Castres vs Clermont – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Rugby union French Top 14 Castres - Clermont
Result
34:29
24/05/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Top 14 - Round 23
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaTV5 Monde Africa, TV5 Monde Maghreb-Orient
asiaAsiaTV5 Monde Asia
franceFranceCANAL+ Sport, TV5 Monde Europe
south-americaSouth-americaTV5 Monde Amerique Latine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomFloSports app, Premier Sports Player, Premier Sports Rugby

Match Stats

Tries
44
Conversion Goals
43
Conversion Goal Attempts
00
Penalty Goals
21
Penalty Goal Attempts
00
Goals %
00
Dropped Goals
00
Total Runs
00
Metres Run With Ball
00
Yellow Cards
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (24 - 8)
  • 6', Palis G. (Try),
  • 6', Le Brun L. (Conversion Goal),
  • 10', Vanverberghe F. 🟨,
  • 12', Fischer A. (Try),
  • 19', Urdapilleta B. (Penalty Goal),
  • 24', Le Brun L. (Try),
  • 24', Le Brun L. (Conversion Goal),
  • 28', Barlot G. (Try),
  • 28', Le Brun L. (Conversion Goal),
  • 35', Le Brun L. (Penalty Goal),
  • 2nd Half (10 - 21)
  • 42', Botitu V. (Try),
  • 42', Le Brun L. (Conversion Goal),
  • 45', Fischer A. (Try),
  • 45', Urdapilleta B. (Conversion Goal),
  • 64', Fernandez J. (Penalty Goal),
  • 74', Fourcade E. (Try),
  • 74', Belleau A. (Conversion Goal),
  • 79', Jauneau B. (Try),
  • 79', Belleau A. (Conversion Goal),

Chances of winning


Castres
71.7%
Draw
3.7%
Clermont
24.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
63.9% 4.9% 31.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.2% 4.8% 30.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Castres has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Castres's performance.
  • Clermont has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Clermont might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Castres than the current prediction. (-6.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Castres that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Clermont than the current prediction. (+6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Clermont could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Castres - Clermont Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.28
    (1.44)
    24.83
    (19)
    3.68
    (2.95)
    9.1%
    (8.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 50.50
  • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-9)
  • What is the prediction for Castres - Clermont?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Castres (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 30:21.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Top 14 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Top 14 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals))
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Castres won 1.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Castres could have a small edge in this match.
    • We predict that Castres will win today's game, with odds of 1.49.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Castres won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 409:588. (average 20.5:29.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Castres won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 199:178. (average 22.1:19.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Castres - Clermont were as follows:
    30.11.2024 Clermont - Castres 54:10
    18.05.2024 Clermont - Castres 29:20
    27.01.2024 Castres - Clermont 20:23
    04.02.2023 Clermont - Castres 41:26
    29.10.2022 Castres - Clermont 26:22
    Latest results of Castres
    17.05.2025 Bordeaux Bègles - Castres 34:29
    26.04.2025 Toulouse - Castres 52:6
    19.04.2025 Castres - Vannes 32:13
    12.04.2025 Northampton Saints - Castres 51:16
    05.04.2025 Castres - Benetton Treviso 39:37
    Latest results of Clermont
    17.05.2025 Clermont - Perpignan 31:13
    26.04.2025 Clermont - Lyon 39:31
    19.04.2025 Toulon - Clermont 31:24
    04.04.2025 Northampton Saints - Clermont 46:24
    29.03.2025 Clermont - La Rochelle 33:19
    French Top 14 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLPts
    1Aviron Bayonnais00000:00
    2Castres Olympique00000:00
    3Clermont00000:00
    4Montauban00000:00
    5Montpellier00000:00
    6Stade Francais Paris00000:00
    7USA Perpignan00000:00
    8RC Toulonnais00000:00
    9Stade Toulousain00000:00
    10Racing 9200000:00
    11Stade Rochelais00000:00
    12Bordeaux Begles00000:00
    13Lyon00000:00
    14Section Paloise00000:00

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          Top 14 (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Pro D2