 | 45 |
| 9 | Gijon | 31 | 13 | 6 | 12 | 42:39 | 3 | 45 |
| 10 | Ceuta | 31 | 13 | 5 | 13 | 39:50 | -11 | 44 |
| 11 | Albacete | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 39:40 | -1 | 42 |
| 12 | Cordoba | 31 | 11 | 8 | 12 | 41:47 | -6 | 41 |
| 13 | Real Sociedad B | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 44:43 | 1 | 40 |
| 14 | Granada CF | 31 | 9 | 12 | 10 | 37:34 | 3 | 39 |
| 15 | Andorra | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 37:42 | -5 | 39 |
| 16 | Cadiz CF | 31 | 10 | 8 | 13 | 31:39 | -8 | 38 |
| 17 | Leganes | 31 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 36:34 | 2 | 37 |
| 18 | Valladolid | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 36:45 | -9 | 36 |
| 19 | Huesca | 31 | 8 | 7 | 16 | 30:45 | -15 | 31 |
| 20 | Zaragoza | 31 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 27:43 | -16 | 30 |
| 21 | Cultural Leonesa | 31 | 7 | 7 | 17 | 29:50 | -21 | 28 |
| 22 | Mirandes | 31 | 7 | 6 | 18 | 30:50 | -20 | 27 |
Promotion ~ LaLiga
Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation
