Result
3:1
16/08/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- LaLiga2 - Round 1
- Referee: Arcediano D. (Esp)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 5, Free |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Spain | DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion, LaLiga TV Bar 2 |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.19 | 1.26 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 37% | 63% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (211/279) | 85% (403/472) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.19 | 1.26 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.29 | 2.67 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 12 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 35 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (211/279) | 85% (403/472) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 40% (18/45) | 50% (19/38) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 56% (35/63) | 77% (119/155) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 40% (2/5) | 26% (7/27) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.89 | 1.00 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 59% (13/22) | 59% (20/34) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 64 | 68 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 32 | 8 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.67 | 2.29 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.67 | -0.71 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 6', 1 - 0, Villalibre A. ⚽, Vicente I. (A),
- 39', 2 - 0, Martin A. ⚽, Vicente I. (A),
- 45+1', 2 - 1, Camara O. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Sienra A. ↓, Suero I. ↑,
- 59', Sainz-Maza I. ↓, Sergio M. ↑,
- 59', Sangalli M. ↓, Cabanzon Y. ↑,
- 61', Mantilla A. 🟨,
- 63', Cipenga B. ↓, Tincho ↑,
- 67', Sergio M. 🟨,
- 75', Mabil A. ↓, Serpeta ↑,
- 75', Camara O. ↓, Markanich N. ↑,
- 78', Mantilla A. ↓, Michelin C. ↑,
- 78', Aldasoro A. ↓, Canales P. ↑,
- 83', Jimenez A. 🟥,
- 84', 3 - 1, Martin A. (Pen),
- 85', Calatrava A. ↓, Brignani F. ↑,
- 90', Villalibre A. ↓, Jeremy Arevalo ↑,
- 90+5', Vicente I. 🟨,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/y5y5c9br
Chances of winning
Racing Santander
49.6% | Draw
26.3% | Castellón
24.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Racing Santander has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Racing Santander's performance.Castellón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Castellón might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Racing Santander than the current prediction. (-5.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Racing Santander that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castellón than the current prediction. (+6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Castellón could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Racing Santander - Castellón Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.95 ↓
(2.2) |
3.66 ↑
(3.61) |
4.04 ↑
(3.06) |
3.3%
(6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Racing Santander - Castellón?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Racing will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Castellón will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Racing: 15.4% – 84.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
- Castellón may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Racing has had a series of home games.
- Recently, Castellón has had a series of away games.
- Racing could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Racing: Arana J.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Racing: Gueye M.
(Inactive)
Michelin C.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Castellón: Ronaldo
(Inactive)
Santiago P.
(Inactive)
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Racing won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).
- Including home match between the teams, Racing won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Racing Santander won against Castellón?
Racing Santander has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Castellón won against Racing Santander?
Castellón has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Racing Santander - Castellón were as follows:
13.04.2025
Racing Santander
-
Castellón
1:1
22.09.2024
Castellón
-
Racing Santander
0:1
Latest results of Racing Santander
Latest results of Castellón
Spanish LaLiga2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Valladolid | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 4 | 6 |
| 2 | Eibar | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 4 |
| 3 | Cadiz CF | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | Burgos CF | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5:1 | 4 | 3 |
| 5 | Racing Santander | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 3 |
| 6 | Dep. La Coruna | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 3 |
| 7 | Gijon | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Real Sociedad B | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 9 | Leganes | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 2 |
| 10 | Albacete | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4:4 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | Almeria | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4:4 | 0 | 1 |
| 12 | Las Palmas | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 13 | Malaga | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 14 | Huesca | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 15 | Andorra | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 16 | Cordoba | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
| 17 | Zaragoza | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 18 | Mirandes | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 19 | Castellon | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:4 | -3 | 0 |
| 20 | Ceuta | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
| 21 | Cultural Leonesa | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:5 | -4 | 0 |
| 22 | Granada CF | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:6 | -5 | 0 |
Promotion ~ LaLiga
Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation
