Castres vs Section Paloise – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Rugby union French Top 14 Castres - Section Paloise
Result
24:19
04/01/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • FRANCE: Top 14 - Round 14
  • Where to Watch on TV:
franceFranceCanal+ Live 4

Match Stats

Tries
21
Conversion Goals
11
Conversion Goal Attempts
00
Penalty Goals
34
Penalty Goal Attempts
00
Goals %
00
Dropped Goals
10
Total Runs
00
Metres Run With Ball
00
Yellow Cards
01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (16 - 9)
  • 14', Simmonds J. (Penalty Goal),
  • 19', Simmonds J. (Penalty Goal),
  • 25', Babillot M. (Try),
  • 25', Fernandez J. (Conversion Goal),
  • 28', Fernandez J. (Penalty Goal),
  • 31', Popelin P. (Drop Goal),
  • 36', Simmonds J. (Penalty Goal),
  • 39', Fernandez J. (Penalty Goal),
  • 2nd Half (8 - 10)
  • 46', Dumora J. (Try),
  • 47', Hewat R. 🟨,
  • 49', Simmonds J. (Penalty Goal),
  • 58', Fernandez J. (Penalty Goal),
  • 70', Grandidier A. (Try),
  • 70', Simmonds J. (Conversion Goal),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Castres
76.3%
Draw
3.4%
Section Paloise
20.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
77.5% 3.5% 19.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Castres has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
  • Section Paloise has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
  • Castres - Section Paloise Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.21
    (1.19)
    26.33
    (26.58)
    4.58
    (4.82)
    8.4%
    (8.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 46.50
  • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-10)
  • Preview Facts
    • Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 8 and 10).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Castres won 3.
    • Castres is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recent matches Section Paloise is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • In this match Castres is the unquestionable favorite.
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Castres won 13 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 478:417 (average 23.9:20.9).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Castres won 9 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 283:169 (average 28.3:16.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Castres - Section Paloise were as follows:
    12.10.2024 Section Paloise - Castres 33:26
    03.02.2024 Section Paloise - Castres 33:44
    19.08.2023 Castres - Section Paloise 24:23
    06.05.2023 Section Paloise - Castres 40:3
    04.12.2022 Castres - Section Paloise 26:22
    Latest results of Castres
    28.12.2024 Aviron Bayonnais - Castres 33:12
    21.12.2024 Castres - Bordeaux Bègles 3:13
    13.12.2024 Castres - Munster 16:14
    07.12.2024 Northampton Saints - Castres 38:8
    30.11.2024 Clermont - Castres 54:10
    Latest results of Section Paloise
    28.12.2024 Section Paloise - Vannes 48:24
    21.12.2024 Toulon - Section Paloise 56:25
    14.12.2024 Lions - Section Paloise 43:35
    30.11.2024 Section Paloise - Lyon 29:15
    French Top 14 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLPts
    1Aviron Bayonnais00000:00
    2Castres Olympique00000:00
    3Clermont00000:00
    4Montauban00000:00
    5Montpellier00000:00
    6Stade Francais Paris00000:00
    7USA Perpignan00000:00
    8RC Toulonnais00000:00
    9Stade Toulousain00000:00
    10Racing 9200000:00
    11Stade Rochelais00000:00
    12Bordeaux Begles00000:00
    13Lyon00000:00
    14Section Paloise00000:00

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