Result
3:1
29/03/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Tercera RFEF - Group 3 - Round 28
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 10', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 42', 1 - 1, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 54', 2 - 1, ⚽,
- 65', 3 - 1, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Castro
51.3% | Draw
27.3% | Selaya
21.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Castro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)Selaya has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Castro than the current prediction. (-3.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Selaya than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
Castro - Selaya Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.79 ↑
(1.64) |
3.36 ↓
(3.42) |
4.29 ↓
(5.09) |
8.9%
(9.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 and 16 in the zone Relegation).
- Castro has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Selaya is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Selaya may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Castro is the team to beat.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Castro won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 1.7:1).
- Including home match between the teams, Castro won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Castro won against Selaya?
Castro has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Selaya won against Castro?
Selaya has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Castro - Selaya were as follows:
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Torrelavega | 33 | 25 | 5 | 3 | 81:14 | 67 | 80 |
| 2 | Laredo | 32 | 20 | 7 | 5 | 60:26 | 34 | 67 |
| 3 | Guarnizo | 32 | 19 | 7 | 6 | 44:23 | 21 | 64 |
| 4 | Tropezon | 32 | 19 | 4 | 9 | 45:26 | 19 | 61 |
| 5 | Escobedo | 32 | 19 | 2 | 11 | 55:38 | 17 | 59 |
| 6 | Vimenor | 32 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 44:33 | 11 | 56 |
| 7 | Atletico Albericia | 32 | 17 | 5 | 10 | 57:38 | 19 | 56 |
| 8 | Cayon | 32 | 16 | 5 | 11 | 46:37 | 9 | 53 |
| 9 | Torina | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 35:38 | -3 | 49 |
| 10 | Bezana | 32 | 12 | 7 | 13 | 39:37 | 2 | 43 |
| 11 | Castro | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 44:45 | -1 | 37 |
| 12 | Revilla | 32 | 8 | 6 | 18 | 34:60 | -26 | 30 |
| 13 | CD Barquereno | 32 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 35:58 | -23 | 29 |
| 14 | Selaya | 32 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 27:41 | -14 | 28 |
| 15 | CD Colindres | 32 | 6 | 10 | 16 | 26:42 | -16 | 28 |
| 16 | Montanas | 32 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 32:78 | -46 | 26 |
| 17 | UC Cartes | 32 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 26:50 | -24 | 26 |
| 18 | Noja | 33 | 4 | 6 | 23 | 20:66 | -46 | 18 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 3 (Play Offs: )
Relegation
