Result
1:3
29/10/2025 at 15:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 10
- Referee: Marchetti M. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Italia, LAB Channel |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.81 | 1.18 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (396/446) | 85% (274/323) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.81 | 1.18 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.19 | 1.82 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 13 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 33 | 31 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (396/446) | 85% (274/323) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 53% (24/45) | 48% (15/31) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 86% (92/107) | 74% (65/88) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 42% (11/26) | 30% (6/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.83 | 0.49 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 38% (3/8) | 46% (6/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 45 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 28 | 21 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.82 | 1.19 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.18 | 0.19 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 7', 1 - 0, Mancuso L. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 3)
- 58', D'Alessandro M. ↓, Nuamah P. ↑,
- 58', Rispoli F. ↓, Iemmello P. ↑,
- 58', Buglio D. ↓, Pontisso S. ↑,
- 60', Trimboli S. 🟨,
- 62', Paoletti F. ↓, Majer Z. ↑,
- 63', Mullen S. ↓, Pittino T. ↑,
- 68', 1 - 1, Majer Z. (Own goal),
- 70', Brighenti N. 🟨,
- 72', Mancuso L. ↓, Mensah D. ↑,
- 72', Artioli F. ↓, Wieser D. ↑,
- 75', 1 - 2, Cisse A. ⚽, Nuamah P. (A),
- 78', Petriccione J. ↓, Alesi G. ↑,
- 80', 1 - 3, Favasuli C. ⚽,
- 84', Caprini M. ↓, Bonfanti N. ↑,
- 87', Pandolfi L. ↓, Di Chiara G. ↑,
- 89', Matias Antonini 🟨,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/m5h8h6u8
Chances of winning
Mantova
37.8% | Draw
28.5% | Catanzaro
33.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Mantova - Catanzaro Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.49 ↑
(2.47) |
3.3 ↓
(3.65) |
2.77 ↑
(2.47) |
6.7%
(8.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Mantova - Catanzaro?
Users Predictions:
18 users predict this event. Mantova will win (votes: 4 - 22.2%). Catanzaro will win (votes: 1 - 5.6%). It will Tie (votes: 13 - 72.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 51.5% – 92.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 4 - 100%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 15).
- Mantova is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Catanzaro has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Catanzaro may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Mantova: Mantovani V.
(Calf Injury)
- There will not play in Catanzaro: Di Francesco F.
(Injury)
Frosinini R.
(Injury)
Pompetti M.
(Shin Injury)
Verrengia B.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Catanzaro: Di Chiara G.
(Injury)
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Mantova won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).
- Including home match between the teams, Mantova won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Mantova won against Catanzaro?
Mantova has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Catanzaro won against Mantova?
Catanzaro has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mantova - Catanzaro were as follows:
13.05.2025
Mantova
-
Catanzaro
0:0
23.11.2024
Catanzaro
-
Mantova
2:2
Latest results of Mantova
Latest results of Catanzaro
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Frosinone | 19 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 36:16 | 20 | 41 |
| 2 | Venezia | 19 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 34:15 | 19 | 38 |
| 3 | Monza | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 27:15 | 12 | 37 |
| 4 | Palermo | 19 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 29:14 | 15 | 34 |
| 5 | Catanzaro | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 26:21 | 5 | 31 |
| 6 | Cesena | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 25:21 | 4 | 31 |
| 7 | Modena | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 26:17 | 9 | 29 |
| 8 | Empoli | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 26:24 | 2 | 27 |
| 9 | Juve Stabia | 19 | 6 | 9 | 4 | 21:22 | -1 | 27 |
| 10 | Padova | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 19:20 | -1 | 25 |
| 11 | Avellino | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 23:31 | -8 | 25 |
| 12 | Carrarese | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 25:29 | -4 | 23 |
| 13 | Reggiana | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 23:28 | -5 | 20 |
| 14 | Sudtirol | 19 | 3 | 10 | 6 | 18:22 | -4 | 19 |
| 15 | Entella | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 17:26 | -9 | 19 |
| 16 | Sampdoria | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 19:27 | -8 | 17 |
| 17 | Spezia | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 18:27 | -9 | 17 |
| 18 | Bari | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 16:29 | -13 | 17 |
| 19 | Mantova | 19 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 16:28 | -12 | 16 |
| 20 | Pescara | 19 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 25:37 | -12 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
