Result
2:2
01/03/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 27
- Referee: Galipo S. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | DAZN Italia, LAB Channel |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.99 | 2.00 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 22 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (249/311) | 80% (247/309) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.99 | 2.00 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.06 | 1.91 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 22 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 17 | 15 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 31 | 38 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (249/311) | 80% (247/309) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 40% (20/50) | 39% (14/36) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 72% (81/113) | 73% (83/114) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 43% (6/14) | 36% (10/28) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.38 | 1.87 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 18 | 8 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 59% (10/17) | 56% (9/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 51 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.91 | 3.06 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.09 | 1.06 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 28', Oyono J. 🟨,
- 45+2', 1 - 0, Frosinini R. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', 2 - 0, Liberali M. ⚽, Pittarello F. (A),
- 50', 2 - 1, Cichella M. ⚽,
- 55', Kvernadze G. ↓, Zilli M. ↑,
- 55', Raimondo A. ↓, Fiori A. ↑,
- 67', 2 - 2, Fiori A. ⚽, Oyono J. (A),
- 68', Matias Antonini ↓, D'Alessandro M. ↑,
- 68', Pontisso S. ↓, Pompetti M. ↑,
- 69', Fiori A. 🟨,
- 70', Oyono J. ↓, Oyono A. ↑,
- 77', Pittarello F. ↓, Nuamah P. ↑,
- 84', Liberali M. ↓, Verrengia B. ↑,
- 84', Frosinini R. ↓, Koffi N. ↑,
- 89', Cittadini G. 🟨,
- 89', Iemmello P. 🟨,
- 90', Marchizza R. ↓, Corrado N. ↑,
- 90+1', Koutsoupias I. ↓, Gelli F. ↑,
- 90+4', Oyono A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Catanzaro
35.7% | Draw
28.8% | Frosinone
35.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Catanzaro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)Frosinone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Catanzaro than the current prediction. (-0.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Frosinone than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
Catanzaro - Frosinone Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.64 ↓
(2.66) |
3.25 ↑
(3.14) |
2.65 ↓
(2.66) |
6.5%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Catanzaro - Frosinone?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Catanzaro will win (votes: 2 - 20%). Frosinone will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 60%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 29.6% – 90.4%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Catanzaro won 1.
- Catanzaro is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Frosinone has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Catanzaro may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Catanzaro: Cisse A.
(Injury)
Oudin R.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Frosinone: Barcella K.
(Injury)
Cittadini G.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Catanzaro: Pontisso S.
(Injury)
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Catanzaro won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:10. (average 0.3:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Catanzaro won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0. (average 0.5:0).
How many head-to-head matches has Catanzaro won against Frosinone?
Catanzaro has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Frosinone won against Catanzaro?
Frosinone has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Catanzaro - Frosinone were as follows:
10.01.2026
Frosinone
-
Catanzaro
2:0
08.02.2025
Frosinone
-
Catanzaro
1:1
03.11.2024
Catanzaro
-
Frosinone
0:0
Latest results of Catanzaro
Latest results of Frosinone
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Venezia | 36 | 23 | 9 | 4 | 73:29 | 44 | 78 |
| 2 | Monza | 36 | 22 | 9 | 5 | 57:27 | 30 | 75 |
| 3 | Frosinone | 36 | 21 | 12 | 3 | 70:34 | 36 | 75 |
| 4 | Palermo | 36 | 19 | 12 | 5 | 58:29 | 29 | 69 |
| 5 | Catanzaro ✔ | 36 | 15 | 14 | 7 | 58:45 | 13 | 59 |
| 6 | Modena ✔ | 36 | 14 | 10 | 12 | 47:34 | 13 | 52 |
| 7 | Juve Stabia | 36 | 11 | 17 | 8 | 43:43 | 0 | 50 |
| 8 | Avellino | 36 | 12 | 10 | 14 | 42:54 | -12 | 46 |
| 9 | Cesena | 36 | 12 | 9 | 15 | 42:52 | -10 | 45 |
| 10 | Carrarese | 36 | 10 | 13 | 13 | 46:50 | -4 | 43 |
| 11 | Mantova | 36 | 12 | 7 | 17 | 42:50 | -8 | 43 |
| 12 | Sampdoria | 36 | 10 | 11 | 15 | 34:47 | -13 | 41 |
| 13 | Sudtirol | 36 | 8 | 16 | 12 | 37:46 | -9 | 40 |
| 14 | Padova | 36 | 10 | 10 | 16 | 34:46 | -12 | 40 |
| 15 | Entella | 36 | 9 | 12 | 15 | 34:48 | -14 | 39 |
| 16 | Empoli | 36 | 8 | 13 | 15 | 44:52 | -8 | 37 |
| 17 | Pescara | 36 | 7 | 13 | 16 | 50:64 | -14 | 34 |
| 18 | Bari | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 33:58 | -25 | 34 |
| 19 | Reggiana | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 34:54 | -20 | 34 |
| 20 | Spezia | 36 | 8 | 9 | 19 | 40:56 | -16 | 33 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Catanzaro is Qualified for Serie B (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Modena is Qualified for Serie B (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
