Result
0:1
12/04/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Tercera RFEF - Group 3 - Round 30
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 13', 0 - 1, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Chances of winning
Castro
30.6% | Draw
29.3% | Guarnizo
40% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Castro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)Guarnizo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castro than the current prediction. (+1.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guarnizo than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
Castro - Guarnizo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.97 ↑
(2.87) |
3.1 ↓
(3.16) |
2.28 ↓
(2.31) |
9.8%
(9.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 11 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 3 (Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Castro won 2.
- Castro has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Guarnizo is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Guarnizo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Castro won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:10. (average 0.8:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Castro won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Castro won against Guarnizo?
Castro has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Guarnizo won against Castro?
Guarnizo has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Castro - Guarnizo were as follows:
06.12.2025
Guarnizo
-
Castro
2:0
29.09.2024
Guarnizo
-
Castro
0:2
09.03.2024
Guarnizo
-
Castro
0:0
22.10.2023
Castro
-
Guarnizo
3:2
26.02.2023
Guarnizo
-
Castro
4:1
Latest results of Guarnizo
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Torrelavega | 30 | 22 | 5 | 3 | 70:12 | 58 | 71 |
| 2 | Laredo | 30 | 19 | 6 | 5 | 56:24 | 32 | 63 |
| 3 | Tropezon | 30 | 19 | 3 | 8 | 45:24 | 21 | 60 |
| 4 | Guarnizo | 30 | 17 | 7 | 6 | 39:22 | 17 | 58 |
| 5 | Atletico Albericia | 30 | 17 | 4 | 9 | 54:33 | 21 | 55 |
| 6 | Escobedo | 30 | 18 | 1 | 11 | 53:38 | 15 | 55 |
| 7 | Vimenor | 30 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 42:29 | 13 | 55 |
| 8 | Cayon | 30 | 15 | 5 | 10 | 43:33 | 10 | 50 |
| 9 | Torina | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 33:36 | -3 | 46 |
| 10 | Bezana | 30 | 12 | 6 | 12 | 37:34 | 3 | 42 |
| 11 | Castro | 30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 41:40 | 1 | 37 |
| 12 | CD Barquereno | 29 | 8 | 4 | 17 | 33:52 | -19 | 28 |
| 13 | UC Cartes | 30 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 24:46 | -22 | 26 |
| 14 | CD Colindres | 30 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 23:40 | -17 | 25 |
| 15 | Revilla | 30 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 31:59 | -28 | 24 |
| 16 | Selaya | 29 | 5 | 6 | 18 | 21:38 | -17 | 21 |
| 17 | Montanas | 30 | 4 | 8 | 18 | 29:78 | -49 | 20 |
| 18 | Noja | 30 | 4 | 6 | 20 | 19:55 | -36 | 18 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 3 (Play Offs: )
Relegation
