Result
0:2
15/02/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 25
- Referee: Dionisi F. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | DAZN Italia, LAB Channel |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.42 | 2.28 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (229/319) | 68% (207/306) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.42 | 2.28 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.84 | 2.58 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 11 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 26 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (229/319) | 68% (207/306) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 45% (28/62) | 33% (21/64) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 64% (47/74) | 56% (75/135) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (4/16) | 13% (3/24) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.77 | 1.00 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 16 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 61% (11/18) | 50% (5/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 58 | 48 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 35 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.58 | 0.84 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.58 | 0.84 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 32', Calo G. 🟨,
- 36', Romano A. 🟨,
- 37', 0 - 1, Kvernadze G. ⚽, Ghedjemis F. (A),
- 45+3', Ruggero M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Hristov P. ↓, Mateju A. ↑,
- 56', 0 - 2, Ghedjemis F. ⚽, Kvernadze G. (A),
- 59', Cittadini G. ↓, Gelli J. ↑,
- 59', Vlahovic V. ↓, Artistico G. ↑,
- 63', Sernicola L. ↓, Comotto C. ↑,
- 64', Bellemo A. ↓, Vignali L. ↑,
- 73', Raimondo A. ↓, Zilli M. ↑,
- 73', Calo G. ↓, Kone B. L. ↑,
- 77', Adamo E. 🟨,
- 86', Comotto C. 🟨,
- 87', Kone B. L. 🟨,
- 90', Bracaglia G. ↓, Corrado N. ↑,
- 90+1', Kvernadze G. ↓, Fiori A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Spezia
33.1% | Draw
27.7% | Frosinone
39.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Spezia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Spezia's form might have worsened.Frosinone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spezia than the current prediction. (+7.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Spezia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Frosinone than the current prediction. (-6.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Frosinone, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Spezia - Frosinone Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.85 ↑
(2.39) |
3.36 ↓
(3.38) |
2.42 ↓
(2.69) |
6.3%
(8.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Spezia - Frosinone?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Users Predictions:
Frosinone will win
(12 of 14 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.38% – 100%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Frosinone will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Spezia won 2.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Spezia: Bandinelli F.
(Injury)
Cassata F.
(Muscle Injury)
Lapadula G.
(Inactive)
Sarr M.
(Ankle Injury)
Zurkowski S.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Frosinone: Barcella K.
(Injury)
Gelli F.
(Injury)
Monterisi I.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Frosinone: Koutsoupias I.
(Injury)
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Spezia won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:14. (average 1.1:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Spezia won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:4. (average 1.2:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Spezia won against Frosinone?
Spezia has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Frosinone won against Spezia?
Frosinone has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Spezia - Frosinone were as follows:
20.12.2025
Frosinone
-
Spezia
2:1
25.04.2025
Frosinone
-
Spezia
2:2
24.08.2024
Spezia
-
Frosinone
2:1
Latest results of Frosinone
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Venezia ✔ | 37 | 23 | 10 | 4 | 75:31 | 44 | 79 |
| 2 | Frosinone | 37 | 22 | 12 | 3 | 71:34 | 37 | 78 |
| 3 | Monza | 37 | 22 | 9 | 6 | 59:30 | 29 | 75 |
| 4 | Palermo | 37 | 20 | 12 | 5 | 61:31 | 30 | 72 |
| 5 | Catanzaro ✔ | 37 | 15 | 14 | 8 | 60:48 | 12 | 59 |
| 6 | Modena ✔ | 37 | 15 | 10 | 12 | 49:35 | 14 | 55 |
| 7 | Juve Stabia ✔ | 37 | 11 | 17 | 9 | 43:44 | -1 | 50 |
| 8 | Avellino | 37 | 12 | 10 | 15 | 42:55 | -13 | 46 |
| 9 | Cesena | 37 | 12 | 10 | 15 | 42:52 | -10 | 46 |
| 10 | Mantova | 37 | 13 | 7 | 17 | 45:52 | -7 | 46 |
| 11 | Carrarese | 37 | 10 | 14 | 13 | 46:50 | -4 | 44 |
| 12 | Sampdoria | 37 | 11 | 11 | 15 | 35:47 | -12 | 44 |
| 13 | Padova | 37 | 11 | 10 | 16 | 35:46 | -11 | 43 |
| 14 | Empoli | 37 | 9 | 13 | 15 | 45:52 | -7 | 40 |
| 15 | Sudtirol | 37 | 8 | 16 | 13 | 37:47 | -10 | 40 |
| 16 | Entella | 37 | 9 | 12 | 16 | 34:50 | -16 | 39 |
| 17 | Bari | 37 | 9 | 10 | 18 | 35:58 | -23 | 37 |
| 18 | Pescara | 37 | 7 | 13 | 17 | 50:65 | -15 | 34 |
| 19 | Spezia | 37 | 8 | 10 | 19 | 42:58 | -16 | 34 |
| 20 | Reggiana | 37 | 8 | 10 | 19 | 35:56 | -21 | 34 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Venezia is Qualified for Serie A
Catanzaro is Qualified for Serie B (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Modena is Qualified for Serie B (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Juve Stabia is Qualified for Serie B (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
