Result
1:2
30/11/2025 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie D - Group I - Round 14
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 14', 🟥,
- 19', 0 - 1, Zalazar S. ⚽,
- 24', 0 - 2, Zalazar S. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 51', 1 - 2, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Castrumfavara
29% | Draw
29.5% | Athletic Palermo
41.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Castrumfavara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Castrumfavara's form might have worsened.Athletic Palermo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Athletic Palermo's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castrumfavara than the current prediction. (+16.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Castrumfavara, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Athletic Palermo than the current prediction. (-13.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Athletic Palermo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Castrumfavara - Athletic Palermo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.19 ↑
(2.08) |
3.14 ↓
(3.35) |
2.23 ↓
(3) |
8%
(11.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 9 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group I (Play Offs: )).
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Athletic Palermo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
How many head-to-head matches has Castrumfavara won against Athletic Palermo?
Castrumfavara has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Athletic Palermo won against Castrumfavara?
Athletic Palermo has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Castrumfavara - Athletic Palermo were as follows:
Latest results of Castrumfavara
Latest results of Athletic Palermo
Italian Serie D - Group I Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Savoia | 26 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 47:25 | 22 | 50 |
| 2 | Igea Virtus | 26 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 41:21 | 20 | 50 |
| 3 | Athletic Palermo | 25 | 14 | 6 | 5 | 46:29 | 17 | 48 |
| 4 | Reggina | 26 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 31:18 | 13 | 47 |
| 5 | Nissa | 26 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 33:24 | 9 | 47 |
| 6 | Gelbison | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 33:27 | 6 | 40 |
| 7 | Milazzo | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 27:28 | -1 | 38 |
| 8 | Gela | 26 | 12 | 2 | 12 | 35:34 | 1 | 37 |
| 9 | Sambiase | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 25:21 | 4 | 36 |
| 10 | Vigor Lamezia | 26 | 10 | 5 | 11 | 34:25 | 9 | 35 |
| 11 | Enna | 25 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 41:39 | 2 | 30 |
| 12 | USD Ragusa | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 20:28 | -8 | 27 |
| 13 | Vibonese | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 25:39 | -14 | 26 |
| 14 | Sancataldese | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 27:37 | -10 | 24 |
| 15 | ACR Messina | 26 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 23:26 | -3 | 23 |
| 16 | AS Acireale | 26 | 5 | 9 | 12 | 32:44 | -12 | 23 |
| 17 | Castrumfavara | 26 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 21:38 | -17 | 21 |
| 18 | Paterno | 26 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 15:53 | -38 | 17 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group I (Play Offs: )
Serie D ~ Group I (Play Out: )
Relegation
