Picerno vs Catania – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
29/11/2025 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Serie C - Group C - Round 16
  • Where to Watch on TV:
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 251, Sky Sport Max
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
510
Shots on target
25
Corner Kicks
27
Yellow Cards
14
Total shots
510
Shots on target
25
Shots off target
35
Corner Kicks
27

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 2', 0 - 1, Forte F. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Abreu L. , Energe A. ,
  • 62', Bianchi S. , Marcone R. ,
  • 63', Maiorino P. , Bocic M. ,
  • 64', Lunetta G. 🟨,
  • 66', Forte F. , Caturano S. ,
  • 67', Lunetta G. , D'Ausilio M. ,
  • 68', Donnarumma D. , Quaini A. ,
  • 69', Esposito E. 🟨,
  • 74', Jimenez K. 🟨,
  • 76', Granata A. , Veltri A. ,
  • 76', Allegretto A. 🟨,
  • 84', Esposito E. , Pugliese S. ,
  • 89', Di Tacchio F. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Jimenez K. , Stoppa M. ,

Chances of winning


Picerno
15.4%
Draw
25.7%
Catania
58.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
30.5% 28.6% 40.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.9% 27.1% 43.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Picerno has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Picerno's form might have worsened.
  • Catania has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Catania's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Picerno than the current prediction. (+13.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Picerno, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Catania than the current prediction. (-15.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Catania, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Picerno - Catania Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    6.03
    (3)
    3.61
    (3.2)
    1.58
    (2.24)
    7.6%
    (9.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Picerno - Catania?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 19 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Picerno won 1.
    • Picerno is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Catania is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, Catania is the team to beat.
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Picerno won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 6:10. (average 0.7:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Picerno won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:4. (average 0.8:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Picerno - Catania were as follows:
    19.01.2025 Picerno - Catania 1:1
    14.09.2024 Catania - Picerno 0:0
    06.02.2024 Picerno - Catania 1:0
    08.11.2023 Catania - Picerno 3:2
    17.09.2023 Catania - Picerno 2:0
    Latest results of Picerno
    22.11.2025 Monopoli - Picerno 0:2
    15.11.2025 Picerno - Siracusa 1:2
    08.11.2025 Trapani - Picerno 2:1
    31.10.2025 Picerno - Cavese 2:2
    25.10.2025 Atalanta U23 - Picerno 6:2
    Latest results of Catania
    23.11.2025 Catania - Latina 1:0
    15.11.2025 Casarano - Catania 1:0
    09.11.2025 Catania - Altamura 2:0
    31.10.2025 Casertana - Catania 2:2
    26.10.2025 Catania - Benevento 1:0
    Italian Serie C Group C Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Benevento29214463:204367
    2Catania29179346:153160
    3Salernitana29149636:30651
    4Cosenza29148744:311350
    5Casertana29137942:39346
    6Crotone291361042:281445
    7Monopoli29128930:30044
    8Audace Cerignola29119934:36-242
    9Casarano291161240:48-839
    10Potenza299101037:41-437
    11Altamura299101026:36-1037
    12Atalanta U2329971340:36434
    13Sorrento29891232:40-833
    14Cavese297101228:34-631
    15Picerno29791334:45-1130
    16Latina296111220:32-1229
    17Trapani291271037:37028
    18Giugliano29671625:43-1825
    19Foggia29571725:51-2622
    20Siracusa29751735:44-920

          Promotion ~ Serie B
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)
          Serie C ~ Play Out
          Relegation