Castêlo da Maia vs Mamede – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:3
12/04/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • 1. Divisao Women - Losers stage - Round 4

Chances of winning


Castêlo da Maia
70.2%
Mamede
29.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
68.7% 31.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.8% 32.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Castêlo da Maia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
  • Mamede has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Castêlo da Maia than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mamede than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
  • Castêlo da Maia - Mamede Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.31
    (1.32)

    3.09
    (2.9)
    8.9%
    (10.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 175.50
    Preview Facts
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • In this match, Castêlo da Maia is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Castêlo da Maia won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:5. (average 2.7:1.7).
    • Including home match between the teams, Castêlo da Maia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Castêlo da Maia - Mamede were as follows:
    22.03.2026 Mamede - Castêlo da Maia 3:2
    15.02.2026 Mamede - Castêlo da Maia 2:3
    30.11.2025 Castêlo da Maia - Mamede 3:0
    Latest results of Castêlo da Maia
    Latest results of Mamede
    04.04.2026 Mamede - Fiães 3:0
    29.03.2026 Esmoriz GC - Mamede 0:3
    22.03.2026 Mamede - Castêlo da Maia 3:2
    08.03.2026 FC Porto - Mamede 3:1
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1FC Porto W (1)Vitoria Guimaraes W (8)2 : 0
    2Benfica W (4)Leixoes W (5)2 : 0
    3Braga W (2)Clube Kairos W (7)2 : 0
    4Sporting W (3)PV Colegio Efanor W (6)2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1FC Porto WBenfica W3 : 2
    2Braga WSporting W3 : 0

    Final
    1FC Porto WBraga W1 : 0

    3rd place
    2Sporting WBenfica W0 : 1