Castuera vs Llerenense – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:1
21/03/2025 at 15:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 14 - Round 27

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 34', 1 - 0, Gonzalez J. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 53', 2 - 0, Martinez F. ,
  • 81', 2 - 1, Cordero A. ,
  • 90', 3 - 1, Bizcocho F. ,

Chances of winning


Castuera
15.2%
Draw
23.7%
Llerenense
61.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
15.8% 24.2% 60%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.7% 24.1% 60.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Castuera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
  • Llerenense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castuera than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Llerenense than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
  • Castuera - Llerenense Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    6.03
    (5.73)
    3.87
    (3.75)
    1.5
    (1.51)
    8.9%
    (10.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 14 (Play Offs: )).
    • Castuera is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Llerenense is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • In this match Llerenense is indisputable favorite.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Castuera won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:2
    Latest results of Castuera
    16.03.2025 Olivenza - Castuera 2:1
    09.03.2025 Castuera - Jerez 4:2
    02.03.2025 Santa Amalia - Castuera 4:1
    09.02.2025 Castuera - Villafranca 1:2
    02.02.2025 Moralo - Castuera 2:1
    Latest results of Llerenense
    15.03.2025 Llerenense - Trujillo 3:0
    09.03.2025 Pueblonuevo - Llerenense 1:1
    09.02.2025 Arroyo - Llerenense 1:5
    Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Don Benito33217569:214870
    2CD Badajoz33225661:273468
    3Azuaga33188753:302362
    4Moralo331710653:312261
    5Jaraiz331511752:331956
    6Cabeza del Buey331412744:291554
    7Villafranca331661141:36554
    8Villanovense331581045:351053
    9Montijo331271441:41043
    10Jerez CF33717951:50138
    11Puebla339111335:47-1238
    12Llerenense331081532:43-1138
    13Santa Amalia33971729:50-2134
    14Gevora33891632:50-1833
    15Pueblonuevo33861928:55-2730
    16Diocesano336111629:59-3029
    17Montehermoso33582023:61-3823
    18CD Calamonte333131724:44-2022

          Promotion
          Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 14 (Play Offs: )
          Relegation