Castellón vs Racing Santander – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:3
28/02/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • LaLiga2 - Round 28
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaCANAL+ Sport 1, New World Sport 6, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Life
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 3
brazilBrazilDisney+
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go
denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play
finlandFinlandMTV Max
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, Vidio
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Sports 2
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 6
mexicoMexicoIzzi TV, Sky Sport
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaSky Sports Norte
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
portugalPortugalDAZN 2, DAZN / App
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 2
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sports 2
spainSpainDAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion
thailandThailandAIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
turkeyTurkeyS Sport+
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 5, MEGOGO Ukraine
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.833.11
Ball possession
64%36%
Total shots
1512
Shots on target
37
Big chances
44
Corner kicks
33
Passes
85% (427/502)74% (221/298)
Yellow cards
22
Red cards
10
Expected goals (xG)
1.833.11
xG on target (xGOT)
1.863.06
Total shots
1512
Shots on target
37
Shots off target
101
Blocked shots
24
Shots inside the box
1110
Shots outside the box
42
Hit the woodwork
00
Headed goals
01
Big chances
44
Corner kicks
33
Touches in opposition box
3422
Accurate through passes
02
Offsides
54
Free kicks
1313
Passes
85% (427/502)74% (221/298)
Long passes
51% (22/43)38% (17/45)
Passes in final third
77% (134/174)62% (41/66)
Crosses
25% (9/36)25% (2/8)
Expected assists (xA)
1.771.51
Throw ins
1815
Fouls
1313
Tackles
53% (10/19)42% (8/19)
Duels won
4647
Clearances
844
Interceptions
611
Errors leading to shot
11
Errors leading to goal
20
Goalkeeper saves
32
xGOT faced
3.061.86
Goals prevented
0.060.86

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 3)
  • 19', 0 - 1, Guliashvili G. ,
  • 31', Alcazar L. 🟨,
  • 34', 0 - 2, Mantilla A. , Guliashvili G. (A),
  • 39', Mantilla A. , Castro J. ,
  • 42', 0 - 3, Guliashvili G. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Jakobsen A. , Garcia A. ,
  • 46', Alcazar L. , Suero I. ,
  • 46', Barri , Mabil A. ,
  • 61', Camara S. 🟨,
  • 63', Rodriguez D. 🟨,
  • 67', Guliashvili G. , Franco S. ,
  • 67', Rodriguez D. , Gueye M. ,
  • 68', Camara S. , Sangalli M. ,
  • 69', Sanchez R. , Ruiz S. ,
  • 79', 1 - 3, Suero I. , Cipenga B. (A),
  • 86', 🟨,
  • 88', Gerenabarrena B. , Doue M. ,
  • 90', Vicente I. , Mata J. ,
  • 90+4', Mellot J. 🟥,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/7hum7erz

Chances of winning


Castellón
57.9%
Draw
23%
Racing Santander
19.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56.9% 22.2% 20.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.6% 21.6% 20.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Castellón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
  • Racing Santander has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castellón than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Racing Santander than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
  • Castellón - Racing Santander Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.63
    (1.66)
    4.07
    (4.25)
    4.9
    (4.51)
    6.3%
    (6.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Castellón - Racing Santander?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH -1 - Racing (1.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.75 - Castellón (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Castellón will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 59.03%100%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Castellón will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Castellón (votes: 3 - 75%). Racing (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga).
    • Castellón is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Racing has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, Castellón is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Castellón: Aurelio D. (Knee Injury) Camara O. (Yellow Cards) Sienra A. (Red Card)
    • There will not play in Racing: Arana J. (Inactive) Lozano M. (Knee Injury) Martin A. (Yellow Cards) Ramon P. (Hamstring Injury) Villalibre A. (Muscle Injury)
    • We predict that Castellón will win today's game, with odds of 1.64.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Castellón won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 0.7:1.7).
    • Including home match between the teams, Castellón won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Castellón - Racing Santander were as follows:
    16.08.2025 Racing Santander - Castellón 3:1
    13.04.2025 Racing Santander - Castellón 1:1
    22.09.2024 Castellón - Racing Santander 0:1
    Latest results of Castellón
    21.02.2026 Las Palmas - Castellón 1:1
    08.02.2026 Valladolid - Castellón 0:4
    01.02.2026 Castellón - FC Andorra 2:0
    25.01.2026 Zaragoza - Castellón 0:0
    Latest results of Racing Santander
    Spanish LaLiga2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Racing Santander352051072:541865
    2Dep. La Coruna351710853:381561
    3Almeria351871067:521561
    4Malaga35179958:411760
    5Burgos CF35179942:291360
    6Castellon351610958:431558
    7Las Palmas351512845:301557
    8Eibar341591040:31954
    9Andorra3513101251:47449
    10Gijon351471445:44149
    11Ceuta351471442:55-1349
    12Cordoba351391347:52-548
    13Granada CF3511121244:41345
    14Albacete3511111344:47-344
    15Leganes3510121340:38242
    16Real Sociedad B351181645:50-541
    17Valladolid341091539:47-839
    18Cadiz CF351081733:48-1538
    19Zaragoza358101731:47-1634
    20Huesca35891835:53-1833
    21Mirandes35891837:56-1933
    22Cultural Leonesa35881931:56-2532

          Promotion ~ LaLiga
          Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation