Result
3:1
29/03/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Tercera RFEF - Group 3 - Round 28
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 10', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 42', 1 - 1, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 54', 2 - 1, ⚽,
- 65', 3 - 1, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Castro
51.3% | Draw
27.3% | Selaya
21.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Castro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)Selaya has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Castro than the current prediction. (-3.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Selaya than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
Castro - Selaya Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.79 ↑
(1.64) |
3.36 ↓
(3.42) |
4.29 ↓
(5.09) |
8.9%
(9.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 and 16 in the zone Relegation).
- Castro has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Selaya is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Selaya may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Castro is the team to beat.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Castro won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 1.7:1).
- Including home match between the teams, Castro won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Castro won against Selaya?
Castro has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Selaya won against Castro?
Selaya has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Castro - Selaya were as follows:
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Torrelavega | 30 | 22 | 5 | 3 | 70:12 | 58 | 71 |
| 2 | Laredo | 30 | 19 | 6 | 5 | 56:24 | 32 | 63 |
| 3 | Tropezon | 30 | 19 | 3 | 8 | 45:24 | 21 | 60 |
| 4 | Atletico Albericia | 30 | 17 | 4 | 9 | 54:33 | 21 | 55 |
| 5 | Guarnizo | 29 | 16 | 7 | 6 | 38:22 | 16 | 55 |
| 6 | Escobedo | 30 | 18 | 1 | 11 | 53:38 | 15 | 55 |
| 7 | Vimenor | 30 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 42:29 | 13 | 55 |
| 8 | Cayon | 29 | 14 | 5 | 10 | 41:33 | 8 | 47 |
| 9 | Torina | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 33:36 | -3 | 46 |
| 10 | Bezana | 30 | 12 | 6 | 12 | 37:34 | 3 | 42 |
| 11 | Castro | 29 | 10 | 7 | 12 | 41:39 | 2 | 37 |
| 12 | CD Barquereno | 29 | 8 | 4 | 17 | 33:52 | -19 | 28 |
| 13 | UC Cartes | 30 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 24:46 | -22 | 26 |
| 14 | Revilla | 29 | 6 | 6 | 17 | 31:57 | -26 | 24 |
| 15 | CD Colindres | 29 | 5 | 9 | 15 | 21:38 | -17 | 24 |
| 16 | Selaya | 29 | 5 | 6 | 18 | 21:38 | -17 | 21 |
| 17 | Montanas | 30 | 4 | 8 | 18 | 29:78 | -49 | 20 |
| 18 | Noja | 29 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 17:53 | -36 | 17 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 3 (Play Offs: )
Relegation
