Result
2:0
06/12/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Tercera RFEF - Group 3 - Round 13
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 50', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 79', 2 - 0, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Guarnizo
55.1% | Draw
26.5% | Castro
18.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Guarnizo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+19%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Guarnizo's performance.Castro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Castro might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guarnizo than the current prediction. (-20.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Guarnizo that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castro than the current prediction. (+18.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Castro could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Guarnizo - Castro Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.36 ↓
(2.51) |
4.91 ↑
(3.19) |
7.05 ↑
(2.56) |
-23%
(10.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 11 and 10).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guarnizo won 1.
- Guarnizo is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Castro has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Guarnizo won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:7. (average 1:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Guarnizo won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 1.2:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Guarnizo won against Castro?
Guarnizo has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Castro won against Guarnizo?
Castro has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Guarnizo - Castro were as follows:
29.09.2024
Guarnizo
-
Castro
0:2
09.03.2024
Guarnizo
-
Castro
0:0
22.10.2023
Castro
-
Guarnizo
3:2
26.02.2023
Guarnizo
-
Castro
4:1
23.10.2022
Castro
-
Guarnizo
0:0
Latest results of Guarnizo
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Torrelavega | 27 | 21 | 3 | 3 | 65:10 | 55 | 66 |
| 2 | Laredo | 27 | 17 | 5 | 5 | 49:20 | 29 | 56 |
| 3 | Tropezon | 27 | 16 | 3 | 8 | 40:23 | 17 | 51 |
| 4 | Vimenor | 27 | 15 | 6 | 6 | 38:24 | 14 | 51 |
| 5 | Atletico Albericia | 27 | 15 | 4 | 8 | 49:30 | 19 | 49 |
| 6 | Escobedo | 27 | 16 | 1 | 10 | 49:34 | 15 | 49 |
| 7 | Guarnizo | 27 | 14 | 7 | 6 | 34:22 | 12 | 49 |
| 8 | Cayon | 27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 40:30 | 10 | 47 |
| 9 | Torina | 27 | 13 | 6 | 8 | 32:30 | 2 | 45 |
| 10 | Bezana | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 29:31 | -2 | 36 |
| 11 | Castro | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 38:37 | 1 | 34 |
| 12 | CD Barquereno | 27 | 8 | 4 | 15 | 31:46 | -15 | 28 |
| 13 | UC Cartes | 27 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 22:40 | -18 | 26 |
| 14 | Revilla | 27 | 6 | 5 | 16 | 30:55 | -25 | 23 |
| 15 | CD Colindres | 27 | 3 | 9 | 15 | 18:37 | -19 | 18 |
| 16 | Selaya | 27 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 17:35 | -18 | 18 |
| 17 | Montanas | 27 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 27:73 | -46 | 18 |
| 18 | Noja | 27 | 4 | 5 | 18 | 16:47 | -31 | 17 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 3 (Play Offs: )
Relegation
