Castrumfavara vs Paternò – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
14/12/2025 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Serie D - Group I - Round 16

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 7', 0 - 1, Ferrandino L. E. ,
  • 21', 1 - 1, Gueye D. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)

Chances of winning


Castrumfavara
39.5%
Draw
27%
Paternò
33.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.1% 26.8% 33.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • The chances for Castrumfavara have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
  • The chances for Paternò have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Castrumfavara than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paternò than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
  • Castrumfavara - Paternò Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.32
    (2.32)
    3.4
    (3.4)
    2.74
    (2.74)
    9%
    (9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 and 18 in the zone Relegation).
    • Castrumfavara has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Paternò has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Castrumfavara won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
    • Including home match between the teams, Castrumfavara won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
    Latest results of Castrumfavara
    Latest results of Paternò
    07.12.2025 Paternò - Reggina 0:2
    30.11.2025 Milazzo - Paternò 1:0
    23.11.2025 Paternò - Sambiase 0:1
    16.11.2025 Paternò - Gela 1:4
    09.11.2025 Enna - Paternò 3:0
    Italian Serie D - Group I Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Savoia33199560:293166
    2Nissa331810547:262164
    3Reggina33196840:211963
    4Athletic Palermo ✔ 331761057:461157
    5Gelbison ✔ 33169843:321157
    6Igea Virtus331513548:321653
    7Sambiase331411836:261053
    8Milazzo331281331:35-444
    9Gela331351541:43-243
    10Vigor Lamezia331091439:34539
    11Castrumfavara331071636:45-937
    12Enna338111448:51-335
    13USD Ragusa337131322:32-1034
    14AS Acireale337121437:49-1232
    15Vibonese337111531:47-1632
    16ACR Messina3310131027:33-629
    17Sancataldese33781831:46-1529
    18Paterno ✔ 33472221:68-4719

          Promotion
          Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group I (Play Offs: )
          Serie D ~ Group I (Play Out: )
          Relegation

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Athletic Palermo is Qualified for Serie D ~ Group I (Play Offs )
    Gelbison is Qualified for Serie D ~ Group I (Play Offs )
    Paterno is Relegated to