Castêlo da Maia vs Benfica – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:3
11/01/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Taca de Portugal - 1/8-finals

Chances of winning


Castêlo da Maia
10.9%
Benfica
89.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
10.1% 89.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Castêlo da Maia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
  • Benfica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
  • Castêlo da Maia - Benfica Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    8.35
    (9.05)

    1.02
    (1.02)
    9.7%
    (9.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 131.50
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Castêlo da Maia won 0.
    • Castêlo da Maia has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Benfica is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Castêlo da Maia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Castêlo da Maia has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Benfica is the clear favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Castêlo da Maia won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 20 matches, and goals 7:60. (average 0.4:3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Castêlo da Maia won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 6:33. (average 0.5:3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Castêlo da Maia - Benfica were as follows:
    13.12.2025 Benfica - Castêlo da Maia 3:0
    11.01.2025 Castêlo da Maia - Benfica 1:3
    26.10.2024 Benfica - Castêlo da Maia 3:0
    02.03.2024 Castêlo da Maia - Benfica 0:3
    20.01.2024 Benfica - Castêlo da Maia 3:0
    Latest results of Castêlo da Maia
    Latest results of Benfica
    10.01.2026 Sporting Lisbon - Benfica 3:1
    06.01.2026 Benfica - Arcada Galati 3:1
    29.12.2025 Clube K - Benfica 0:3
    21.12.2025 Benfica - Gondomar 3:0
    20.12.2025 Mamede - Benfica 0:3
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/8-finals
    1VitoriaSanto Tirso3 : 0
    2VianaMamede0 : 3
    3Castelo Maia GCBenfica1 : 3
    4OeirasClube K2 : 3
    5MadalenaSporting CP0 : 3
    6GinasticaSporting de Espinho0 : 3
    7Leixoes SCAD Machico3 : 0
    8Academica de EspinhoGondomar3 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1VitoriaMamede3 : 0
    2BenficaClube K3 : 0
    3Sporting CPSporting de Espinho3 : 0
    4Leixoes SCAcademica de Espinho1 : 3

    Semi-finals
    1VitoriaBenfica
    2Sporting CPAcademica de Espinho