Result
2:2
12/03/2023 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP I - ROUND 27
Chances of winning
Santa Maria Cilento 36.5% | Draw 30.4% | Castrovillari 33.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Santa Maria Cilento has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Santa Maria Cilento's form might have worsened.Castrovillari has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Castrovillari's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santa Maria Cilento than the current prediction. (+9.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Santa Maria Cilento, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Castrovillari than the current prediction. (-8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Castrovillari, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Santa Maria Cilento - Castrovillari Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.45 ↑ (2.05) |
2.94 ↓ (3.01) |
2.7 ↓ (3.46) |
11.8% (11%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 9 and 12).
- Two teams are playing changeable.
- Santa Maria Cilento will have a small advantage in this match.
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Santa Maria Cilento won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4-8.
- Including matches at home between the teams Santa Maria Cilento won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-4.
How many head-to-head matches has Santa Maria Cilento won against Castrovillari?
Santa Maria Cilento has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Castrovillari won against Santa Maria Cilento?
Castrovillari has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Santa Maria Cilento - Castrovillari were as follows:
06.11.2022
Castrovillari
-
Santa Maria Cilento
1:1
Latest results of Santa Maria Cilento
Latest results of Castrovillari
Italian Serie D - Group I Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Savoia | 31 | 17 | 9 | 5 | 54:28 | 26 | 60 |
| 2 | Nissa | 31 | 17 | 9 | 5 | 43:25 | 18 | 60 |
| 3 | Reggina | 30 | 16 | 6 | 8 | 34:19 | 15 | 54 |
| 4 | Athletic Palermo | 31 | 16 | 6 | 9 | 53:41 | 12 | 54 |
| 5 | Gelbison | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 40:31 | 9 | 51 |
| 6 | Igea Virtus | 30 | 14 | 12 | 4 | 45:27 | 18 | 49 |
| 7 | Sambiase | 31 | 13 | 10 | 8 | 34:25 | 9 | 49 |
| 8 | Milazzo | 30 | 12 | 7 | 11 | 30:32 | -2 | 43 |
| 9 | Gela | 31 | 13 | 4 | 14 | 39:39 | 0 | 42 |
| 10 | Vigor Lamezia | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 37:32 | 5 | 36 |
| 11 | Enna | 30 | 8 | 11 | 11 | 47:45 | 2 | 35 |
| 12 | USD Ragusa | 31 | 7 | 11 | 13 | 22:32 | -10 | 32 |
| 13 | AS Acireale | 31 | 7 | 11 | 13 | 36:47 | -11 | 31 |
| 14 | Castrumfavara | 31 | 8 | 7 | 16 | 30:43 | -13 | 31 |
| 15 | Vibonese | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 27:41 | -14 | 31 |
| 16 | ACR Messina | 31 | 10 | 11 | 10 | 25:31 | -6 | 27 |
| 17 | Sancataldese | 31 | 7 | 6 | 18 | 30:45 | -15 | 27 |
| 18 | Paterno | 31 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 20:63 | -43 | 19 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group I (Play Offs: )
Serie D ~ Group I (Play Out: )
Relegation