Result
2:1
01/03/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Tercera RFEF - Group 3 - Round 24
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 27', 0 - 1, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 55', 1 - 1, ⚽,
- 73', 2 - 1, ⚽,
- 90', (Penalty Awarded),
Chances of winning
Castro
53.8% | Draw
26% | Barquereño
20.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Castro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)Barquereño has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castro than the current prediction. (+1.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barquereño than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
Castro - Barquereño Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.71 ↑
(1.66) |
3.53 ↓
(3.65) |
4.54 ↑
(4.42) |
9%
(10.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 11 and 12).
- Recent form of Castro has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Barquereño has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Barquereño may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Castro is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Castro won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 0.8:0.5).
- Including home match between the teams, Castro won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Castro won against Barquereño?
Castro has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Barquereño won against Castro?
Barquereño has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Castro - Barquereño were as follows:
19.10.2025
Barquereño
-
Castro
0:0
26.01.2025
Castro
-
Barquereño
2:0
15.09.2024
Barquereño
-
Castro
0:0
Latest results of Barquereño
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Torrelavega | 33 | 25 | 5 | 3 | 81:14 | 67 | 80 |
| 2 | Laredo | 32 | 20 | 7 | 5 | 60:26 | 34 | 67 |
| 3 | Guarnizo | 33 | 19 | 8 | 6 | 46:25 | 21 | 65 |
| 4 | Tropezon | 33 | 20 | 4 | 9 | 48:27 | 21 | 64 |
| 5 | Escobedo | 33 | 20 | 2 | 11 | 58:40 | 18 | 62 |
| 6 | Vimenor | 33 | 17 | 8 | 8 | 46:33 | 13 | 59 |
| 7 | Atletico Albericia | 33 | 17 | 5 | 11 | 59:41 | 18 | 56 |
| 8 | Cayon | 33 | 16 | 5 | 12 | 47:40 | 7 | 53 |
| 9 | Torina | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 37:40 | -3 | 50 |
| 10 | Bezana | 33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 42:37 | 5 | 46 |
| 11 | Castro | 33 | 10 | 8 | 15 | 44:45 | -1 | 38 |
| 12 | Revilla | 32 | 8 | 6 | 18 | 34:60 | -26 | 30 |
| 13 | CD Barquereno | 32 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 35:58 | -23 | 29 |
| 14 | Selaya | 32 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 27:41 | -14 | 28 |
| 15 | CD Colindres | 33 | 6 | 10 | 17 | 26:45 | -19 | 28 |
| 16 | UC Cartes | 33 | 6 | 9 | 18 | 26:50 | -24 | 27 |
| 17 | Montanas | 33 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 32:80 | -48 | 26 |
| 18 | Noja | 33 | 4 | 6 | 23 | 20:66 | -46 | 18 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 3 (Play Offs: )
Relegation
