Result
1:2
30/11/2025 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie D - Group I - Round 14
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 14', 🟥,
- 19', 0 - 1, Zalazar S. ⚽,
- 24', 0 - 2, Zalazar S. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 51', 1 - 2, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Castrumfavara
29% | Draw
29.5% | Athletic Palermo
41.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Castrumfavara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Castrumfavara's form might have worsened.Athletic Palermo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Athletic Palermo's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castrumfavara than the current prediction. (+16.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Castrumfavara, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Athletic Palermo than the current prediction. (-13.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Athletic Palermo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Castrumfavara - Athletic Palermo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.19 ↑
(2.08) |
3.14 ↓
(3.35) |
2.23 ↓
(3) |
8%
(11.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 9 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group I (Play Offs: )).
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Athletic Palermo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
How many head-to-head matches has Castrumfavara won against Athletic Palermo?
Castrumfavara has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Athletic Palermo won against Castrumfavara?
Athletic Palermo has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Castrumfavara - Athletic Palermo were as follows:
Latest results of Castrumfavara
Latest results of Athletic Palermo
Italian Serie D - Group I Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Athletic Palermo | 28 | 16 | 6 | 6 | 52:35 | 17 | 54 |
| 2 | Nissa | 28 | 15 | 8 | 5 | 37:24 | 13 | 53 |
| 3 | Savoia | 28 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 48:27 | 21 | 51 |
| 4 | Reggina | 27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 31:19 | 12 | 47 |
| 5 | Igea Virtus | 27 | 13 | 12 | 2 | 42:22 | 20 | 46 |
| 6 | Gelbison | 28 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 35:29 | 6 | 42 |
| 7 | Sambiase | 28 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 28:22 | 6 | 42 |
| 8 | Milazzo | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 29:29 | 0 | 42 |
| 9 | Gela | 28 | 12 | 3 | 13 | 37:37 | 0 | 38 |
| 10 | Vigor Lamezia | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 36:28 | 8 | 36 |
| 11 | Enna | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 43:42 | 1 | 31 |
| 12 | USD Ragusa | 28 | 6 | 11 | 11 | 21:29 | -8 | 29 |
| 13 | Vibonese | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 25:39 | -14 | 28 |
| 14 | Castrumfavara | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 24:39 | -15 | 27 |
| 15 | AS Acireale | 27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 33:44 | -11 | 26 |
| 16 | ACR Messina | 28 | 9 | 11 | 8 | 23:27 | -4 | 24 |
| 17 | Sancataldese | 28 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 27:39 | -12 | 24 |
| 18 | Paterno | 28 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 18:58 | -40 | 18 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group I (Play Offs: )
Serie D ~ Group I (Play Out: )
Relegation
