Result
21:10
07/06/2025 at 15:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Top 14 - Round 26
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 France | CANAL+ France, Canal+ Live 5 |
 United-kingdom | FloSports app, Premier Sports Player |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Tries |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Conversion Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Conversion Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Penalty Goals |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Penalty Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goals % |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Dropped Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Total Runs |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Metres Run With Ball |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (11 - 10)
- 5', Seguret A. (Try),
- 5', Fernandez J. (Conversion Goal),
- 19', Alo-Emile P. (Try),
- 22', Fernandez J. (Penalty Goal),
- 38', Henry Z. (Penalty Goal),
- 40+1', Papalii A. 🟨,
- 40+1', Henry Z. (Penalty Goal),
- 2nd Half (10 - 0)
- 53', Halaifonua T. 🟨,
- 62', Henry Z. (Drop Goal),
- 75', Ezeala S. (Try),
- 76', Henry Z. (Conversion Goal),
Chances of winning
Stade Français
62.1% | Draw
4.3% | Castres
33.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Stade Français has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)Castres has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stade Français than the current prediction. (+21.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Stade Français, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Castres than the current prediction. (-9.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Castres, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Stade Français - Castres Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.49 ↑
(1.46) |
21.67 ↓
(22) |
2.76 ↓
(2.89) |
8%
(7.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 46.50The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)
What is the prediction for Stade Français - Castres?
Users Predictions:
1 users predict this event. Stade Français will win (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 26:21.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 12 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Top 14 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stade Français won 2.
- Recent form of Stade Français has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Castres has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Stade Français may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Stade Français will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Stade Français won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 450:418. (average 22.5:20.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Stade Français won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 283:122. (average 31.4:13.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Stade Français won against Castres?
Stade Français has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Castres won against Stade Français?
Castres has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Stade Français - Castres were as follows:
19.10.2024
Castres
-
Stade Français
35:13
01.06.2024
Castres
-
Stade Français
27:18
04.11.2023
Stade Français
-
Castres
39:16
07.01.2023
Stade Français
-
Castres
26:7
10.09.2022
Castres
-
Stade Français
30:20
Latest results of Stade Français
Latest results of Castres
French Top 14 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Aviron Bayonnais | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 2 | Castres Olympique | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 3 | Clermont | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 4 | Montauban | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 5 | Montpellier | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 6 | Stade Francais Paris | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 7 | USA Perpignan | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 8 | RC Toulonnais | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 9 | Stade Toulousain | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 10 | Racing 92 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 11 | Stade Rochelais | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 12 | Bordeaux Begles | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 13 | Lyon | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 14 | Section Paloise | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Top 14 (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Top 14 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Top 14 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Pro D2
