Result
2:0
04/01/2026 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie D - Group I - Round 18
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 10', 1 - 0, Ragusa A. (Penalty Awarded),
- 26', 2 - 0, Ferraro L. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Chances of winning
Reggina
70.7% | Draw
19.6% | Castrumfavara
9.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Reggina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+30.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Reggina's performance.Castrumfavara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-23.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Castrumfavara might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Reggina than the current prediction. (-28.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Reggina that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castrumfavara than the current prediction. (+22.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Castrumfavara could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Reggina - Castrumfavara Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.28 ↓
(2.27) |
4.63 ↑
(3.48) |
9.33 ↑
(2.71) |
10.2%
(9.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 6 and 13 in the zone Serie D ~ Group I (Play Out: )).
- Reggina is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Castrumfavara has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Castrumfavara may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Reggina is the undisputed favorite.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Reggina won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:4. (average 2.3:1.3).
- Including home match between the teams, Reggina won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Reggina won against Castrumfavara?
Reggina has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Castrumfavara won against Reggina?
Castrumfavara has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Reggina - Castrumfavara were as follows:
07.09.2025
Castrumfavara
-
Reggina
2:1
27.04.2025
Reggina
-
Castrumfavara
3:1
15.01.2025
Castrumfavara
-
Reggina
1:3
Latest results of Reggina
Latest results of Castrumfavara
Italian Serie D - Group I Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Savoia | 31 | 17 | 9 | 5 | 54:28 | 26 | 60 |
| 2 | Nissa | 31 | 17 | 9 | 5 | 43:25 | 18 | 60 |
| 3 | Reggina | 30 | 16 | 6 | 8 | 34:19 | 15 | 54 |
| 4 | Athletic Palermo | 31 | 16 | 6 | 9 | 53:41 | 12 | 54 |
| 5 | Gelbison | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 40:31 | 9 | 51 |
| 6 | Igea Virtus | 30 | 14 | 12 | 4 | 45:27 | 18 | 49 |
| 7 | Sambiase | 31 | 13 | 10 | 8 | 34:25 | 9 | 49 |
| 8 | Milazzo | 30 | 12 | 7 | 11 | 30:32 | -2 | 43 |
| 9 | Gela | 31 | 13 | 4 | 14 | 39:39 | 0 | 42 |
| 10 | Vigor Lamezia | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 37:32 | 5 | 36 |
| 11 | Enna | 30 | 8 | 11 | 11 | 47:45 | 2 | 35 |
| 12 | USD Ragusa | 31 | 7 | 11 | 13 | 22:32 | -10 | 32 |
| 13 | AS Acireale | 31 | 7 | 11 | 13 | 36:47 | -11 | 31 |
| 14 | Castrumfavara | 31 | 8 | 7 | 16 | 30:43 | -13 | 31 |
| 15 | Vibonese | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 27:41 | -14 | 31 |
| 16 | ACR Messina | 31 | 10 | 11 | 10 | 25:31 | -6 | 27 |
| 17 | Sancataldese | 31 | 7 | 6 | 18 | 30:45 | -15 | 27 |
| 18 | Paterno | 31 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 20:63 | -43 | 19 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group I (Play Offs: )
Serie D ~ Group I (Play Out: )
Relegation
