Result
34:29
24/05/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Top 14 - Round 23
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | TV5 Monde Africa, TV5 Monde Maghreb-Orient |
 Asia | TV5 Monde Asia |
 France | CANAL+ Sport, TV5 Monde Europe |
 South-america | TV5 Monde Amerique Latine |
 United-kingdom | FloSports app, Premier Sports Player, Premier Sports Rugby |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Tries |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Conversion Goals |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Conversion Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Penalty Goals |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Penalty Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goals % |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Dropped Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Total Runs |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Metres Run With Ball |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (24 - 8)
- 6', Palis G. (Try),
- 6', Le Brun L. (Conversion Goal),
- 10', Vanverberghe F. 🟨,
- 12', Fischer A. (Try),
- 19', Urdapilleta B. (Penalty Goal),
- 24', Le Brun L. (Try),
- 24', Le Brun L. (Conversion Goal),
- 28', Barlot G. (Try),
- 28', Le Brun L. (Conversion Goal),
- 35', Le Brun L. (Penalty Goal),
- 2nd Half (10 - 21)
- 42', Botitu V. (Try),
- 42', Le Brun L. (Conversion Goal),
- 45', Fischer A. (Try),
- 45', Urdapilleta B. (Conversion Goal),
- 64', Fernandez J. (Penalty Goal),
- 74', Fourcade E. (Try),
- 74', Belleau A. (Conversion Goal),
- 79', Jauneau B. (Try),
- 79', Belleau A. (Conversion Goal),
Chances of winning
Castres
71.7% | Draw
3.7% | Clermont
24.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Castres has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Castres's performance.Clermont has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Clermont might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Castres than the current prediction. (-6.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Castres that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Clermont than the current prediction. (+6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Clermont could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Castres - Clermont Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.29 ↓
(1.44) |
24.8 ↑
(19) |
3.7 ↑
(2.95) |
8.8%
(8.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 50.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-9)
What is the prediction for Castres - Clermont?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Castres (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 30:21.
Preview Facts
- The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Top 14 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Top 14 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals))
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Castres won 1.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Castres could have a small edge in this match.
- We predict that Castres will win today's game, with odds of 1.49.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Castres won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 409:588. (average 20.5:29.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Castres won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 199:178. (average 22.1:19.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Castres won against Clermont?
Castres has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Clermont won against Castres?
Clermont has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Castres - Clermont were as follows:
30.11.2024
Clermont
-
Castres
54:10
18.05.2024
Clermont
-
Castres
29:20
27.01.2024
Castres
-
Clermont
20:23
04.02.2023
Clermont
-
Castres
41:26
29.10.2022
Castres
-
Clermont
26:22
Latest results of Castres
Latest results of Clermont
French Top 14 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Aviron Bayonnais | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 144:148 | 16 |
| 2 | Stade Francais Paris | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 150:118 | 15 |
| 3 | Bordeaux Begles | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 165:134 | 14 |
| 4 | Stade Toulousain | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 164:133 | 14 |
| 5 | RC Toulonnais | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 108:81 | 14 |
| 6 | Section Paloise | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 135:123 | 14 |
| 7 | Montpellier | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 143:102 | 13 |
| 8 | Racing 92 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 138:130 | 13 |
| 9 | Lyon | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 134:134 | 13 |
| 10 | Castres Olympique | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 107:125 | 11 |
| 11 | Stade Rochelais | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 96:84 | 10 |
| 12 | Clermont | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 205:169 | 10 |
| 13 | Montauban | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 119:249 | 2 |
| 14 | USA Perpignan | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 66:144 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Top 14 (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Top 14 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Top 14 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Pro D2
