Result
3:1
11/01/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Tercera RFEF - Group 3 - Round 17
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 11', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 31', 2 - 0, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 48', 3 - 0, ⚽,
- 55', 3 - 1, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Tropezón 58.1% | Draw 25.5% | Castro 16.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tropezón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)Castro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tropezón than the current prediction. (+0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castro than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
Tropezón - Castro Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.56 ↓ (1.6) |
3.56 ↓ (3.65) |
5.52 ↑ (5) |
10.3% (9.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 3 (Play Offs: ) and 11).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tropezón won 4.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- In this match, Tropezón is a strong favorite.
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Tropezón won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 15:4. (average 1.9:0.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Tropezón won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:4. (average 2.4:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Tropezón won against Castro?
Tropezón has won 5 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Castro won against Tropezón?
Castro has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tropezón - Castro were as follows:
24.05.2025
Tropezón
-
Castro
2:0
18.05.2025
Castro
-
Tropezón
0:1
19.01.2025
Tropezón
-
Castro
1:0
25.02.2024
Tropezón
-
Castro
2:3
08.10.2023
Castro
-
Tropezón
0:2
Latest results of Tropezón
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Torrelavega | 33 | 25 | 5 | 3 | 81:14 | 67 | 80 |
| 2 | Laredo | 32 | 20 | 7 | 5 | 60:26 | 34 | 67 |
| 3 | Guarnizo | 33 | 19 | 8 | 6 | 46:25 | 21 | 65 |
| 4 | Tropezon | 33 | 20 | 4 | 9 | 48:27 | 21 | 64 |
| 5 | Escobedo | 33 | 20 | 2 | 11 | 58:40 | 18 | 62 |
| 6 | Vimenor | 33 | 17 | 8 | 8 | 46:33 | 13 | 59 |
| 7 | Atletico Albericia | 33 | 17 | 5 | 11 | 59:41 | 18 | 56 |
| 8 | Cayon | 33 | 16 | 5 | 12 | 47:40 | 7 | 53 |
| 9 | Torina | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 37:40 | -3 | 50 |
| 10 | Bezana | 33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 42:37 | 5 | 46 |
| 11 | Castro | 33 | 10 | 8 | 15 | 44:45 | -1 | 38 |
| 12 | Revilla | 32 | 8 | 6 | 18 | 34:60 | -26 | 30 |
| 13 | CD Barquereno | 32 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 35:58 | -23 | 29 |
| 14 | Selaya | 32 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 27:41 | -14 | 28 |
| 15 | CD Colindres | 33 | 6 | 10 | 17 | 26:45 | -19 | 28 |
| 16 | UC Cartes | 33 | 6 | 9 | 18 | 26:50 | -24 | 27 |
| 17 | Montanas | 33 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 32:80 | -48 | 26 |
| 18 | Noja | 33 | 4 | 6 | 23 | 20:66 | -46 | 18 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 3 (Play Offs: )
Relegation