Santa Maria Cilento vs Castrovillari – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Italian Serie D - Group I Santa Maria Cilento - Castrovillari
Result
2:2
12/03/2023 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP I - ROUND 27

Chances of winning


Santa Maria Cilento
36.5%
Draw
30.4%
Castrovillari
33.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44% 30% 26%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.6% 28.9% 25.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Santa Maria Cilento has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Santa Maria Cilento's form might have worsened.
  • Castrovillari has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Castrovillari's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santa Maria Cilento than the current prediction. (+9.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Santa Maria Cilento, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Castrovillari than the current prediction. (-8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Castrovillari, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Santa Maria Cilento - Castrovillari Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.45
    (2.05)
    2.94
    (3.01)
    2.7
    (3.46)
    11.8%
    (11%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 9 and 12).
    • Two teams are playing changeable.
    • Santa Maria Cilento will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Santa Maria Cilento won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4-8.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Santa Maria Cilento won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-4.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Santa Maria Cilento - Castrovillari were as follows:
    06.11.2022 Castrovillari - Santa Maria Cilento 1:1
    Latest results of Santa Maria Cilento
    Latest results of Castrovillari
    Draw
    Winners Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1LivornoBra4 : 1, 2 : 1
    2SiracusaOspitaletto2 : 0, 3 : 2

    Final
    1LivornoSiracusa2 : 1