Result
0:3
12/04/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie D - Group I - Round 31
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 6', 0 - 1, Piazza A. ⚽,
- 29', 0 - 2, Varela I. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 90+6', 0 - 3, Chmarek M. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Athletic Palermo
65.4% | Draw
21.6% | Castrumfavara
13% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Athletic Palermo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Athletic Palermo's performance.Castrumfavara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Castrumfavara might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Athletic Palermo than the current prediction. (-8.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Athletic Palermo that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castrumfavara than the current prediction. (+6.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Castrumfavara could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Athletic Palermo - Castrumfavara Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.46 ↓
(1.65) |
4.41 ↑
(3.63) |
7.33 ↑
(4.59) |
4.8%
(10.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group I (Play Offs: ) and 15 in the zone Serie D ~ Group I (Play Out: )).
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- In this match, Athletic Palermo is the undisputed favorite.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Athletic Palermo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Athletic Palermo won against Castrumfavara?
Athletic Palermo has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Castrumfavara won against Athletic Palermo?
Castrumfavara has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Athletic Palermo - Castrumfavara were as follows:
30.11.2025
Castrumfavara
-
Athletic Palermo
1:2
Latest results of Athletic Palermo
Latest results of Castrumfavara
Italian Serie D - Group I Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Savoia | 31 | 17 | 9 | 5 | 54:28 | 26 | 60 |
| 2 | Nissa | 31 | 17 | 9 | 5 | 43:25 | 18 | 60 |
| 3 | Reggina | 30 | 16 | 6 | 8 | 34:19 | 15 | 54 |
| 4 | Athletic Palermo | 31 | 16 | 6 | 9 | 53:41 | 12 | 54 |
| 5 | Gelbison | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 40:31 | 9 | 51 |
| 6 | Igea Virtus | 30 | 14 | 12 | 4 | 45:27 | 18 | 49 |
| 7 | Sambiase | 31 | 13 | 10 | 8 | 34:25 | 9 | 49 |
| 8 | Milazzo | 30 | 12 | 7 | 11 | 30:32 | -2 | 43 |
| 9 | Gela | 31 | 13 | 4 | 14 | 39:39 | 0 | 42 |
| 10 | Vigor Lamezia | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 37:32 | 5 | 36 |
| 11 | Enna | 30 | 8 | 11 | 11 | 47:45 | 2 | 35 |
| 12 | USD Ragusa | 31 | 7 | 11 | 13 | 22:32 | -10 | 32 |
| 13 | AS Acireale | 31 | 7 | 11 | 13 | 36:47 | -11 | 31 |
| 14 | Castrumfavara | 31 | 8 | 7 | 16 | 30:43 | -13 | 31 |
| 15 | Vibonese | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 27:41 | -14 | 31 |
| 16 | ACR Messina | 31 | 10 | 11 | 10 | 25:31 | -6 | 27 |
| 17 | Sancataldese | 31 | 7 | 6 | 18 | 30:45 | -15 | 27 |
| 18 | Paterno | 31 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 20:63 | -43 | 19 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group I (Play Offs: )
Serie D ~ Group I (Play Out: )
Relegation
