Result
3:1
21/02/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Campeonato Nacional - Round 20
Chances of winning
Vitoria Guimarães
78.5% | Castêlo da Maia
21.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vitoria Guimarães has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)Castêlo da Maia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
Vitoria Guimarães - Castêlo da Maia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.16 ↓
(1.19) |
|
4.26 ↑
(3.94) |
9.5%
(9.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 173.50
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guimarães won 3.
- Guimarães has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Castêlo da Maia is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Castêlo da Maia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Castêlo da Maia has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Guimarães is a strong favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Guimarães won 15 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 48:31. (average 2.4:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Guimarães won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 24:6. (average 2.7:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Vitoria Guimarães won against Castêlo da Maia?
Vitoria Guimarães has won 10 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Castêlo da Maia won against Vitoria Guimarães?
Castêlo da Maia has won 3 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Vitoria Guimarães - Castêlo da Maia were as follows:
01.12.2025
Castêlo da Maia
-
Vitoria Guimarães
2:3
25.04.2025
Vitoria Guimarães
-
Castêlo da Maia
0:3
18.04.2025
Castêlo da Maia
-
Vitoria Guimarães
2:3
01.03.2025
Vitoria Guimarães
-
Castêlo da Maia
3:1
07.12.2024
Castêlo da Maia
-
Vitoria Guimarães
3:1
Latest results of Vitoria Guimarães
Latest results of Castêlo da Maia
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Sporting CP (1) | Gondomar (8) | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Academica de Espinho (4) | Vitoria (5) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Benfica (2) | Sporting de Espinho (7) | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Leixoes SC (3) | Mamede (6) | 2 : 0 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Sporting CP (1) | Vitoria (5) | 3 : 0 |
| 2 | Benfica (2) | Leixoes SC (3) | 3 : 1 |
Final| 1 | Sporting CP (1) | Benfica (2) | 1 : 0 |
3rd place| 2 | Leixoes SC (3) | Vitoria (5) | 1 : 0 |
