Result
33:15
03/01/2026 at 10:35 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Top 14 - Round 14
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 France | CANAL+ France, Canal+ Live 1, CANAL+ Sport |
 United-kingdom | FloSports app, Premier Sports Player, Premier Sports Rugby |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Tries |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Conversion Goals |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Conversion Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Penalty Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Penalty Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goals % |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Dropped Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Total Runs |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Metres Run With Ball |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (14 - 0)
- 10', Halaifonua T. (Try),
- 10', Carbonel L. (Conversion Goal),
- 19', Carbonel L. (Try),
- 20', Carbonel L. (Conversion Goal),
- 2nd Half (19 - 15)
- 41', Fernandez J. (Penalty Goal),
- 47', Kerr-Barlow T. (Try),
- 59', Botitu V. (Try),
- 69', Peyresblanques L. (Try),
- 69', Popelin P. 🟨,
- 70', Carbonel L. (Conversion Goal),
- 75', Halaifonua T. 🟨,
- 78', (Try),
- 78', (Try),
- 78', (Conversion Goal),
- 79', (Conversion Goal),
Chances of winning
Stade Français
86.4% | Draw
2.6% | Castres
11% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Stade Français has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)Castres has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
Stade Français - Castres Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.07 ↓
(1.12) |
36.39 ↑
(28.13) |
8.44 ↑
(7.17) |
8.2%
(6.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 53.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-17)
What is the prediction for Stade Français - Castres?
Users Predictions:
1 users predict this event. Castres will win (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 36:19.
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Top 14 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 8).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stade Français won 2.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- In this match, Stade Français is the clear favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Stade Français won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 421:422. (average 21.1:21.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Stade Français won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 255:119. (average 28.3:13.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Stade Français won against Castres?
Stade Français has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Castres won against Stade Français?
Castres has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Stade Français - Castres were as follows:
18.10.2025
Castres
-
Stade Français
29:24
07.06.2025
Stade Français
-
Castres
21:10
19.10.2024
Castres
-
Stade Français
35:13
01.06.2024
Castres
-
Stade Français
27:18
04.11.2023
Stade Français
-
Castres
39:16
Latest results of Stade Français
Latest results of Castres
French Top 14 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Stade Toulousain | 18 | 14 | 0 | 4 | 730:365 | 67 |
| 2 | Section Paloise | 18 | 12 | 0 | 6 | 558:477 | 55 |
| 3 | Montpellier | 18 | 10 | 1 | 7 | 561:390 | 53 |
| 4 | Clermont | 18 | 11 | 0 | 7 | 596:467 | 51 |
| 5 | Bordeaux Begles | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 591:483 | 50 |
| 6 | Stade Francais Paris | 18 | 9 | 1 | 8 | 513:448 | 49 |
| 7 | RC Toulonnais | 18 | 9 | 1 | 8 | 465:536 | 45 |
| 8 | Racing 92 | 18 | 10 | 1 | 7 | 514:558 | 45 |
| 9 | Castres Olympique | 18 | 9 | 0 | 9 | 431:501 | 42 |
| 10 | Stade Rochelais | 18 | 8 | 0 | 10 | 551:487 | 41 |
| 11 | Lyon | 18 | 8 | 1 | 9 | 521:502 | 39 |
| 12 | Aviron Bayonnais | 18 | 8 | 0 | 10 | 467:595 | 36 |
| 13 | USA Perpignan | 18 | 4 | 0 | 14 | 344:511 | 18 |
| 14 | Montauban | 18 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 338:860 | 7 |
Promotion ~ Top 14 (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Top 14 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Top 14 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Pro D2
