Castro vs Sámano – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3 Castro - Sámano
Result
1:0
17/03/2024 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 3 - ROUND 25

Match Stats

Red Cards
03

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 20', Iglesias I. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 83', 🟥,
  • 86', 🟥,
  • 90+4', 🟥,

Chances of winning


Castro
45.9%
Draw
28.9%
Sámano
25.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47.1% 27.5% 25.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.1% 29.9% 23.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Castro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
  • Sámano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castro than the current prediction. (+5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Castro, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sámano than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
  • Castro - Sámano Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.97
    (1.93)
    3.14
    (3.3)
    3.59
    (3.58)
    10.5%
    (10%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 7 and 14).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Castro won 1.
    • Recent matches Castro is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Sámano is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Castro could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Castro will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 6 head-to-head matches Castro won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-6.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Castro won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Castro - Sámano were as follows:
    29.10.2023 Sámano - Castro 0:1
    11.02.2023 Sámano - Castro 2:2
    09.10.2022 Castro - Sámano 0:0
    Latest results of Castro
    09.03.2024 Guarnizo - Castro 0:0
    03.03.2024 Castro - Cartes 2:2
    25.02.2024 Tropezón - Castro 2:3
    10.02.2024 Escobedo - Castro 4:0
    Latest results of Sámano
    02.03.2024 Velarde - Sámano 1:1
    24.02.2024 Sámano - Laredo 1:0
    17.02.2024 Sámano - Guarnizo 1:0
    10.02.2024 Cartes - Sámano 0:0
    Draw
    Promotion - Play Offs

    Final
    1SocuellamosCayon2 : 0, 1 : 1
    2CastellonenseBurgos CF B0 : 2, 1 : 0
    3CortesBeasain0 : 2, 1 : 2
    4Girona BSan Fernando2 : 0, 1 : 0
    5PulpilenoSarriana2 : 3, 0 : 0
    6LlerenenseLealtad1 : 3, 1 : 0
    7Atletico CentralJaen1 : 2, 0 : 1
    8PorreresAtletico Monzon2 : 0, 0 : 1
    9VareaRayo Vallecano B0 : 3, 1 : 2