Result
0:1
12/04/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Tercera RFEF - Group 3 - Round 30
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 13', 0 - 1, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Chances of winning
Castro
30.6% | Draw
29.3% | Guarnizo
40% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Castro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)Guarnizo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castro than the current prediction. (+1.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guarnizo than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
Castro - Guarnizo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.97 ↑
(2.87) |
3.1 ↓
(3.16) |
2.28 ↓
(2.31) |
9.8%
(9.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 11 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 3 (Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Castro won 2.
- Castro has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Guarnizo is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Guarnizo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Castro won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:10. (average 0.8:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Castro won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Castro won against Guarnizo?
Castro has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Guarnizo won against Castro?
Guarnizo has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Castro - Guarnizo were as follows:
06.12.2025
Guarnizo
-
Castro
2:0
29.09.2024
Guarnizo
-
Castro
0:2
09.03.2024
Guarnizo
-
Castro
0:0
22.10.2023
Castro
-
Guarnizo
3:2
26.02.2023
Guarnizo
-
Castro
4:1
Latest results of Guarnizo
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Torrelavega | 33 | 25 | 5 | 3 | 81:14 | 67 | 80 |
| 2 | Laredo | 32 | 20 | 7 | 5 | 60:26 | 34 | 67 |
| 3 | Guarnizo | 32 | 19 | 7 | 6 | 44:23 | 21 | 64 |
| 4 | Tropezon | 32 | 19 | 4 | 9 | 45:26 | 19 | 61 |
| 5 | Escobedo | 32 | 19 | 2 | 11 | 55:38 | 17 | 59 |
| 6 | Vimenor | 32 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 44:33 | 11 | 56 |
| 7 | Atletico Albericia | 32 | 17 | 5 | 10 | 57:38 | 19 | 56 |
| 8 | Cayon | 32 | 16 | 5 | 11 | 46:37 | 9 | 53 |
| 9 | Torina | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 35:38 | -3 | 49 |
| 10 | Bezana | 32 | 12 | 7 | 13 | 39:37 | 2 | 43 |
| 11 | Castro | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 44:45 | -1 | 37 |
| 12 | Revilla | 32 | 8 | 6 | 18 | 34:60 | -26 | 30 |
| 13 | CD Barquereno | 32 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 35:58 | -23 | 29 |
| 14 | Selaya | 32 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 27:41 | -14 | 28 |
| 15 | CD Colindres | 32 | 6 | 10 | 16 | 26:42 | -16 | 28 |
| 16 | Montanas | 32 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 32:78 | -46 | 26 |
| 17 | UC Cartes | 32 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 26:50 | -24 | 26 |
| 18 | Noja | 33 | 4 | 6 | 23 | 20:66 | -46 | 18 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 3 (Play Offs: )
Relegation
