Result
2:0
14/02/2026 at 11:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 25
- Referee: Zanotti A. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | DAZN Italia, LAB Channel |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.55 | 1.86 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (249/318) | 79% (326/411) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.55 | 1.86 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.86 | 0.60 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 0 | 8 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 12 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 11 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 5 | 42 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (249/318) | 79% (326/411) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 36% (21/58) | 41% (16/39) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 43% (20/46) | 69% (102/148) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (1/4) | 16% (4/25) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.86 | 1.43 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 15 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (10/16) | 62% (8/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 48 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 29 | 9 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.60 | 0.86 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.60 | -1.14 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 5', 1 - 0, Iemmello P. ⚽, D'Alessandro M. (A),
- 39', 2 - 0, Pontisso S. ⚽, Iemmello P. (A),
- 45+4', Goncalves T. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 57', Goncalves T. ↓, Radaelli N. ↑,
- 57', Maggioni T. ↓, Benaissa-Yahia F. ↑,
- 66', Ruocco F. ↓, Muci N. ↑,
- 66', Wieser D. ↓, Kouda R. ↑,
- 66', Mensah D. ↓, Mancuso L. ↑,
- 69', D'Alessandro M. ↓, Frosinini R. ↑,
- 70', Liberali M. ↓, Pompetti M. ↑,
- 78', Nuamah P. ↓, Buglio D. ↑,
- 79', Pontisso S. ↓, Alesi G. ↑,
- 90+4', Iemmello P. ↓, Koffi N. ↑,
Chances of winning
Catanzaro
49.7% | Draw
27.6% | Mantova
22.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Catanzaro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)Mantova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Catanzaro than the current prediction. (+3.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mantova than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
Catanzaro - Mantova Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.9 ↑
(1.8) |
3.4 ↓
(3.47) |
4.12 ↓
(4.18) |
6.5%
(8.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Catanzaro - Mantova?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Catanzaro (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -0.5 - Mantova (1.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Catanzaro (1.23) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Catanzaro will win
(10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.24% – 100%.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Catanzaro (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Mantova (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 17 in the zone Serie B (Play Out: )).
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- In this match, Catanzaro is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Catanzaro: Cisse A.
(Injury)
Oudin R.
(Inactive)
Pittarello F.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Mantova: Bianay Balcot C.
(Injury)
Bonfanti N.
(Inactive)
Caprini M.
(Inactive)
Cella S.
(Yellow Cards)
Falletti C.
(Inactive)
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Catanzaro won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 1.7:1).
- Including home match between the teams, Catanzaro won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Catanzaro won against Mantova?
Catanzaro has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Mantova won against Catanzaro?
Mantova has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Catanzaro - Mantova were as follows:
29.10.2025
Mantova
-
Catanzaro
1:3
13.05.2025
Mantova
-
Catanzaro
0:0
23.11.2024
Catanzaro
-
Mantova
2:2
Latest results of Catanzaro
Latest results of Mantova
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Venezia | 26 | 17 | 5 | 4 | 53:24 | 29 | 56 |
| 2 | Monza | 26 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 39:20 | 19 | 54 |
| 3 | Frosinone | 26 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 48:24 | 24 | 53 |
| 4 | Palermo | 26 | 14 | 9 | 3 | 45:19 | 26 | 51 |
| 5 | Catanzaro | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 37:27 | 10 | 44 |
| 6 | Modena | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 35:20 | 15 | 43 |
| 7 | Juve Stabia | 26 | 9 | 11 | 6 | 31:31 | 0 | 38 |
| 8 | Cesena | 26 | 11 | 4 | 11 | 34:37 | -3 | 37 |
| 9 | Sudtirol | 26 | 7 | 12 | 7 | 26:27 | -1 | 33 |
| 10 | Empoli | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 32:36 | -4 | 30 |
| 11 | Carrarese | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 31:36 | -5 | 30 |
| 12 | Padova | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 26:32 | -6 | 30 |
| 13 | Sampdoria | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 28:34 | -6 | 29 |
| 14 | Avellino | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 30:42 | -12 | 29 |
| 15 | Reggiana | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 28:36 | -8 | 26 |
| 16 | Mantova | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 26:41 | -15 | 26 |
| 17 | Spezia | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 23:34 | -11 | 25 |
| 18 | Entella | 26 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 24:37 | -13 | 25 |
| 19 | Bari | 26 | 4 | 10 | 12 | 21:39 | -18 | 22 |
| 20 | Pescara | 26 | 3 | 9 | 14 | 30:51 | -21 | 18 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
