Result
21:17
01/03/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- FRANCE: Top 14 - Round 18
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 France | Canal+ Live 3 |
 United-kingdom | FloSports app |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Tries |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Conversion Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Conversion Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Penalty Goals |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Penalty Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goals % |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Dropped Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Total Runs |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Metres Run With Ball |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (11 - 0)
- 3', Palis G. 🟨,
- 8', Hogg S. (Penalty Goal),
- 23', Tolofua C. (Try),
- 40+1', Reus H. (Penalty Goal),
- 2nd Half (10 - 17)
- 41', Reus H. (Try),
- 41', Ngandebe G. (Conversion Goal),
- 47', Arata S. (Try),
- 47', Fernandez J. (Conversion Goal),
- 52', Reus H. (Penalty Goal),
- 56', Chabouni T. (Try),
- 56', Dumora J. (Conversion Goal),
- 71', Dumora J. (Penalty Goal),
Chances of winning
Montpellier
70.3% | Draw
3.5% | Castres
26.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Montpellier has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)The chances for Castres have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montpellier than the current prediction. (-6.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Montpellier that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castres than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
Montpellier - Castres Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.31 ↓
(1.32) |
26.6 ↑
(21.42) |
3.46 ↓
(3.51) |
9%
(8.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 47.50The most likely Handicap: 1 (-9)
What is the prediction for Montpellier - Castres?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Montpellier will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 29:20.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 9 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Top 14 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Montpellier won 1.
- Recent matches Montpellier is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Castres is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- In this match Montpellier is a favorite.
- Our prediction for today's Montpellier to win the game is with odds 1.32.
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Montpellier won 8 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 12 matches and goals 458:473 (average 22.9:23.7).
- Including matches at home between the teams Montpellier won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 231:188 (average 25.7:20.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Montpellier won against Castres?
Montpellier has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Castres won against Montpellier?
Castres has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Montpellier - Castres were as follows:
02.11.2024
Castres
-
Montpellier
30:26
11.05.2024
Castres
-
Montpellier
27:26
23.12.2023
Montpellier
-
Castres
30:21
15.04.2023
Montpellier
-
Castres
19:28
08.10.2022
Castres
-
Montpellier
26:13
Latest results of Montpellier
Latest results of Castres
French Top 14 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Aviron Bayonnais | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 2 | Castres Olympique | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 3 | Clermont | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 4 | Montauban | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 5 | Montpellier | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 6 | Stade Francais Paris | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 7 | USA Perpignan | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 8 | RC Toulonnais | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 9 | Stade Toulousain | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 10 | Racing 92 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 11 | Stade Rochelais | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 12 | Bordeaux Begles | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 13 | Lyon | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 14 | Section Paloise | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Top 14 (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Top 14 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Top 14 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Pro D2
