Result
2:2
30/03/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Tercera RFEF - Group 14 - Round 28
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 44', 1 - 0, Borja M. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 74', 1 - 1, Canero A. ⚽,
- 76', 2 - 1, Giraldo A. ⚽,
- 78', 2 - 2, Bueno A. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Arroyo
40.7% | Draw
29.2% | Castuera
30.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Arroyo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)Castuera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Castuera might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arroyo than the current prediction. (-4.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castuera than the current prediction. (+5.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Castuera could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Arroyo - Castuera Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.23 ↓
(2.53) |
3.1 ↓
(3.23) |
3.01 ↑
(2.5) |
10.5%
(10.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 16 in the zone Relegation).
- Arroyo is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Recent matches Castuera is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Castuera could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- Recently Arroyo have a series of guest games.
- The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
- Last 3 head-to-head matches Arroyo won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:6 (average 1.7:2).
- Including matches at home between the teams Arroyo won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:4 (average 1.5:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Arroyo won against Castuera?
Arroyo has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Castuera won against Arroyo?
Castuera has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Arroyo - Castuera were as follows:
21.01.2024
Arroyo
-
Castuera
0:1
09.09.2023
Castuera
-
Arroyo
2:2
Latest results of Castuera
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Don Benito | 33 | 21 | 7 | 5 | 69:21 | 48 | 70 |
| 2 | CD Badajoz | 33 | 22 | 5 | 6 | 61:27 | 34 | 68 |
| 3 | Azuaga | 33 | 18 | 8 | 7 | 53:30 | 23 | 62 |
| 4 | Moralo | 33 | 17 | 10 | 6 | 53:31 | 22 | 61 |
| 5 | Jaraiz | 33 | 15 | 11 | 7 | 52:33 | 19 | 56 |
| 6 | Cabeza del Buey | 33 | 14 | 12 | 7 | 44:29 | 15 | 54 |
| 7 | Villafranca | 33 | 16 | 6 | 11 | 41:36 | 5 | 54 |
| 8 | Villanovense | 33 | 15 | 8 | 10 | 45:35 | 10 | 53 |
| 9 | Montijo | 33 | 12 | 7 | 14 | 41:41 | 0 | 43 |
| 10 | Jerez CF | 33 | 7 | 17 | 9 | 51:50 | 1 | 38 |
| 11 | Puebla | 33 | 9 | 11 | 13 | 35:47 | -12 | 38 |
| 12 | Llerenense | 33 | 10 | 8 | 15 | 32:43 | -11 | 38 |
| 13 | Santa Amalia | 33 | 9 | 7 | 17 | 29:50 | -21 | 34 |
| 14 | Gevora | 33 | 8 | 9 | 16 | 32:50 | -18 | 33 |
| 15 | Pueblonuevo | 33 | 8 | 6 | 19 | 28:55 | -27 | 30 |
| 16 | Diocesano | 33 | 6 | 11 | 16 | 29:59 | -30 | 29 |
| 17 | Montehermoso | 33 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 23:61 | -38 | 23 |
| 18 | CD Calamonte | 33 | 3 | 13 | 17 | 24:44 | -20 | 22 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 14 (Play Offs: )
Relegation
