Arroyo vs Castuera – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14 Arroyo - Castuera
Result
2:2
30/03/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Tercera RFEF - Group 14 - Round 28

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 44', 1 - 0, Borja M. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 74', 1 - 1, Canero A. ,
  • 76', 2 - 1, Giraldo A. ,
  • 78', 2 - 2, Bueno A. ,

Chances of winning


Arroyo
40.7%
Draw
29.2%
Castuera
30.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.8% 28% 36.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.1% 27.8% 35.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Arroyo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)
  • Castuera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Castuera might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arroyo than the current prediction. (-4.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castuera than the current prediction. (+5.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Castuera could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Arroyo - Castuera Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.23
    (2.53)
    3.1
    (3.23)
    3.01
    (2.5)
    10.5%
    (10.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 16 in the zone Relegation).
    • Arroyo is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Recent matches Castuera is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Castuera could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Recently Arroyo have a series of guest games.
    • The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
    • Last 3 head-to-head matches Arroyo won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:6 (average 1.7:2).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Arroyo won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:4 (average 1.5:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Arroyo - Castuera were as follows:
    21.01.2024 Arroyo - Castuera 0:1
    09.09.2023 Castuera - Arroyo 2:2
    Latest results of Arroyo
    23.03.2025 Trujillo - Arroyo 0:0
    16.03.2025 Arroyo - Pueblonuevo 1:2
    02.03.2025 CD Extremadura - Arroyo 3:0
    23.02.2025 Jaraíz - Arroyo 1:1
    Latest results of Castuera
    21.03.2025 Castuera - Llerenense 3:1
    16.03.2025 Olivenza - Castuera 2:1
    09.03.2025 Castuera - Jerez 4:2
    02.03.2025 Santa Amalia - Castuera 4:1
    09.02.2025 Castuera - Villafranca 1:2
    Draw
    Promotion - Play Offs

    Final
    1SocuellamosCayon2 : 0, 1 : 1
    2CastellonenseBurgos CF B0 : 2, 1 : 0
    3CortesBeasain0 : 2, 1 : 2
    4Girona BSan Fernando2 : 0, 1 : 0
    5PulpilenoSarriana2 : 3, 0 : 0
    6LlerenenseLealtad1 : 3, 1 : 0
    7Atletico CentralJaen1 : 2, 0 : 1
    8PorreresAtletico Monzon2 : 0, 0 : 1
    9VareaRayo Vallecano B0 : 3, 1 : 2